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HomeMy WebLinkAbout19- Wastewater Cost of Service and Rate Design Study City of Bozeman: Wastewater Cost of Service & Rate Design Study 1 TECHNICAL MEMORANDUM To: Kristin Donald, Finance Director The City of Bozeman From: Shawn Gaddie, PE AE2S Nexus Re: The City of Bozeman Wastewater Utility System Cost of Service and Rate Design Study Date: July 31, 2019 INTRODUCTION The City of Bozeman (the City) retained AE2S Nexus to complete a Wastewater Cost of Service and Rate Design Study (Study). The goal of the study was to provide justifiable and equitable methodologies for appropriate user fees that are adequate to fully fund the expenses associated with the wastewater utility system, equipment repair and replacement, and capital. Specifically, the objectives for completion of the study included the following: • Analyze and discuss the impact of existing and future capital improvements; • Assess revenue needs for the five-year planning period beginning 7/1/2018 (FY2019 – 2023), to include adequate coverage for operations and maintenance, capital projects, program activities and debt service; • Analyze existing rate and fee structure and recommend alternatives based on findings; • Advise the City on industry-accepted methodologies for allocating costs to the various customer classes, provide a breakdown of these expenses, and show how they relate to providing wastewater services; • Examine current user classes and current rate approaches; • Evaluate existing rate structure with regard to changing patterns of consumption and associated wastewater discharge, growth in customer base, annual revenues from rates, and demands on rate revenue; • Examine adequacy of reserves for operating revenues and capital projects to determine sufficient levels to offset low revenue years while also reducing spikes in annual rate increases; • Examine the City’s use of debt financing for capital improvements and make recommendations related to its uses and limitations relative to maintaining a proper balance for debt coverage and rate stabilization over this five-year period; • Recommend a structure designed to cover all costs of each customer’s service plus return a reasonable margin for proper operating reserves, capital improvements, adequate supplies, and contributions to general administrative costs; City of Bozeman: Wastewater Cost of Service & Rate Design Study 2 • Provide a sampling of a minimum of three (3) customers per classification showing the difference of charges between existing and proposed rates; and • Provide a comparison of current and alternative wastewater rates from surrounding utilities. To meet the City’s objectives, AE2S Nexus completed a study consisting of the following components: • Develop Test Year Revenue Requirements; • Complete Cost of Service Analysis (COSA); • Evaluate Rate Design Alternatives; • Cost and Fee Benchmarking; • Project Five-Year Revenue Adequacy based on Recommended Rate Design; and • Document Results and Recommendations. Throughout the Study, the AE2S Nexus team and the City met via videoconference or teleconference to discuss assumptions and intermediate results. In addition, AE2S Nexus gave a presentation to the Bozeman City Commission on August 20, 2018, to introduce the study methodology, provide preliminary recommendations, and solicit direction on policy issues that would impact final rate recommendations. To assist the Commission in understanding the basis of the study recommendations, AE2S Nexus developed policy papers on key topics for review and discussion. AE2S Nexus provided a second presentation to the City Commission on January 28, 2019, to provide updated results and information and gather policy direction on key issues. The final results were delivered to the City Commission on April 15, 2019. This Technical Memorandum summarizes the assumptions, analysis, results, and recommendations for the Study. Additional deliverables, including progress meeting and Commission meeting slides, finalized rate models and policy papers, have been provided under separate cover. City of Bozeman: Wastewater Cost of Service & Rate Design Study 3 SYSTEM DESCRIPTION AND USER CHARACTERISTICS System Overview The Water Reclamation Facility (WRF) is located on the northwest edge of town along Interstate 90. The City’s wastewater collection system consists of over 2,233 inch-diameter-miles of pipe and seven lift stations. Daily influent flow for 2017 for the system was an average of 5.23 million gallons per day (MGD). Per the City’s WRF Facility Plan, the 2034 design criteria reflect an average day value of 8.5 MGD and a peak day capacity of 12.7 MGD. Customers and Usage This system serves approximately 12,545 accounts with an average billed consumption of 3.65 MGD. Currently, six customer classes are designated within the rate schedule: Single Family Residential, Multi-Family Residential, Commercial, Government, Montana State University (MSU), and Industrial. Single and Multi-Family Residential customers are billed using average usage during the winter quarter, while all other customer classes are billed based on monthly metered water usage. Table 1 summarizes the 2017 wastewater customer accounts by user class. Table 2 summarizes the average and maximum daily influent flow values for the past five years. Figure 1 is a graphical depiction of billed flow as tracked by the City for users, grouped as Single Family Residential, Multi-Family Residential, Commercial, Government, MSU, and Industrial. Billed flow is reported in units of one hundred cubic feet (CCF). For the period of 2013 through 2017, annual growth in overall wastewater flows was 2.2 percent. The annualized changes in wastewater flows for each individual user class were: • Single Family Residential: +2.7%; • Multi-Family Residential: +3.7%; • Commercial: +1.1%; • Government: +4.0%; • MSU: -0.1%; and • Industrial: +7.0%. Table 1: 2017 Customer Accounts by User Type Users Number of Meters Single Family Residential 9,172 Multi-Family Residential 2,193 Commercial 1,108 Government 51 MSU 20 Industrial 1 Total 12,545 City of Bozeman: Wastewater Cost of Service & Rate Design Study 4 Table 2: Historical Average Daily and Maximum Influent Flows WRF Influent Flow (MGD) Average Max 2013 4.73 7.32 2014 5.18 7.20 2015 4.87 6.27 2016 5.01 6.23 2017 5.23 6.98 Figure 1: Historical Billed Flow by User Class Table 3 summarizes billed flow from 2013 through 2017. For all users, excluding MSU, 2017 was assumed to be a representative year and was utilized as the test year for the COSA. Realizing a fluctuation in yearly flow totals for MSU, the historical 5-year average (2013-2017) was used for a representative test year for MSU. To account for all influent into the plant, the difference between total billed flow and total WRF influent, 1.58 MGD, was assumed to represent inflow/infiltration (I/I) contributions to the system. - 100,000 200,000 300,000 400,000 500,000 600,000 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 Bi l l e d F l o w ( C C F ) Historical Billed Flow Single Family Residential Multi-Family Residential Commercial Government MSU Industrial City of Bozeman: Wastewater Cost of Service & Rate Design Study 5 Table 3: Historical Billed Flow 2013 – 2017 Total Billed Flow Summary (CCF*) 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 Test Year (MGD) Single Family Residential 446,562 450,623 474,008 475,792 495,854 1.02 Multi-Family Residential 414,812 430,939 442,832 451,298 479,693 0.98 Commercial 511,285 486,697 504,677 507,890 533,700 1.09 Government 23,103 27,037 24,238 25,266 27,052 0.06 MSU 221,574 205,881 211,511 215,438 220,752 0.44 Industrial 21,909 24,920 29,965 25,147 28,950 0.06 Total 1,639,245 1,626,097 1,687,231 1,700,831 1,786,001 3.65 Test Year Influent 5.23 Assumed Test Year I/I 1.58 * One hundred cubic feet The City currently serves one industrial customer (Darigold) that is subject to permitting through the City’s Industrial Pretreatment Program (IPP). Darigold does contribute surchargeable strength levels and is referred to as an Industrial High Strength user for the purposes of this Study. Table 4 summarizes the calculated biochemical oxygen demand (BOD), total suspended solids (TSS), Phosphorous, and Nitrogen contributions associated with the Industrial user based on sampling reports and WRF data. Table 4 also includes assumed domestic strength limits for the remaining users and typical I/I strengths. Table 4: Strength Concentrations by User Class BOD (mg/L) TSS (mg/L) Phosphorous (mg/L) Nitrogen (mg/L) Domestic Strength Limit 200.0 350.0 5.0 20.0 Single Family Residential 330.0 297.0 5.2 18.4 Multi-Family Residential 330.0 297.0 5.2 18.4 Commercial 330.0 297.0 5.2 18.4 Government 330.0 297.0 5.2 18.4 MSU 330.0 297.0 5.2 18.4 Industrial (Darigold) 1,481.1 376.0 9.9 9.9 I/I (assumed) 15.0 15.0 5.0 15.0 City of Bozeman: Wastewater Cost of Service & Rate Design Study 6 EXISTING RATE STRUCTURE The City’s wastewater rate structure distinguishes between user classes and consists of: • Fixed Monthly Charge; • Flat Volumetric Rate charged per one hundred cubic feet (CCF); and • Extra Strength Surcharges for BOD, TSS, Phosphorous, and Nitrogen. The existing fixed monthly charge is shown below in Table 5 and the volumetric rate structure in Table 6. The City’s wastewater resolution specifies that customers that qualify under the State’s Low Income Property Tax Assistance Program receive a credit equal to the monthly wastewater service charge on their monthly utility bill. Table 5: FY18 Fixed Monthly Charges User Class Monthly Service Charge Single Family Residential $19.01 Multi-Family Residential $19.49 Commercial $19.49 Government $19.49 MSU $19.49 Industrial $50.82 Table 6: FY18 Volumetric Rate Structure User Class Volumetric Rate $/CCF Measurement Method Single Family Residential $3.15 Average water use through winter quarter Multi-Family Residential $3.23 Metered water usage Commercial $3.23 Metered water usage Government $3.23 Metered water usage MSU $3.23 Metered water usage Industrial $7.75 Metered water usage In addition to a fixed charge per meter and volumetric charges per CCF of wastewater, strength surcharges are applied to industrial users that contribute waste streams with high organic content. These costs are assigned to and recouped directly by the user. Strength charges and thresholds for FY18 for BOD, TSS, Phosphorus, and Nitrogen are show in Table 7. These charges are currently assessed either based on pounds (lb) per day, or pounds in excess of an established strength concentration limit, in milligrams per liter (mg/L), as shown in Table 7. City of Bozeman: Wastewater Cost of Service & Rate Design Study 7 Table 7: FY18 Strength Surcharges Class Strength Concentration Limit (mg/L) FY18 Charge per Lb. BOD ≤ 830 lb/day NA $0.31 BOD > 830 lb/day NA $0.44 Peak BOD > 830 lb/day, highest monthly peak day NA $0.39 Pounds TSS > 350 mg/L per day 350 $0.30 Pounds Phosphorus > 5 mg/L per day 5 $5.05 Pounds Nitrogen > 20 mg/L per day 20 $0.46 In October 2018, as a result of preliminary recommendations made as part of this study, the City adopted changes to the existing rate structure. Fixed monthly charges were increased by three percent for all user classes, and volumetric charges were increased by four percent for all classes, with the exception of the Industrial class. To address findings of the COSA that indicated that charges for the industrial class were not generating the appropriate amount of revenue from each source (flow versus strength), the fixed monthly and volumetric flow rates for the industrial user class were decreased. In addition, it was recommended that the City adopt an approach to charging for excess BOD based on pounds of BOD discharged in excess of a domestic limit rather than average or monthly maximum pounds per day. This approach is consistent with industry-standard approaches to application of a BOD surcharge and reflects the approach to the other strength components in the City’s rate schedule. Wastewater rates that became effective October 15, 2018 for the balance of FY19 are shown in Tables 8 and 9. Table 8: FY19 Wastewater Rates (Effective October 15, 2018) User Class Fixed Monthly Service Charge Volumetric Rate $/CCF Single Family Residential $19.58 $3.28 Multi-Family Residential $20.07 $3.36 Commercial $20.07 $3.36 Government $20.07 $3.36 MSU $20.07 $3.36 Industrial $38.98 $5.50 Table 9: Recommended FY19 Strength Surcharges Rate Strength Concentration Limit (mg/L) FY19 Charge per Lb. (in excess of Limit) Pounds BOD > 250 mg/L 250 $0.33 Pounds TSS > 350 mg/L per day 350 $0.51 Pounds Phosphorus > 5 mg/L per day 5 $5.55 Pounds Nitrogen > 20 mg/L per day 20 $0.46 City of Bozeman: Wastewater Cost of Service & Rate Design Study 8 TEST YEAR REVENUE REQUIREMENTS & REVENUES To represent a typical year of operations and capital expenditures within the COSA analysis, Test Year revenue requirements were calculated using the cash needs approach based on the FY18 budget. The cash needs approach accounts for Operation and Maintenance (O&M) expenses, debt service principal and capital funded through rates (in lieu of depreciation), and debt service interest expense. The City’s FY18 budget and average planned rate-funded capital expenditures through 2023 were used as the basis for development of the $9,290,381 total revenue requirements shown in Table 10. Table 10: Total Test Year Revenue Requirements Wastewater FY18 Adopted Budget Adjustments Adjusted Test Year Wastewater Operations $1,991,232 $1,991,232 Utility Locates $16,000 $95,000 $111,000 Wastewater Services $5,000 $5,000 Wastewater Construction $1,022,500 ($1,022,500) $0 Manholes $25,000 $25,000 Other Televising $12,100 $12,100 Main Repairs $5,000 $5,000 WRF Operations $3,265,206 ($540,000) $2,725,206 Laboratory $496,716 ($41,000) $455,716 Sludge Injection $614,630 $614,630 Pretreatment $64,750 $41,000 $105,750 WRF Construction (Existing Debt) $1,704,247 $1,704,247 WW Impact Fees – Wastewater Operations $1,440,000 ($1,440,000) $0 Rate Funded Capital (2019-2023 Avg) $1,535,500 $1,535,500 Total $10,662,381 ($1,372,000) $9,290,381 Table 11 summarizes the funding sources to be used for the Capital Improvement Plan (CIP) through 2023. The current rate-funded CIP does not contain any projects for which debt is expected to be utilized. Existing debt service is shown in Table 12. Table 11: Wastewater Fund Capital Improvement Plan FY 2018 FY 2019 FY 2020 FY 2021 FY 2022 FY 2023 Rate Revenue $1,812,500 $1,912,500 $1,682,500 $1,697,500 $1,202,500 $1,182,500 State Revolving Fund (SRF) Loan $ - $ - $ - $ - $ - $ - Revenue Bonds $ - $ - $ - $ - $ - $ - R&R Reserve Fund $ - $ - $ - $ - $ - $ - Grant $ - $1,500,000 $ - $ - $ - $ - Total $1,812,500 $3,412,500 $1,682,500 $1,697,500 $1,202,500 $1,182,500 2019-2023 Average Rate-Funded Capital $1,535,500 City of Bozeman: Wastewater Cost of Service & Rate Design Study 9 Table 12: Wastewater Fund Existing Debt Service Existing Debt Service 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 WW SRF Series 2010B $18,000 $18,519 $19,071 $19,656 $20,272 $22,249 WWRF Revenue Bond 2010D $446,000 $458,869 $472,543 $487,021 $502,303 $551,287 WWRF Revenue Bond 2010F $38,000 $39,096 $40.261 $41,495 $42,797 $46,971 WWRF Revenue Bond ARRA 2010E $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 WWRF Revenue Bond 2010C $44,000 $45,270 $46,619 $48,047 $49,555 $54,387 WWRF Revenue Bond 2010G $130,000 $133,751 $137,737 $141,957 $146,411 $160,689 WWRF Revenue Bond 2010H $433,000 $445,494 $458,769 $472,825 $487,662 $535,218 Annual Interest $358,184 $335,059 $311,224 $286,669 $261,354 $235,229 Total Annual Debt Payment $1,467,184 $1,474,059 $1,486,224 $1,497,669 $1,510,354 $1,522,239 Revenues Table 13 summarizes the Test Year rate revenues, based on FY18 rates and projected FY18 accounts and water sales. Table 13: Summary of Test Year Revenues User Class Test Year Revenue Single Family Residential $3,597,620 Multi-Family Residential $2,029,669 Commercial $1,944,194 Government $99,053 MSU $715,715 Industrial $239,510 Total $8,625,761 City of Bozeman: Wastewater Cost of Service & Rate Design Study 10 COST OF SERVICE ANALYSIS Once the Test Year Revenue Requirements were developed, the COSA process followed standard industry methodology. The methodology used in this analysis is based on that outlined in the Water Environment Federation’s Financing and Charges for Wastewater Systems Manual of Practice No. 27. This includes the following steps: 1. Cost Functionalization; 2. Cost Classification; and 3. Cost Allocation. Cost Functionalization Test Year budget line items were categorized into functional components based on the purpose of each revenue requirement. The City’s Wastewater budget contains the subdivisions shown in Table 10. Based on a detailed review of the line item budget and discussion with city staff, it was found that the existing budget subdivisions can be further categorized into the following functions for the purpose of the COSA: • Administration: Includes all costs associated with administrative tasks. Examples of administrative costs include personnel, fringe, materials and supplies, and contract services associated with the administration of the Wastewater division, such as preparing monthly bills for each meter. • Collection: Includes a portion of costs under Wastewater Operations, Utility Locates, Manholes, Other Televising, and Main Repairs. • Treatment – Fixed: Includes the majority of costs under WRF Operations, and Wastewater Services. • Treatment – Variable: Includes chemicals and electricity associated with the WRF. • Pumping Electricity: Includes all electrical costs associated with pumping. • Environmental: Includes all costs under the Laboratory subdivision. • Sludge Management: Includes the majority of costs under the Sludge Injection subdivision. • Debt: Includes the principal and interest payments associated with the WRF Construction. • Capital: Includes costs for infrastructure, improvements, and rate-funded capital. Functionalization is based on the breakdown of planned projects for 2019 through 2023. • Industrial Pretreatment Program: Staff identified $105,750 in revenue requirements directly attributed to the IPP. Those costs include labor, supplies, and postage fees. The resulting functionalization percentages are provided in Table 14 and the total resulting functionalized revenue requirements are shown in Table 15. City of Bozeman: Wastewater Cost of Service & Rate Design Study 11 Table 14: COSA Functionalized Percentages Function Ad m i n i s t r a t i v e Co l l e c t i o n Pu m p i n g – Va r i a b l e Tr e a t m e n t – Fi x e d Tr e a t m e n t – Va r i a b l e En v i r o n m e n t a l Sl u d g e Ma n a g e m e nt IP P To t a l Administrative 100% 100% Collection 100% 100% Treatment – Fixed 100% 100% Treatment – Variable 100% 100% Pumping Electricity 100% 100% Environmental 100% 100% Sludge Management 100% 100% Debt 100% 100% Capital 57% 43% 100% IPP 100% 100% Table 15: Functionalized Test Year Revenue Requirements Function Functionalized Revenue Requirements Administrative $3,346 Collection $2,999,289 Pumping – Variable $20,500 Treatment – Fixed $4,648,000 Treatment – Variable $897,150 Environmental $455,716 Sludge Management $160,630 IPP $105,750 Total $9,290,381 Cost Classification Classification of the functionalized costs was performed based on whether the costs were associated with number of customers served, amount of wastewater pumped or treated, actual concentration of strength components in the wastewater, or design parameters for flow and strength components. For some of the classification, reference is made to “Actual” versus “Design”. Actual values are equated to average day flows and design values are associated with future average day capacities for the 8.5 MGD system. Classifications of each cost function are described below. City of Bozeman: Wastewater Cost of Service & Rate Design Study 12 Classification percentages are presented in Table 16 with the total classified costs presented in Table 17. • Administration: Administrative costs are classified 100 percent into the Customer classification. • Collection: Collection system costs are driven by flow through the system. For the purpose of this analysis, collection costs are allocated 100 percent to the Collection classification. • Pumping – Variable: Electricity costs associated with the collection system were allocated 100 percent to Pumping. • Treatment – Fixed: Costs identified as fixed treatment are associated with maximum or design values for flow and strength. As a result, classification is spread across flow, BOD, TSS, Phosphorous, and Nitrogen parameters. For this analysis, it was assumed that 50 percent of treatment fixed costs could be correlated with design flow, with the remaining 50 percent allocated 18 percent to design BOD, 21 percent to design TSS, six (6) percent to design Phosphorous, and five (5) percent to design Nitrogen. Design flow values refer to anticipated future flow demand associated with an 8.5 MGD facility, and design BOD, TSS, Phosphorous, and Nitrogen strength demands are those projected based on future flows at existing strength concentrations. • Treatment – Variable: Chemical costs equated to seven (7) percent of the costs with this function and were classified as Flow – Actual since they vary directly according to flow through the WRF. Remaining Treatment – Variable costs were associated with electricity at the WRF. These were classified 33 percent BOD – Actual, 39 percent TSS – Actual, 11 percent Phosphorous – Actual, and 10 percent Nitrogen – Actual. • Environmental: Costs identified as Environmental were allocated according to actual strength demands among BOD, TSS, Phosphorous, and Nitrogen. These were classified 35 percent BOD – Actual, 42 percent TSS – Actual, 12 percent Phosphorous – Actual, 11 percent Nitrogen – Actual. • Sludge Management: Costs related to Sludge Management were classified as TSS - Actual costs to enable direct allocation to high strength users. • IPP: Costs related to the IPP were classified as Assigned IPP costs to enable direct allocation to the Industrial user class. City of Bozeman: Wastewater Cost of Service & Rate Design Study 13 Table 16: Classification Percentages Function Classification - % Ad m i n Fl o w – De s i g n Fl o w – Ac t u a l BO D – De s i g n BO D – Ac t u a l TS S – De s i g n TS S – Ac t u a l Ph o s p h o r o u s – De s i g n Ph o s p h o r o u s – Ac t u a l Ni t r o g e n – De s i g n Ni t r o g e n – Ac t u a l Co l l e c t i o n Pu m p i n g IP P Administration 100% Collection 100% Pumping – Variable 100% Treatment – Fixed 50% 18% 21% 6% 5% Treatment – Variable 7% 33% 39% 11% 10% Environmental 35% 42% 12% 11% Sludge Management 100% IPP 100% City of Bozeman: Wastewater Cost of Service & Rate Design Study 14 Table 17: Total Classified Cost Function Classification - $ Ad m i n Fl o w – De s i g n Fl o w – Ac t u a l BO D – De s i g n BO D – Ac t u a l TS S – De s i g n TS S – Ac t u a l Ph o s p h o r o u s – De s i g n Ph o s p h o r o u s – Ac t u a l Ni t r o g e n – De s i g n Ni t r o g e n – Ac t u a l Co l l e c t i o n Pu m p i n g IP P Administration $3,346 Collection $2,999,289 Pumping – Fixed Pumping – Variable $20,500 Treatment – Fixed $2,324,000 $817,308 $979,057 $284,781 $242,854 Treatment – Variable $62,315 $293,596 $351,700 $102,300 $87,239 Environmental $160,267 $191,984 $55,843 $47,622 Sludge Management $160,630 IPP $105,750 Total $3,346 $2,324,000 $62,315 $817,308 $453,863 $979,057 $704,314 $284,781 $158,143 $242,854 $134,861 $2,999,289 $20,500 $105,750 Total $9,290,381 City of Bozeman: Wastewater Cost of Service & Rate Design Study 15 Cost Allocation The final step in the COSA was to allocate the classified costs to the user types identified below: • Single Family Residential; • Multi-Family Residential; • Commercial; • Government; • MSU; • Industrial; and • I/I. It is important to note that cost allocated to I/I will be allocated back to all user classes. Potential approaches to the allocation of I/I are discussed further below, along with the recommended approach. The allocation basis for each classification of cost is outlined below, with detailed cost allocation presented in Tables 18 through 31. It should be noted that due to rounding, the sum of values or direct multiplication of values in the tables may vary slightly from reported values. • Customer: The allocation of classified customer costs was based on the total number of accounts for all user classes. • Flow – Design and Collection: Allocated based on proportionate share of allocated 8.5 MGD capacity of the system represented as design average day flows in MGD to all user classes. • Flow – Actual and Pumping - Actual: Allocated based on proportionate share of actual average day flow to all user classes. • BOD – Design, TSS – Design, Phosphorous – Design and Nitrogen – Design: Allocated to all users based on proportionate share of allocated capacity of the system represented as design average day pounds per day (ppd) for respective strength parameter. To calculate strength attributable to each user class, data related to total pounds contributed from high strength Industrial users and total strength into the plant was evaluated. For all but the high strength user, the domestic strength concentrations from Table 9 were assumed. The balance of strength into the WRF and not contributed by high strength users was allocated to the remaining customers and I/I. For the I/I contribution, a textbook concentration of 15 mg/L was assumed for BOD, TSS, and Nitrogen, with 5 mg/L assumed for Phosphorous as recommended in the WEF MOP 27. The result of this analysis yielded estimated actual domestic strength concentrations of approximately 330 mg/L BOD, 297 mg/L TSS, 5 mg/L Phosphorous, and 20 mg/L Nitrogen. • BOD – Actual, TSS – Actual and TKN – Actual: Allocated based proportionate share of average pounds per day for respective strength parameter. • Assigned IPP: IPP program costs were directly allocated to the Industrial class. City of Bozeman: Wastewater Cost of Service & Rate Design Study 16 Table 18: Customer Cost Allocation # of Accounts % Share Total Single Family 9,172 73.1% $2,447 Multi-Family 2,193 17.5% $585 Commercial 1,108 8.8% $295 Government 51 0.4% $14 MSU 20 0.2% $5 Industrial 1 0.01% $0 Total 12,545 100.0% $3,346 Table 19: Flow – Design Allocation Flow Design (MGD) % Share Total Single Family 1.66 19.5% $453,239 Multi-Family 1.60 18.9% $438,467 Commercial 1.78 21.0% $487,833 Government 0.09 1.1% $24,727 MSU 0.72 8.5% $196,551 Industrial 0.08 0.9% $21,907 I/I 2.57 30.1% $701,276 Total 8.50 100.0% $2,324,000 While current average day operations of the system handle an estimated 5.23 MGD of wastewater, the existing plant has been sized to meet future average day requirements of 8.50 MGD as the community continues to grow. The majority of costs to be allocated on the Design Flow basis are those that generally linked to the ability of the system to perform at the 8.50 MGD level. To develop Design basis allocation factors, the share of future average day flow was estimated based on current maximum month operations for the Industrial user, with the balance allocated equally to all other user classes. This assumes that growth within the community will correspond to wastewater discharge volumes and will be approximately equal for all user classes, with the exception of Industrial. Table 20: Flow - Actual Allocation Billed Flow (CCF) MGD % Share Total Single Family 495,854 1.02 19.5% $12,118 Multi-Family 479,693 0.98 18.8% $11,723 Commercial 533,700 1.09 20.9% $13,043 Government 27,052 0.06 1.1% $661 MSU 215,032 0.44 8.4% $5,255 Industrial 28,950 0.06 1.1% $707 I/I 1.58 30.2% $18,808 Total 1,780,281 5.23 100.0% $62,315 City of Bozeman: Wastewater Cost of Service & Rate Design Study 17 Table 21: BOD – Design Allocation BOD - Design (PPD) % Share Total Single Family 4,582 26.2% $214,065 Multi-Family 4,433 25.3% $207,088 Commercial 4,932 28.2% $230,403 Government 250 1.4% $11,679 MSU 1,987 11.4% $92,831 Industrial 990 5.7% $46,248 I/I 321 1.8% $14,994 Total 17,495 100.0% $817,308 Table 22: BOD – Actual Allocation BOD- Actual (PPD) % Share Total Single Family 2,808 25.9% $117,484 Multi-Family 2,717 25.0% $113,655 Commercial 3,022 27.9% $126,451 Government 153 1.4% $6,410 MSU 1,218 11.2% $50,948 Industrial 733 6.8% $30,660 I/I 197 1.8% $8,255 Total 10,848 100.0% $453,863 Table 23: TSS – Design Allocation TSS - Design (PPD) % Share Total Single Family 4,128 27.2% $266,731 Multi-Family 3,994 26.4% $258,038 Commercial 4,443 29.3% $287,089 Government 225 1.5% $14,552 MSU 1,790 11.8% $115,670 Industrial 251 1.7% $16,239 I/I 321 2.1% $20,738 Total 15,152 100.0% $979,057 City of Bozeman: Wastewater Cost of Service & Rate Design Study 18 Table 24: TSS – Actual Allocation TSS - Actual (PPD) % Share Total Single Family 2,530 27.1% $191,209 Multi-Family 2,447 26.3% $184,977 Commercial 2,723 29.2% $205,802 Government 138 1.5% $10,432 MSU 1,097 11.8% $82,919 Industrial 186 2.0% $14,062 I/I 197 2.1% $14,913 Total 9,318 100.0% $704,314 Table 25: Phosphorous – Design Allocation P - Design (PPD) % Share Total Single Family 69 19.0% $54,011 Multi-Family 67 18.4% $52,250 Commercial 74 20.4% $58,133 Government 3 1.0% $2,946 MSU 30 8.2% $23,422 Industrial 13 3.7% $10,451 I/I 107 29.3% $83,568 Total 365 100.0% $284,781 Table 26: Phosphorous – Actual Allocation P - Actual (PPD) % Share Total Single Family 42 18.8% $29,738 Multi-Family 41 18.2% $28,769 Commercial 46 20.2% $32,008 Government 2 1.0% $1,623 MSU 18 8.2% $12,896 Industrial 10 4.4% $6,951 I/I 66 29.2% $46,158 Total 225 100.0% $158,143 City of Bozeman: Wastewater Cost of Service & Rate Design Study 19 Table 27: Nitrogen - Design Allocation N - Design (PPD) % Share Total Single Family 277 21.1% $51,227 Multi-Family 267 20.4% $49,558 Commercial 298 22.7% $55,137 Government 15 1.2% $2,795 MSU 120 9.1% $22,215 Industrial 13 1.0% $2,476 I/I 321 24.5% $59,446 Total 1,311 100.0% $242,854 Table 28: Nitrogen – Actual Allocation N - Actual (PPD) % Share Total Single Family 169 21.0% $28,365 Multi-Family 164 20.4% $27,441 Commercial 182 22.6% $30,530 Government 9 1.2% $1,547 MSU 74 9.1% $12,301 Industrial 10 1.2% $1,656 I/I 198 24.5% $33,020 Total 806 100.0% $134,860 Table 29: Collection Allocation Flow Design (MGD) % Share Total Single Family 1.66 19.5% $584,938 Multi-Family 1.60 18.9% $565,873 Commercial 1.78 21.0% $629,583 Government 0.09 1.1% $31,912 MSU 0.72 8.5% $253,663 Industrial 0.08 0.9% $28,272 I/I 2.57 30.1% $905,046 Total 8.50 100.0% $2,999,289 City of Bozeman: Wastewater Cost of Service & Rate Design Study 20 Table 30: IPP Allocation SIUs % Total Single Family 0.00 0.00% $ - Multi-Family 0.00 0.00% $ - Commercial 1.00 33.33% $35,250 Government 0.00 0.00% $ - MSU 1.00 33.33% $35,250 Industrial 1.00 33.33% $35,250 I/I 0.00 0.00% $ - Total 3.00 100.0% $105,750 Table 31: Pumping - Actual Allocation Average (MGD) % Total Single Family 1.02 19.5% $3,986 Multi-Family 0.98 18.8% $3,857 Commercial 1.09 20.9% $4,291 Government 0.06 1.1% $217 MSU 0.44 8.4% $1,729 Industrial 0.06 1.1% $233 I/I 1.58 30.2% $6,187 Total 5.23 100.0% $20,500 I/I Cost Allocation Costs related to I/I can be allocated to users in a variety of ways: Allocation on an average day flow basis, on an inch-diameter-mile of pipeline utilized basis, on a sewer shed area as a percent of total service area acreage-basis, on a per-account basis, or on a combination of these approaches. For the purpose of this analysis, MSU was allocated I/I based on sewer shed area in acres, while the remainder of I/I cost was allocated to all user classes based on number of accounts in each class. The I/I allocation utilized in this analysis is summarized in Table 32. City of Bozeman: Wastewater Cost of Service & Rate Design Study 21 Table 32: I/I Allocation Accounts % Total Area (square acres) % Cost MSU 0.54 2.8% $53,927 City of Bozeman 19.15 97.2% $1,858,484 # Accounts % Cost Single Family Residential 9,172 73.2% $1,360,959 Multi-Family Residential 2,193 17.5% $325,402 Commercial 1,108 8.8% $164,407 Government 51 0.4% $7,568 MSU 0 0.0% $ - Industrial 1 0.01% $148 Total City of Bozeman 12,525 100.0% $1,858,484 Total $1,912,411 City of Bozeman: Wastewater Cost of Service & Rate Design Study 22 COSA RESULTS SUMMARY Table 33 presents the COSA results for all user classes served by the City. The results of the COSA are then compared to Test Year Revenue (estimated revenue at existing rates) collections to determine sufficiency of existing rates for each user class. A comparison of cost versus revenue share percentages for each user class is shown in Table 34. The percent difference is calculated as the cost percentage minus the revenue percentage, divided by the cost percentage. A percent difference with +/- five to ten percent is generally considered to be within an acceptable range. Where the percent difference is greater than +/- five to ten percent, revision to the rates and/or structure are deemed appropriate to improve the cost-revenue relationship between user classes. Table 33: COSA Results Summary Total Allocated Cost Percent of Cost Single Family Residential $3,370,517 36.3% Multi-Family Residential $2,267,682 24.4% Commercial $2,360,255 25.4% Government $117,083 1.3% MSU $959,583 10.3% Industrial $215,261 2.3% Total $9,290,381 100.0% Table 34: Cost versus Revenue Percentage Comparison Percent of Cost Percent of Revenue % Difference Single Family Residential 36.3% 41.7% +15.0% Multi-Family Residential 24.4% 23.5% -3.6% Commercial 25.4% 22.5% -11.3% Government 1.3% 1.2% -8.9% MSU 10.3% 8.3% -19.7% Industrial 2.3% 2.8% +19.8% Total 100.0% 100.0% The results of the Wastewater COSA indicate that, based on the assumptions in this analysis, there is some disparity between the user classes under the existing rate configuration. In particular, on a percentage basis: • The Single Family Residential class is contributing revenue in excess of its associated cost; • The Commercial class is paying less than its associated cost; • The MSU class appears to be paying significantly less than its associated cost of service; and • The Industrial class appears to be paying significantly more than its associated cost. City of Bozeman: Wastewater Cost of Service & Rate Design Study 23 RATE DESIGN The results of the COSA, as previously discussed, indicated that revenue generated from the existing rates was higher than the cost of service estimated for the Single Family Residential and Industrial user classes, and lower than the cost of service for the Commercial and MSU user classes. These inequities can be corrected by making user class-specific adjustments to the volumetric rates. For the Industrial class, however, correcting the cost of service also involves consideration of how the rate structure generates revenue for flow-based revenue requirements versus strength-based revenue requirements. Fixed Monthly Service Charges It is generally recommended that a utility recover the revenue requirements associated with General Administrative and Customer costs, as well as a portion of debt or Capital, through the fixed charge. The fixed charge was found to sufficiently cover the administrative portion of Capital, Collection O&M, WRF Operation O&M, the Laboratory, and Debt. For the Test Year, these Administrative Revenue Requirements are shown in Table 35. Table 36 summarizes expected Test Year fixed charge revenues, which are shown to exceed the revenue requirements listed in Table 35, thereby verifying the appropriateness of the existing fixed service charge configuration. Table 35: Calculated Customer-Related Revenue Requirements Costs Adjusted Test Year Revenue Requirements Administrative Portion of: Admin $3,346 Collection O&M $623,955 WRF Operations O&M $122,177 Laboratory $900 Debt $1,704,247 Total $2,454,625 Table 36 illustrates an approach to a revenue-neutral rate design incorporating fixed monthly charges based on the existing user classes. A one-time correction was made to the Industrial rates as shown in Table 36 to partially correct the cost of service inequity for that user class. City of Bozeman: Wastewater Cost of Service & Rate Design Study 24 Table 36: Revenue Neutral Fixed Service Charges # Bills/Yr 2018 Rate $/Month/ Meter 2018 $ Alternate Rate Design $/Month/Meter Alternate $ % Change Single Family Residential 110,064 $19.01 $2,092,317 $19.01 $2,092,317 0% Multi-Family Residential 26,316 $19.49 $512,899 $19.49 $512,899 0% Commercial 13,296 $19.49 $259,139 $19.49 $259,139 0% Government 612 $19.49 $11,928 $19.49 $11,928 0% MSU 240 $19.49 $4,678 $19.49 $4,678 0% Industrial 12 $50.82 $610 $38.98 $468 -23.3% Total 150,540 $2,881,569 $2,881,429 Volumetric Charges Table 37 summarizes current volumetric rates for each user class and alternate COSA-based rates. As the City looks to establish rates for future budgets, it is recommended that gradual implementation of COSA-based rates be developed over a three- to five-year period. This recommendation is in light of the fact the COSA is a one-year evaluation of the cost basis of the utility. It is expected that as costs increase in the future, the City will be able to step into the changes to align with allocated cost percentages from the COSA analysis. Table 37: Revenue-Neutral Volumetric Rate Recommendations CCF Billed/Yr 2018 Rate $/CCF 2018 $ Alternate Rate Design $/CCF Alternate $ % Change Single Family Residential 495,854 $3.15 $1,561,940 $3.15 $1,561,940 0% Multi-Family Residential 479,693 $3.23 $1,549,409 $3.23 $1,549,409 0% Commercial 533,700 $3.23 $1,723,851 $3.36 $1,793,231 4.0% Government 27,052 $3.23 $87,379 $3.36 $90,896 4.0% MSU 215,032 $3.23 $694,551 $3.42 $735,407 5.9% Industrial 28,950 $7.75 $224,363 $3.89 $112,616 -49.8% Total 1,780,281 $5,841,493 $5,843,499 Strength Surcharges The existing strength surcharges were compared with the unit surcharges costs calculated as part of the cost analysis. The BOD rate was restructured to simplify and mirror industry standard rate structures for surcharge strength discharges. Rate structures for TSS, Phosphorous, and Nitrogen were unchanged, with COSA-based corrections adopted with 2019 rates. Table 38 summarizes the results of the strength surcharge rate analysis. City of Bozeman: Wastewater Cost of Service & Rate Design Study 25 Table 38: Calculated Strength Charges BOD TSS Phosphorous Nitrogen Total Allocated High Strength Cost ($) $1,271,171 $1,683,371 $442,924 $377,714 Total Pounds High Strength to the WRF 3,959,600 3,401,192 82,248 294,138 Calculated Cost ($/Pound) $0.33 $0.50 $5.39 $1.28 Current Charge ($/Pound) $0.33 $0.51 $5.55 $0.46 Wastewater Rate Benchmarking Every year, AE2S completes a rate survey for communities in the Upper Midwest. Figure 2 compares the wastewater utility billing from all Montana participants serving greater than 5,000 people in 2018. The typical bills shown below are using a 6,000 gallon per month metered flow. Figure 2: Typical Monthly Residential Wastewater Utility Bill (2019) City of Bozeman: Wastewater Cost of Service & Rate Design Study 26 REVENUE ADEQUACY Revenue adequacy is evaluated to determine the short-term and long-term adequacy of the existing rates, and to propose potential rate adjustments to ensure that the existing rates and any proposed changes do not negatively impact the City’s financial position in the future. This section summarizes background pertaining to projected revenue requirements, the assumptions used to evaluate revenue adequacy, specific recommendations for FY20 rates, and projected rates for FY20 through FY23 for the City’s Wastewater Utility. Financial Model and Assumptions A multi-year financial model was developed for the City. The model was built using the City’s current operations and funding policies based upon financial information provided by the staff. The model was used to project the net revenue requirements (total revenue requirements less miscellaneous operating and non-operating revenue), revenue generated from proposed rates, and the corresponding revenue surplus or deficiency. Since there is obvious uncertainty associated with projecting into the future, it is recommended that the rate assumptions be re-evaluated and updated on an annual basis in conjunction with budget and capital planning. The revenue adequacy assumptions are noted below: O&M Assumptions • 2018 Budget as a basis. • Three (3) percent annual inflation rate for General Inflation, Heat, and the Construction Index. • Five (5) percent annual inflation rate for Chemicals and Power. • Labor has an annual inflation rate of five (5) percent through 2023. Capital Assumptions • Annual capital expenditure projections based on the provided CIP for 2019-2023. Annual cash-funded amounts include: o 2019: $1,912,500 o 2020: $1,682,500 o 2021: $1,697,500 o 2022: $1,202,500 o 2023: $1,182,500 Debt Assumptions • Existing Debt: Approximately $290,000 outstanding principal on a State Revolving Fund (SRF) Loan and $17.6 million outstanding principal for Revenue Bonds. • Coverage: All existing debt carries with it the requirement to meet 110 percent coverage annually. Reserve Assumptions • Operating Reserve: Funded to a targeted level of 90 days O&M expense based on existing reserve policies (FY19 Target is $1,567,000). Revenue sources include rate City of Bozeman: Wastewater Cost of Service & Rate Design Study 27 revenue and miscellaneous income. Reserve funds would meet rate revenue shortfalls and unplanned O&M expenditures. Any revenues in excess of target would be transferred to other reserve funds until such a time as all reserve funds are funded at target levels. • Bond Reserve: Funded to a target level of one-year total debt service payment based upon bond covenants (FY19 Target is $1,789,000). Contributions include transfers in from the Operating Reserve. Reserve fund usage is limited to debt service payments only. • Renewal/Replacement Reserve: Funded to the five-year target level based on projected renewal deficiency using Weibull Analysis for horizontal (pipeline) infrastructure and adjusted annual facilities depreciation for above ground infrastructure. The sum of these two values yields the total annual adjusted depreciation and represents the minimum recommended annual capital investment/reinvestment in the system. To account for planned investment through rate-funded capital and debt service principal payments, these values are then subtracted from the total adjusted depreciation to determine if additional annual contributions to capital reserves is required. Table 39 summarizes the estimation of annual contributions to capital renewal/replacement reserves. Figure 3 shows the projected annual reinvestment from 2019 to 2023. • Rate Stabilization Reserve: Funded to floating target level based on cash-funded capital needs. Contributions include transfers in from Operating Reserve. Reserve funds would be used for unplanned capital investment and to minimize the need for sporadic rate increase due to large CIP items. Table 39: Renewal/Replacement Reserve Contributions 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 Adjusted Depreciation (Facilities) $3,041,025 $3,132,255 $3,226,223 $3,323,010 $3,422,700 Forecasted Pipeline Renewal and Replacement (Weibull Analysis) $639,210 $892,859 $892,859 $892,859 $892,859 Total Forecasted Reinvestment $3,680,235 $4,025,114 $4,119,082 $4,215,869 $4,315,559 Rate-Funded CIP $1,969,875 $1,784,964 $1,854,904 $1,353,424 $1,370,842 Debt Service Principal $1,576,770 $1,612,880 $1,916,759 $1,954,759 $1,992,759 Additional Capital Contribution $133,480 $627,270 $347,419 $907,685 $951,958 City of Bozeman: Wastewater Cost of Service & Rate Design Study 28 Figure 3: Projected Annual Reinvestment Revenue Assumptions • Fixed Rate Revenue: Revenue generated from the fixed rates was based on number of meter connections by size in 2017. Beginning in 2018 and for future years, Single Family Residential meters were increased by 3.8 percent annually, Multi-Family by 3.1 percent annually, and Commercial by 1.7 percent annually. Similar to the water analysis, Government, MSU, and Industrial account numbers were held constant. • Volumetric Rate Revenue: Revenue generated from volumetric rates was based on projected year-end wastewater flow for 2017. Beginning in 2019, Single Family Residential, Multi-Family Residential, and Commercial wastewater flows were indexed annually by 2.5, 3.0, and 1.7 percent, respectively. Wastewater flows from MSU were also projected to increase by 2.5 percent annually. No growth in flow was assumed for the Government and Industrial user classes. • All Miscellaneous Income was held constant through the study period. Utility Cash Balance Assumptions • The Operating Reserve balance at the end of FY17 was $3,657,953. • The Bond Covenant Reserve balance at the end of FY17 was $1,788,592. $- $500,000 $1,000,000 $1,500,000 $2,000,000 $2,500,000 $3,000,000 $3,500,000 $4,000,000 $4,500,000 $5,000,000 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 Projected Rate Funded Capital Expenditures Projected Annual Debt Service Principal Minimum Contribution to Repair & Replacement Reserve Projected Adjusted Depreciation City of Bozeman: Wastewater Cost of Service & Rate Design Study 29 Revenue Adequacy Model Projections The evaluation of the Wastewater Utility revenue adequacy entailed development of two (2) primary rate model scenarios: • Baseline Scenario – This model reflects increasing O&M expenses, growth of both flow and meters, and the incorporation of the CIP, but holds rates at the current (2018) level throughout the planning period. This is the “do nothing” scenario and serves to illustrate the effect that delaying necessary utility rate increases may have on utility finances. • Rate Adjustment Scenario – In addition to the adjustments to revenue requirements, wastewater flow, and meters noted for the Baseline Scenario, this model incorporates recommended adjustments to the utility rates and projects utility finances over the five- year planning period based on the recommended rate adjustments. In addition to overall revenue adequacy, the rate adjustments account for cost of service-based adjustments, reserve balances and targets, and debt service coverage. The Baseline and Rate Adjustment Scenario revenue adequacy models were developed to extend through the year 2028 but are shown in the following tables through 2023. It should be noted that revenue and expense requirements for any utility can vary significantly over the course of five years. It is recommended that the City review and update the model on an annual basis to adjust the rate plan for the coming year, as appropriate. Revenue Adequacy Results Baseline Scenario Under the Baseline Scenario, in which no rate increases are applied but annual revenue requirements grow, a revenue deficiency exists in all years. This would eventually lead to the depletion of all cash. The results of the Baseline Scenario are summarized in Table 40 and Figure 4. Under this scenario, the objective of funding a self-sufficient Wastewater Utility is not met. This approach is not recommended. City of Bozeman: Wastewater Cost of Service & Rate Design Study 30 Table 40: Baseline Revenue Adequacy Results 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 O&M $6,353,166 $6,670,824 $7,004,365 $7,354,583 $7,722,313 Rate-Funded Capital $1,912,500 $1,682,500 $1,697,500 $1,202,500 $1,182,500 Debt Repayment $1,474,059 $1,486,224 $1,497,669 $1,510,354 $1,522,239 Additional Capital Repair/Replacement Reinvestment $133,480 $627,270 $347,419 $907,685 $951,958 Total Revenue Requirements $9,873,205 $10,466,818 $10,546,953 $10,975,123 $11,379,010 Fixed Rate Revenue $3,082,855 $3,188,901 $3,298,723 $3,412,457 $3,530,246 Volumetric Rate Revenue $5,972,798 $6,109,608 $6,249,656 $6,393,012 $6,539,745 Strength Surcharge Revenue $19,182 $19,182 $19,182 $19,182 $19,182 Miscellaneous Revenue $106,500 $106,500 $106,500 $106,500 $106,500 Total Revenue $9,257,655 $9,500,510 $9,750,380 $10,007,470 $10,271,993 Operating Surplus/(Deficiency) ($615,550) ($966,308) ($796,573) ($967,653) ($1,107,018) Operating Reserve Balance $1,566,534 $1,644,861 $1,727,104 $1,813,459 $1,819,143 Repair/Replace Reserve $133,480 $760,750 $307,067 $160,744 $0 Bond Reserve Fund $1,788,592 $1,788,592 $1,788,592 $1,788,592 $1,788,592 Rate Stabilization Reserve $1,122,348 $77,713 $0 $0 $0 Total Utility Cash and Investments $4,610,954 $4,271,916 $3,822,762 $3,762,795 $3,607,735 City of Bozeman: Wastewater Cost of Service & Rate Design Study 31 Figure 4: Baseline Revenue Adequacy Results Rate Adjustment Scenario To address the objectives of meeting revenue requirements, building target reserve levels, and equitably recovering costs from user classes, the rate projections shown in Table 41 were developed. Based on the implementation of the rate recommendations in Table 41, Table 42 summarizes the overall projected revenue adequacy, including the coverage requirement to be achieved. Note that the FY19 rates in Table 41 were implemented while the study was in progress, in October 2018. Figure 5 illustrates the projected revenues and expenses through 2023, and Figure 6 depicts projected reserve fund cash balances through the same period. $- $1,000,000 $2,000,000 $3,000,000 $4,000,000 $5,000,000 $6,000,000 $7,000,000 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 Projected Wastewater Fund Balances Bond Covenant Reserve Cash Balance O&M Reserve Cash Balance Renewal/Replacement Reserve Cash Balance Rate Stabilization Reserve Balance Bond Reserve Target Operating and Bond Reserve Target Stacked Capital Reserve Target City of Bozeman: Wastewater Cost of Service & Rate Design Study 32 Table 41: Rate Adjustment Scenario Rate Structure Projections 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 Monthly Service Charge Single Family Residential $19.58 $19.58 $19.58 $19.58 $19.58 Multi-Family Residential $20.07 $20.07 $20.07 $20.07 $20.07 Commercial $20.07 $20.07 $20.07 $20.07 $20.07 Government $20.07 $20.07 $20.07 $20.07 $20.07 MSU $20.07 $20.07 $20.07 $20.07 $20.07 Industrial $38.98 $38.98 $38.98 $38.98 $38.98 Flow Charge Single Family Residential $3.28 $3.28 $3.28 $3.28 $3.28 Multi-Family Residential $3.36 $3.43 $3.49 $3.56 $3.64 Commercial $3.36 $3.56 $3.77 $3.93 $4.08 Government $3.36 $3.56 $3.77 $4.00 $4.24 MSU $3.36 $3.63 $3.92 $4.23 $4.57 Industrial $5.50 $5.67 $5.83 $6.01 $6.19 Strength Surcharge BOD > 250 mg/L $0.33 $0.34 $0.35 $0.36 $0.37 TSS > 350 mg/L per day $0.51 $0.53 $0.54 $0.56 $0.57 P > 5.0 mg/L per day $5.55 $5.72 $5.89 $6.06 $6.25 N > 20 mg/L per day $0.46 $0.47 $0.49 $0.50 $0.52 Table 42: Rate Adjustment Scenario Revenue Adequacy Results 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 O&M $6,353,166 $6,670,824 $7,004,365 $7,354,583 $7,722,313 Rate-Funded Capital $1,912,500 $1,682,500 $1,697,500 $1,202,500 $1,182,500 Debt Repayment $1,474,059 $1,486,224 $1,497,669 $1,510,354 $1,522,239 Additional Capital Repair/Replacement Reinvestment $133,480 $627,270 $347,419 $907,685 $951,958 Total Revenue Requirements $9,873,205 $10,466,818 $10,546,953 $10,975,123 $11,379,010 Fixed Rate Revenue $3,175,181 $3,284,408 $3,397,524 $3,514,671 $3,635,993 Volumetric Rate Revenue $6,145,445 $6,502,066 $6,883,706 $7,250,223 $7,640,260 Strength Surcharge Revenue $85,166 $87,721 $90,353 $93,063 $95,855 Miscellaneous Revenue $106,500 $106,500 $106,500 $106,500 $106,500 Total Revenue $9,512,292 $9,980,694 $10,478,083 $10,964,457 $11,478,609 Operating Surplus/(Deficiency) ($360,913) ($486,124) ($68,871) ($10,666) $99,599 Debt Service Coverage 214% 189% 182% 186% 191% Operating Reserve Balance $1,566,534 $1,644,861 $1,727,104 $1,813,459 $1,904,132 Repair/Replace Reserve $133,480 $760,750 $1,108,169 $2,015,855 $2,967,813 Bond Reserve Fund $1,788,592 $1,788,592 $1,788,592 $1,788,592 $1,788,592 Rate Stabilization Reserve $1,376,985 $812,534 $661,420 $564,399 $573,325 City of Bozeman: Wastewater Cost of Service & Rate Design Study 33 Figure 4: Projected Revenues and Revenue Requirements – Rate Adjustment Scenario Figure 5: Rate Adjustment Scenario Cash Balance Projections 3.6% 2.3%2.4%2.0%2.1% 0.00% 1.00% 2.00% 3.00% 4.00% 5.00% 6.00% 7.00% 8.00% 9.00% 10.00% $0 $2,000,000 $4,000,000 $6,000,000 $8,000,000 $10,000,000 $12,000,000 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 Total Revenues vs. Total Expenses Total Revenues Total Revenue Requirements Aggregate Rate Increase $- $1,000,000 $2,000,000 $3,000,000 $4,000,000 $5,000,000 $6,000,000 $7,000,000 $8,000,000 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 Projected Wastewater Fund Balances Bond Covenant Reserve Cash Balance O&M Reserve Cash Balance Renewal/Replacement Reserve Cash Balance Rate Stabilization Reserve Balance Bond Reserve Target Operating and Bond Reserve Target Stacked Capital Reserve Target City of Bozeman: Wastewater Cost of Service & Rate Design Study 34 FY20 Wastewater Bill Impacts To provide perspective on the magnitude of the rate projections in Table 41, bill impacts based on FY20 rate recommendations have been estimated for average water use values specific to each type of user. Table 43 presents the projected FY19 bills as compared to similar bills for FY18, as well as FY20 monthly bills for the amount of wastewater listed compared to the monthly charge at existing FY19 rates. The dollar and percentage value of the monthly increase is also presented. Table 43: Projected FY20 Monthly Bills Monthly Bill at FY18 Rates Monthly Bill at FY19 Rates FY19 Monthly Increase $ FY19 % Increase Monthly Bill at FY20 Rates FY20 Monthly Increase $ FY20 % Increase Single Family Residential 3 CCF $28.46 $29.41 $0.95 +3.3% $29.41 $0 0% 6 CCF $37.91 $39.24 $1.33 +3.5% $39.24 $0 0% 8 CCF $44.21 $45.79 $1.58 +3.6% $45.79 $0 0% Multi-Family Residential 24 CCF $97.01 $100.70 $3.69 +3.8% $102.31 $1.61 +1.6% Commercial 24 CCF $97.01 $100.70 $3.69 +3.8% $105.53 $4.83 +4.8% Government 24 CCF $97.01 $100.70 $3.69 +3.8% $105.53 $4.83 +4.8% MSU $58,395 $62,269 $3,874 +6.6% $68,955 $6,686 +10.7% Industrial $18,349 $13,672 $4,677 -25.6% $14,082 $410 +3.0% Cost of Service Alignment Table 44 summarizes the projected COSA difference between cost and revenue percentages for the rate adjustment scenario. The goal is to achieve a percent difference +/- five to ten percent. The projected percent difference for each user class over the planning period is shown in the lower half of the table. The actual percent difference values will vary, but the projections generally show a movement in the direction of correcting any cost of service disparity for all user classes. City of Bozeman: Wastewater Cost of Service & Rate Design Study 35 Table 44: Projected COSA Differences Target 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 Percent of Revenue: Single Family Residential 36.3% 42.8% 42.1% 41.4% 40.8% 40.2% Multi-Family Residential 24.4% 23.7% 23.7% 23.5% 23.5% 23.5% Commercial 25.4% 21.9% 22.3% 22.7% 22.9% 23.0% Government 1.3% 1.1% 1.1% 1.1% 1.1% 1.1% MSU 10.3% 8.0% 8.4% 8.9% 9.4% 9.9% Industrial 2.3% 2.4% 2.4% 2.3% 2.3% 2.3% Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% Percent Difference from Target Single Family 18.0% 16.1% 14.1% 12.5% 10.9% Multi-Family -2.7% -3.1% -3.5% -3.6% -3.7% Commercial -13.8% -12.1% -10.5% -10.0% -9.5% Government -13.0% -12.7% -12.5% -11.9% -11.4% MSU -22.6% -18.4% -14.0% -9.1% -3.9% Industrial 4.6% 2.6% 0.6% -1.0% -2.6% City of Bozeman: Wastewater Cost of Service & Rate Design Study 36 RECOMMENDATIONS The following general recommendations were developed in conjunction with completion of the Wastewater Rate Design: • Review Wastewater Revenue Adequacy annually. The City has undertaken this project to obtain a financial tool to assist in managing financial health of the Wastewater Utility. Although the projections herein contain proposed rate adjustments through 2023, a change in actual revenues or expenses from those projected could significantly impact the Utility. As a result, it is strongly recommended that the City closely monitor revenues and expenses as compared to those projected in the rate model, adjusting as necessary, and update the projected rate adjustments based on the desired objective of achieving consistent revenue adequacy and meeting cash reserve target balances. • Strive to Correct Cost of Service Inequities. Implementing the recommended changes to the wastewater rates over time will allow a gradual cost of service correction. The spreadsheet model calculates COSA percentages for each year, and the City should monitor those results and include consideration of COSA when making changes to the future rates. • Strength Charges: Adoption of the recommended approach to BOD charges will bring the treatment of BOD strength in line with the approach for other high strength charges in Bozeman and around the region. In addition, it is recommended the City note a BOD domestic limit of 250 mg/L in the rate resolution as well as City Ordinance. • Set Target Levels and Fund Reserves. It is recommended that the City establish and maintain the reserves noted below. Target levels are recommended as the minimum balance, but for the purpose of this analysis, Operating Reserve funds were capped at the recommended level to push excess reserves into the Repair/Replacement Reserve. Once all funds are fully funded at the target level, additional funds could be added at the City’s discretion. o Operating Reserves: Target = 90 days of operating expenses ($1,567,000 in FY19). o Renewal & Replacement: 10-Year Target based on Projected Renewal Deficiency ($2,968,000 by FY23). o Debt Service Reserve: Target = 1-Year Total Payment per Bond Covenants ($1,789,000 in FY19). o Rate Stabilization Fund: Target = Floating Target based on Cash-Funded Capital Needs • Monitor Near-Term Revenue Stability: Recommended increases to wastewater rates may result in changes to wastewater usage. Conservative wastewater growth has been assumed in the analysis, but it will be important to adjust the assumptions as actual usage information becomes available. Therefore, the City should closely monitor revenue stability.