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HomeMy WebLinkAbout04-13 envision_tomorrow_presentationEnvision Tomorrow +A LightningFast OverviewA Lightning-Fast OverviewArthur C NelsonPh DFAICPUniversity of UtahArthur C. Nelson, Ph.D, FAICP –University of UtahC.J. Gabbe, AICP – Fregonese Associates What is Envision Tomorrow?Envision Tomorrow?Suite ofscenario planningSuite of scenario planning toolsPrototype BuilderPrototype BuilderSite-scale Return on Investment (ROI) Model Scenario BuilderScenario Builder Extension for ArcGISIn development: 18In development: 18 modules (ET+) Why Use Scenario Planning?ygWeigh choices against consequencesTest policy options quicklyPrepare for uncertaintyPrepare for uncertaintyDevelop strategies to optimize outcomes Scenario Building ProcessScenario Building ProcessBuilding TypesDevelopment TypesScenario DevelopmentEvaluationTypesDevelopment1Step 1: Model a library of building types that areStep 1: Model a library of building types that are financially feasible at the local level. Create Prototype Buildingsyp gWhy start with buildings?Use ROI Model…Why start with buildings?Easily modeled & lots of existing dataDensity and designRents and sales pricesC t d ff d bilitCosts and affordabilityEnergy and water useFiscal impacts…to Create a Range of Buildings Scenario Building ProcessScenario Building ProcessBuilding TypesDevelopment TypesScenario DevelopmentEvaluationTypesDevelopment2Step 2: Define the buildings, streets and amenities that make up all the “places” in which we live, work and play. Development TypesA Variety of Buildings Streets and Amenities Create a“Place”A Variety of Buildings, Streets and Amenities Create a PlaceTown CenterMedium-Density ResidentialSingle-Family Residential Scenario Building ProcessScenario Building ProcessBuilding TypesDevelopment TypesScenario DevelopmentEvaluationTypesDevelopment3Step 3: Paint future land use scenarios to test the implications of different decisions or policies. Real-time Scenario Building and Evaluationand EvaluationSelectPaintSee Changes Instantly Scenario Building ProcessScenario Building ProcessBuilding TypesDevelopment TypesScenario DevelopmentEvaluationTypesDevelopment4Step 4: Compare the scenarios and monitor the impact of land use decisions in real-time. Monitor Indicators in Real-timeDetailed TablesQuick Reference Graphs But… What is ET+?ET pl s 18 “apps” nderPublic HealthET plus 18 “apps” under development based on University of Utah research:GthLtiPditiPublic Health Employment Growth Employment Resilience Growth Location Prediction Building and Land Use Types Building Energy Consumption Development Capital Redevelopment Timing Water Consumptionggy p7D Transportation Effects Return on Investment Hi T ttiWater Consumption Transportation Safety Workforce Housing Housing + Transportation Costs Air Quality and CO2 Impacts LEED-ND Arts and Public Amenities Local Jobs Housing BalanceFiscal Impact Local Jobs Housing Balance How is ET+ Unique?qTransparent and accessible toolTransparent and accessible toolArcGIS-Excel linkCalculations performed in ExcelpStarts at building levelWealth of available data on buildingsBegins with building-scale indicators (land use, energy, financial)Open source platformUniversity of Utah and user community will keep ET+ cutting edgecutting edge Testing the Apps on Six Catalyst SitesSix Catalyst SitesMagnaSLC Intermodal Center andCenter and Downtown StreetcarMeadowbook 3900 S.SandyProvo Questions?Arthur C. Nelson, Ph.D, FAICP – University of UtahC.J. Gabbe, AICP – Fregonese Associates