HomeMy WebLinkAbout10-06-26 Public Comment - N. Stein - Headwaters Comment __ 10_6 Work SessionFrom:Nathan Stein
To:Joey Morrison; Douglas Fischer; Jennifer Madgic; Emma Bode; Alison Sweeney
Cc:chuck.winn@bozeman.net; Brian Guyer; Brit Fontenot; David Fine; Jesse DiTommaso; Bozeman Public Comment
Subject:[EXTERNAL]Headwaters Comment // 10/6 Work Session
Date:Tuesday, October 6, 2026 11:40:00 AM
Attachments:image.png261005 Housing Levy Commission Letter.pdf
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Commissioners and Staff, thank you for the opportunity to provide a comment ahead of
tonight's work session. I've attached a written comment and will be there this evening to
provide an abbreviated comment in person.
Please let me know if you have any questions ahead of or following this evening's session.
Thank you,
Nathan
Nathan Stein
Executive Director | Headwaters Community Housing Trust
406.922.9554 | nstein@headwatershousing.org
www.headwatershousing.org
Book time to meet with me
Thank you, Commissioners and Staff, for the opportunity to weigh in on an important work
session as you consider several vital community needs, from public safety, to
transportation, to housing, and take on the difficult work of funding them with limited
resources.
I have the privilege of serving as the Executive Director of Headwaters Community Housing
Trust, a local community-led non-profit organization focused on powering community
vibrancy and economic opportunity through permanent housing affordability. I also had the
opportunity to chair the Regional Housing Coalition working group that produced Bridging
the Gap, a report that aimed to provide a roadmap for policymakers looking to address our
community’s critical challenge of housing affordability. I’m writing (and will be commenting
in person this evening) to encourage the continued consideration and study of a dedicated
levy or general obligation bond to fund housing as vital community infrastructure.
A healthy local economy requires housing at every price point. A healthy housing market
matches people to their point-in-time housing needs, and allows them to move up the
ladder as their lives and careers advance (and down the ladder as their needs and
preferences change). When the next rung of the housing ladder is out of reach for an
individual or household, they will leave for communities that can better meet their housing
needs. When this happens at scale, a community risks losing vital segments of its
workforce and culture. Last fall, Headwaters commissioned a poll and presented it to this
Commission – the key finding of that poll was that half of Bozeman voters say that the lack
of housing they can afford makes it hard to envision a long-term future in this community. A
shortage of homes that are affordable to moderate and middle-income households is a
binding constraint on economic growth and community vitality.
Bozeman's housing market has seen significant changes since the worst days of the
pandemic-era housing crisis. The market response to the price shocks we experienced at
the start of the decade has mostly taken the form of market-rate and LIHTC multifamily
development, with thousands of the former and hundreds of the latter delivered in recent
years, with more in the pipeline. Still, many households in the Gallatin Valley remain cost
burdened and struggle to retain stable and safe housing.
There are two critical gaps in the supply of new homes that neither the private market nor
existing federal programs like LIHTC have been able to address to date: deeply affordable
rental, shelter, and transitional housing for lower-income households, and entry-level
homeownership for working households. Today, the median home price (inclusive of
condos and townhomes) in Bozeman is $780,000, which is affordable to a 3-person
household earning twice the median income (200 AMI). According to the 2025 Gallatin
Valley Housing Report, there are nine cost-burdened households for every subsidized
rental unit in our community.
The reason that these gaps have not been addressed is simple – the market cannot
produce the homes we need at the price points that people can afford. High land and
development costs in our community mean that the cost to create a home is greater than
the price that a middle-income household can pay. This difference is called The Capital
Gap – and to create a home affordable to a middle-income household today in the Gallatin
Valley, that gap must be closed with some combination of philanthropy and public
investment. Depending on the project (typology, construction, affordability level), capital
gaps in our community can range from $50,000 to $250,000 per unit.
The existing tools our community has to bridge the Capital Gap are undersized to the scale
of the problem. Bozeman gets ~$400,000 a year in CDBG funds, which can’t be used for
middle-income housing. The Affordable Housing Ordinance incentives have yielded a
pipeline of 3 middle-income ownership units (in the Bozeman Yards project). Contributions
of public-owned land for affordable housing, like the Fowler or Hidden Creek projects, are
meaningful and real, but limited to rare cases in which local governments own a parcel
suited to development. Headwaters is working to grow our community’s pipeline of
permanently affordable homes, but scaling our community response requires additional
community resources.
Bozeman shares affordability challenges with other Western amenity communities like Big
Sky, Jackson, Boulder, Bend, and others – but unlike them , we have no dedicated local or
state-level public funding source for permanently affordable housing. None of these
communities have “solved” housing, but they have harnessed – and created – resources
that have allowed them to make meaningful strides towards affordability.
• Big Sky: A 3% resort tax, levied since 1992 and renewed by voters through 2065. In
May 2025, voters approved bonding against resort tax revenue to acquire land for
Cold Smoke, a planned neighborhood of nearly 400 homes stewarded by the Big Sky
Community Housing Trust.
• Jackson/Teton County: Voters approve a one-cent Specific Purpose Excise Tax
project by project. In 2022, all five housing measures, totaling about $80 million,
passed.
• Boulder: A dedicated affordable housing property tax since 1991 (about $3 million a
year), plus commercial linkage fees and cash-in-lieu. Every home the city’s housing
fund supports must remain permanently affordable. In 2025, Boulder made its
largest one-year housing investment and added 242 affordable homes.
• Bend: Oregon’s state-bond-funded LIFT Homeownership program makes 0%
deferred loans for homes affordable at or below 80% AMI, and requires a shared-
equity model such as a community land trust. Two recent Bend projects, Rooted at
Simpson and Woodhaven, received $20.7 million in LIFT funding for 146 homes,
plus $2.2 million in state general funds.
Bozeman isn’t powerless to address the problem – we have essentially three options
(which aren’t mutually exclusive): ask Helena either for funding or for the option to levy our
version of a resort tax, allocate more City general fund dollars (perhaps at the expense of
other programs), or raise additional funds ourselves, from ourselves, through a dedicated
levy or GO bond.
This isn’t the first time in recent years we’ve had this conversation. The 2021 Affordable
Housing Levy failed by only 276 votes – the good news is that we understand the challenge
better, and we can articulate a better case on the need, how funds would be deployed, and
the return on investment for the community. The City could require that funds go to
projects that provide permanent affordability through a Community Land Trust (CLT)
ground lease or deed restriction. It could target funds to specific gaps in the market, with a
mandate to assess those gaps and refine priorities on a regular schedule (3-5 years). It
could narrow the ask to voters by proposing a sunset on the program, placing the onus on
the City to articulate the impact of funds before asking voters to renew the program.
At tonight’s work session, this Commission should direct staff to continue the legwork for a
potential November 2027 ballot question for a housing levy. Staff should prepare a memo
on the levy amount, mill math, governance and eligible uses, and present findings and
recommendations at a future meeting. Headwaters is of course available as a thought
partner in the development of an initiative, and as a resource for our community in
understanding the challenge and potential solutions.
Thank you for your consideration and hard work.
In partnership,
Nathan Stein
Executive Director
Headwaters Community Housing Trust