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HomeMy WebLinkAbout005_TIS 619 Milestone Drive Belgrade, MT 59714 E5EngineeringPLLC@gmail.com (406) 209-3960 April 14, 2022 Kent Merselis, Director of Development BARNARD 701 Gold Avenue Bozeman, MT 59715 Re: Trip Generation Comparative Analysis for BARNARD Headquarters | Nelson Meadows Subdivision E5 Engineering, PLLC Project No. 22-0105 Dear Kent: This letter summarizes the findings from the trip generation comparative analysis for the proposed BARNARD headquarters building to be located on Lots 24, 25, and 26 of Nelson Meadows Subdivision in Bozeman, Montana. Transportation impacts and system recommendations for the area around the Nelson Meadows Subdivision were previously presented in the Traffic Impact Study: Park Place Industrial Park (Bozeman, Gallatin County, Montana) prepared by Morrison-Maierle in June 2018. Nelson Meadows Original Vehicle Trip Generation Projections Nelson Meadows Subdivision (aka Park Place Industrial Park) was evaluated under the Institute of Transportation Engineers (ITE) Land Use Code 130: Industrial Park in the original traffic impact study, having a total estimated building gross floor area of approximately 504,000 square feet (ft2). Based on the ITE Trip Generation Manual, 10th Edition (September 2017), the industrial park land use for Nelson Meadows Subdivision had an estimated vehicle trip generation of 1,926 average weekday trips and AM and PM peak hour trip projections of 287 and 267 vehicles, respectively. As described in the ITE Trip Generation Manual, “An industrial park contains several individual industrial or related facilities. It is characterized by a mix of manufacturing, service, and warehouse facilities with a wide variation in the proportion of each type of use from one location to another. Many industrial parks contain highly diversified facilities. Some parks in the database have a large number of small businesses and others have one or two dominant industries.” Proposed BARNARD Headquarters Vehicle Trip Generation Projections The proposed BARNARD headquarters building is proposed to be approximately 132,000 ft2 of gross floor area with four stories including 320 offices and 494 parking spaces. The proposed building has an estimated vehicle trip generation of 1,050 average total weekday trips plus 49 AM and 46 PM peak hour trips. The analyses were based on the ITE Trip Generation Manual, 11th Edition published in September 2021 for Land Use Code 714: Corporate Headquarters Building. The analyses used the building gross floor area (in thousands of square feet) as the independent variable. Trip Generation Comparative Analysis for BARNARD Headquarters | Nelson Meadows Subdivision April 14, 2022 F:\E5 Engineering PLLC\Projects\22-0105 - Barnard Office\Traffic Forecasting\20220414_22-0105_BARNARD-HQ_Trip-Gen-Summary.docx Page 2 of 3 Previously Approved Site Developments within Nelson Meadows Subdivision In addition to the proposed BARNARD headquarters site, other developments previously approved or in the City of Bozeman’s review process include the UPS Bozeman Parcel Distribution Facility, Bronken Warehouse, Ambient Air Solutions, Midwest Welding & Machine, and Kaufmann’s Overhead Door. The projected vehicle trip generation for the combined developments is 722 average weekday vehicles plus 109 and 99 vehicles during the weekday, AM and PM peak hours, respectively. Analyses of the trip generation for each of the proposed developments was updated per the ITE Trip Generation Manual, 11th Edition and are attached to this letter for reference. Comparative Analysis From the attached analyses, the proposed BARNARD headquarters building in combination with the other previously Nelson Meadows Subdivision developments has projected vehicular trips that are slightly less than what was originally forecast for Nelson Meadows Subdivision during the average weekday, being roughly 75 vehicles less per hour entering and exiting the development. Combined vehicular trip generation estimates for the average weekday, AM and PM peak hours are forecast to slightly exceed those originally projected for full buildout of Nelson Meadows Subdivision. Internal trip capture has not been accounted for in the evaluations included with the Traffic Impact Study: Park Place Industrial Park (Bozeman, Gallatin County, Montana), nor have they been accounted for as a part of this comparative analysis. Preliminary Signal Warrant Analysis It is anticipated that a primary concern for the City of Bozeman are impacts to the intersection of Nelson Road and the Interstate 90 (I-90) Frontage Road and the potential need for installation of a traffic signal at that location. Similarly to analyses included in the Traffic Impact Study: Park Place Industrial Park (Bozeman, Gallatin County, Montana), a preliminary evaluation was conducted for meeting minimum traffic signal warrant criteria for Warrant #1 – Eight-Hour Vehicular Volume and Warrant #2 – Four-Hour Vehicle Volume as delineated in the Manual on Uniform Traffic Control Devices published by the Federal Highway Administration (June 13, 2012). This evaluation utilized a procedure developed by the Oregon Department of Transportation for performing a preliminary signal warrant analysis based on estimated average daily traffic volumes. Based on the combined traffic volumes of the currently proposed developments within Nelson Meadows Subdivision, installation of a traffic signal may be warranted at the intersection of Nelson Road and the I-90 Frontage Road. Estimated average daily traffic volumes are projected to satisfy minimum criteria for Warrant #2: Four-Hour Vehicular Volume. The preliminary signal warrant analyses are also attached for reference. Summary of Findings The estimated vehicular trips during the average weekday, AM and PM peak hours from the combination of the BARNARD headquarters building, UPS Bozeman Parcel Distribution Facility, Bronken Warehouse, Ambient Air Solutions, Midwest Welding & Machine, and Kaufmann’s Overhead Door developments are comparable to those originally forecast for full buildout of Nelson Meadows Subdivision. From the analyses included with this letter, it is recommended that a traffic signal warrant study be conducted for the intersection of Nelson Road and the I-90 Frontage Road. Additional impacts to internal intersections within Nelson Meadows Subdivision nor Nelson Road and its intersections with Prince Lane or Royal Wolf Way are not anticipated that would require any additional mitigation or analysis with the development of the proposed BARNARD headquarters building. Trip Generation Comparative Analysis for BARNARD Headquarters | Nelson Meadows Subdivision April 14, 2022 F:\E5 Engineering PLLC\Projects\22-0105 - Barnard Office\Traffic Forecasting\20220414_22-0105_BARNARD-HQ_Trip-Gen-Summary.docx Page 3 of 3 Thank you for the opportunity to work with you on this project. If you have any questions or concerns regarding the analyses, please do not hesitate to contact me. Sincerely, Tom Eastwood, PE, PTOE Owner Encl.: ❑ Trip Generation Comparative Analysis (2 Pages) ❑ Preliminary Traffic Signal Warrant Evaluation (3 Pages) cc: Matt Ekstrom, PE | Morrison-Maierle ITE Land Use Code Quantity 2Units Enter Exit Total Enter Exit Total Enter Exit Total Full Development | Nelson Meadows Subdivision (aka Park Place Industrial Park) Industrial Park 130 504 GFA 963 963 1,926 232 55 287 56 211 267 1Source: Traffic Impact Study: Park Place Industrial Park (Bozeman, Gallatin County, Montana), prepared by Morrison-Mairle (Bozeman, MT) dated June 2018 based on data from Trip Generation Manual, 10th Edition , Institute of Transportation Engineers (Washington, DC) published in September 2017. 2Units: GFA = 1,000 Square Feet Gross Floor Area Estimated Trip Generation | Nelson Meadows Subdivision - Approved & Proposed Developments to Date ITE Land Use Code Quantity 3Units Enter Exit Total Enter Exit Total Enter Exit Total 4Lot 1A - UPS Bozeman Parcel Distribution Facility (FINAL REVIEW) General Light Industrial 110 35.10 GFA 86 86 172 23 3 26 3 20 23 5Lots 5 & 6 - Bronken Warehouse (PUBLIC NOTICE) General Light Industrial 110 68.26 GFA 166 166 332 45 6 51 6 39 45 6Lot 7 - Ambient Air Solutions (FINAL REVIEW) General Light Industrial 110 10.33 GFA 25 25 50 7 1 8 1 6 7 7Lot 9 - Midwest Welding & Machine (APPROVED) General Light Industrial 110 24.25 GFA 59 59 118 16 2 18 2 14 16 8Lot 16 - Kaufmann's Overhead Door (APPROVED) Warehousing 150 7.52 GFA 25 25 50 5 1 6 2 6 8 145.46 GFA Total Estimated Net New Vehicle Trip Ends =361 361 722 96 13 109 14 85 99 3Units: GFA = 1,000 Square Feet Gross Floor Area | Trip Generation from Institute of Transportation Engineers - Trip Generation Manual, 11th Edition (2021). 4Source: UPS Bozeman Parcel Distribution Facility - Site Plan Review Application to the City of Bozeman (July 2021). 5Source: Bronken Warehouse - Site Plan Review Application to the City of Bozeman (February 2022). 6Source: Ambient Air Solutions - Site Plan Review Application to the City of Bozeman (August 2021). 7Source: Midwest Welding and Machine - Site Plan Review Application to the City of Bozeman (April 2021). 8Source: Kaufmann's Overhead Door - Site Plan Review Application to the City of Bozeman (August 2021). Estimated Trip Generation | Proposed Development ITE Land Use Code Quantity 9Units Enter Exit Total Enter Exit Total Enter Exit Total BARNARD Headquarters Corporate Headquarters Building 714 132.00 GFA 525 525 1,050 179 13 192 15 157 172 Original TIS Projections | Industrial Park (Lots 24, 25, & 26)130 86.39 GFA 165 165 330 40 9 49 10 36 46 132.00 GFA Total Estimated Net New Vehicle Trip Ends =525 525 1,050 179 13 192 15 157 172 9Units: GFA = 1,000 Square Feet Gross Floor Area | Trip Generation from Institute of Transportation Engineers - Trip Generation Manual, 11th Edition (2021). 77 77 154 -43 29 -14 27 -31 -4 Trip Generation Comparative Analysis BARNARD Headquarters | Nelson Meadows Subdivision - Lots 24, 25, & 26 Estimated Weekday Trip Ends Estimated Weekday, AM Peak Hour Trip Ends Estimated Weekday, PM Peak Hour Trip Ends 1Original Estimated Trip Generation Traffic Impact Study: Park Place Industrial Park (Bozeman, Gallatin County, Montana) Estimated Weekday Trip Ends Estimated Weekday, AM Peak Hour Trip Ends Estimated Weekday, PM Peak Hour Trip Ends Estimated Weekday Trip Ends Estimated Weekday, AM Peak Hour Trip Ends Estimated Weekday, PM Peak Hour Trip Ends Total Commercial = Total Commercial = Remaining Balance of Originally Estimated Net New Vehicle Trip Ends from 2018 Traffic Impact Study with Reduction of Approved & Proposed Development = F:\E5 Engineering PLLC\Projects\22-0105 - Barnard Office\Traffic Forecasting\Barnard-Office_Trip-Gen-Analysis Page 1 of 2 4/14/2022 Trip Generation Comparative Analysis BARNARD Headquarters | Nelson Meadows Subdivision - Lots 24, 25, & 26 ITE Land Use Code 110: General Light Industrial| Setting/Location = General Urban/Suburban Trip Ends Analysis Case Estimated Vehicle Trip Ends On a Weekday 50%Entering 50%Exiting Estimated Vehicle Trip Ends On a Weekday, Peak Hour of Adjacent Street Traffic, One Hour Between 7:00 and 9:00 a.m. 88%Entering 12%Exiting Estimated Vehicle Trip Ends On a Weekday, Peak Hour of Adjacent Street Traffic, One Hour Between 4:00 and 6:00 p.m. 14%Entering 86%Exiting ITE Land Use Code 150: Warehousing| Setting/Location = General Urban/Suburban Trip Ends Analysis Case Estimated Vehicle Trip Ends On a Weekday 50%Entering 50%Exiting Estimated Vehicle Trip Ends On a Weekday, Peak Hour of Adjacent Street Traffic, One Hour Between 7:00 and 9:00 a.m. 77%Entering 23%Exiting Estimated Vehicle Trip Ends On a Weekday, Peak Hour of Adjacent Street Traffic, One Hour Between 4:00 and 6:00 p.m. 28%Entering 72%Exiting ITE Land Use Code 714: Corporate Headquarters Building| Setting/Location = General Urban/Suburban Trip Ends Analysis Case Estimated Vehicle Trip Ends On a Weekday 50%Entering 50%Exiting Estimated Vehicle Trip Ends On a Weekday, Peak Hour of Adjacent Street Traffic, One Hour Between 7:00 and 9:00 a.m. 93%Entering 7%Exiting Estimated Vehicle Trip Ends On a Weekday, Peak Hour of Adjacent Street Traffic, One Hour Between 4:00 and 6:00 p.m. 9%Entering 91%Exiting Source: Institute of Transportation Engineers - Trip Generation Manual, 11th Edition (2021). T = 0.77(X) T = Estimated Vehicle Trip Ends X = 1,000 Square Feet of Gross Floor Area N/A Rate Utilized Based on Comparable GFA T = 0.97(X) T = Estimated Vehicle Trip Ends X = 1,000 Square Feet of Gross Floor Area N/A Rate Utilized Based on Comparable GFA Estimated Trip Ends Analysis Equation Directional Distribution R2 Value T = 1.58(X) + 38.29 T = Estimated Vehicle Trip Ends X = 1,000 Square Feet of Gross Floor Area R2 = 0.92 N/A Average Rate Utilized T = 0.65(X) T = Estimated Vehicle Trip Ends X = 1,000 Square Feet of Gross Floor Area N/A Average Rate Utilized Directional Distribution T = 4.87(X) T = Estimated Vehicle Trip Ends X = 1,000 Square Feet of Gross Floor Area T = 0.74(X) T = Estimated Vehicle Trip Ends X = 1,000 Square Feet of Gross Floor Area N/A Average Rate Utilized Estimated Trip Ends Analysis Equation R2 Value T = 1.45(X) T = Estimated Vehicle Trip Ends X = 1,000 Square Feet of Gross Floor Area N/A Average Rate Utilized T = 1.30(X) T = Estimated Vehicle Trip Ends X = 1,000 Square Feet of Gross Floor Area N/A Average Rate Utilized Estimated Trip Ends Analysis Equation Directional Distribution R2 Value T = 7.95(X) T = Estimated Vehicle Trip Ends X = 1,000 Square Feet of Gross Floor Area N/A Average Rate Utilized F:\E5 Engineering PLLC\Projects\22-0105 - Barnard Office\Traffic Forecasting\Barnard-Office_Trip-Gen-Analysis Page 2 of 2 4/14/2022 Based on procedures developed by the Oregon Department of Transportation utilizing estimated average daily traffic volumes. Estimated Average Nelson Road Frontage Road Frontage Road Weekday Trips North of Frontage Road West of Nelson Road East of Nelson Road Lot Development (Vehicles Per Day)(Vehicles Per Day)(Vehicles Per Day)(Vehicles Per Day) 1A UPS Bozeman Parcel Distribution Facility 172 171 122 49 5 & 6 Bronken Warehouse 332 329 236 93 7 Ambient Air Solutions 50 50 36 14 9 Midwest Welding & Machine 118 117 84 33 16 Kaufmann's Overhead Door 50 50 36 14 24 - 26 BARNARD Headquarters 1,050 1,040 336 704 -1,040 6,017 6,576 1,772 2,797 6,867 7,483 1Source: Existing Frontage Road average annual daily traffic (AADT) data east of Nelson Road obtained from the Montana Department of Transportation for count location 16-3A-017 between Nelson Road and Springhill Road. Estimated AADT values for the Frontage Road west of Nelson Road and Nelson Road north of the Frontage Road calculated from proportions shown in the Traffic Impact Study: Park Place Industrial Park prepared by Morrison-Maierle in June 2018. Estimated Average Daily Traffic (EADT) Volumes for Warrant Analysis Development Cumulative Development Cumulative Lot Development (Vehicles Per Day)(Vehicles Per Day)(Vehicles Per Day)(Vehicles Per Day) -6,297 -364 1A UPS Bozeman Parcel Distribution Facility 86 6,383 25 389 5 & 6 Bronken Warehouse 165 6,548 47 436 7 Ambient Air Solutions 25 6,573 7 443 9 Midwest Welding & Machine 59 6,632 17 460 16 Kaufmann's Overhead Door 25 6,657 7 467 24 - 26 BARNARD Headquarters 520 7,177 352 819 880 7,177 455 819 Nelson Meadows Subdivision I-90 Frontage Road & Nelson Road | Preliminary Traffic Signal Warrant Evaluation Estimated Weekday Trip Distribution 2021 Estimated Existing Conditions Combined Totals 12021 Estimated Existing Conditions Combined Totals Estimated Average Daily Traffic Volumes Warrant #1 - Eight-Hour Vehicular Volumes (Using Eighth-Highest Hour) Vehicles Per Day on Major Street (Total of Both Approaches)Vehicles Per Day on Minor Street (Southbound Left Turns Only) F:\E5 Engineering PLLC\Projects\22-0105 - Barnard Office\Traffic Forecasting\Nelson-Meadows_Prelim-Signal-Warrant-Eval Page 1 of 3 Based on procedures developed by the Oregon Department of Transportation utilizing estimated average daily traffic volumes. Nelson Meadows Subdivision I-90 Frontage Road & Nelson Road | Preliminary Traffic Signal Warrant Evaluation Condition A - Minimum Vehicular Volume Major Street 5,850 Minor Street 1,750 Cumulative Minimum Warrant Criteria Met?Development Cumulative Lot Development (Vehicles Per Day)Yes or No - [% of Warrant](Vehicles Per Day)(Vehicles Per Day) 6,297 Yes - [107.6%]364 No - [20.8%] 1A UPS Bozeman Parcel Distribution Facility 6,383 Yes - [109.1%]389 No - [22.2%] 5 & 6 Bronken Warehouse 6,548 Yes - [111.9%]436 No - [24.9%] 7 Ambient Air Solutions 6,573 Yes - [112.4%]443 No - [25.3%] 9 Midwest Welding & Machine 6,632 Yes - [113.4%]460 No - [26.3%] 16 Kaufmann's Overhead Door 6,657 Yes - [113.8%]467 No - [26.7%] 24 - 26 BARNARD Headquarters 7,177 Yes - [122.7%]819 No - [46.8%] 7,177 Yes - [122.7%]819 No - [46.8%] Condition B - Interruption of Continuous Traffic Major Street 8,750 Minor Street 900 Cumulative Minimum Warrant Criteria Met?Development Cumulative Lot Development (Vehicles Per Day)Yes or No - [% of Warrant](Vehicles Per Day)(Vehicles Per Day) 6,297 No - [72%]364 No - [40.4%] 1A UPS Bozeman Parcel Distribution Facility 6,383 No - [72.9%]389 No - [43.2%] 5 & 6 Bronken Warehouse 6,548 No - [74.8%]436 No - [48.4%] 7 Ambient Air Solutions 6,573 No - [75.1%]443 No - [49.2%] 9 Midwest Welding & Machine 6,632 No - [75.8%]460 No - [51.1%] 16 Kaufmann's Overhead Door 6,657 No - [76.1%]467 No - [51.9%] 24 - 26 BARNARD Headquarters 7,177 No - [82%]819 No - [91%] 7,177 No - [82%]819 No - [91%] NoMinimum criteria satisfied for Warrant #1 - Eight-Hour Vehicular Volume? 2021 Estimated Existing Conditions Warrant Criteria Met? No Warrant Minimum Volumes (Vehicles Per Day)Warrant Minimum Volumes (Vehicles Per Day) Warrant Criteria Met? No Vehicles Per Day on Major Street (Total of Both Approaches)Vehicles Per Day on Minor Street (Southbound Left Turns Only) 2021 Estimated Existing Conditions Warrant Minimum Volumes (Vehicles Per Day)Warrant Minimum Volumes (Vehicles Per Day) Vehicles Per Day on Major Street (Total of Both Approaches)Vehicles Per Day on Minor Street (Southbound Left Turns Only) F:\E5 Engineering PLLC\Projects\22-0105 - Barnard Office\Traffic Forecasting\Nelson-Meadows_Prelim-Signal-Warrant-Eval Page 2 of 3 Based on procedures developed by the Oregon Department of Transportation utilizing estimated average daily traffic volumes. Nelson Meadows Subdivision I-90 Frontage Road & Nelson Road | Preliminary Traffic Signal Warrant Evaluation The fourth highest hourly volumes are based on the assumption that they are approximately 8.25% of the estimated average daily traffic (EADT). Development Cumulative Development Cumulative Lot Development (Vehicles Per Hour)(Vehicles Per Hour)(Vehicles Per Hour)(Vehicles Per Hour) -520 -30 1A UPS Bozeman Parcel Distribution Facility 7 527 2 32 5 & 6 Bronken Warehouse 14 541 4 36 7 Ambient Air Solutions 2 543 1 37 9 Midwest Welding & Machine 5 548 1 38 16 Kaufmann's Overhead Door 2 550 1 39 24 - 26 BARNARD Headquarters 43 593 29 68 73 593 38 68 Major Street -Minor Street 60 Cumulative Minimum Warrant Criteria Met?Development Cumulative Lot Development (Vehicles Per Day)Yes or No - [% of Warrant](Vehicles Per Day)(Vehicles Per Day) 520 -30 No - [50%] 1A UPS Bozeman Parcel Distribution Facility 527 -32 No - [53.3%] 5 & 6 Bronken Warehouse 541 -36 No - [60%] 7 Ambient Air Solutions 543 -37 No - [61.7%] 9 Midwest Welding & Machine 548 -38 No - [63.3%] 16 Kaufmann's Overhead Door 550 -39 No - [65%] 24 - 26 BARNARD Headquarters 593 -68 Yes - [113.3%] 593 -68 Yes - [113.3%] Yes 2021 Estimated Existing Conditions Warrant Criteria Met? Yes Minimum criteria satisfied for Warrant #2 - Four-Hour Vehicular Volume? Combined Totals Warrant Minimum Volumes (Vehicles Per Hour)Warrant Minimum Volumes (Vehicles Per Hour) Vehicles Per Day on Major Street (Total of Both Approaches)Vehicles Per Day on Minor Street (Southbound Left Turns Only) Warrant #2 - Four-Hour Vehicular Volumes (Using Fourth-Highest Hour) Vehicles Per Hour on Major Street (Total of Both Approaches)Vehicles Per Hour on Minor Street (Southbound Left Turns Only) 2021 Estimated Existing Conditions F:\E5 Engineering PLLC\Projects\22-0105 - Barnard Office\Traffic Forecasting\Nelson-Meadows_Prelim-Signal-Warrant-Eval Page 3 of 3