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HomeMy WebLinkAbout11-02-22 EVB Agenda & Packet MaterialsA.Call to Order - 6:00 PM B.Disclosures C.Changes to the Agenda D.Approval of Minutes D.1 Approval of August 3, 2022 and the September 29, 2022 Economic Vitality Board Meeting Minutes(DiTommaso ) E.Public Comments This is the time to comment on any matter falling within the scope of the Economic Vitality Board. There will also be time in conjunction with each agenda item for public comment relating to that item but you may only speak once. Please note, the Board cannot take action on any item which does not appear on the agenda. All persons addressing the Board shall speak in a civil and THE ECONOMIC VITALITY BOARD OF BOZEMAN, MONTANA EV AGENDA Wednesday, November 2, 2022 This meeting will be held both in-person and also using Webex, an online videoconferencing system. You can join this meeting: Via Webex: https://cityofbozeman.webex.com/cityofbozeman/onstage/g.php?MTID=e171b4bb83ffca59c98915694b250b46c Click the Register link, enter the required information, and click submit. Click Join Now to enter the meeting. Via Phone: This is for listening only if you cannot watch the stream, channel 190, or attend in-person United States Toll +1-650-479-3208 Access code: 2550 522 6255 If you are interested in commenting in writing on items on the agenda please send an email to agenda@bozeman.net prior to 12:00pm on the day of the meeting. Public comments will be accepted in-person during the appropriate agenda items. You may also comment by visiting the Commission's comment page. You can also comment by joining the Webex meeting. If you do join the Webex meeting, we ask you please be patient in helping us work through this hybrid meeting. As always, the meeting will be streamed through the Commission's video page and available in the City on cable channel 190. 1 courteous manner and members of the audience shall be respectful of others. Please state your name and place of residence in an audible tone of voice for the record and limit your comments to three minutes. General public comments to the Board can be found in their Laserfiche repository folder. F.Action Items F.1 Recommendation of Approval of Resolution 5443, Adoption of the City of Bozeman's 2022 Economic Vitality Strategy, to the Bozeman City Commission.(Fontenot) G.FYI/Discussion G.1 Community Housing Program Update(Munfrada) H.Adjournment I.For more information please contact Brit Fontenot, bfontenot@bozeman.net General information about the Economic Vitality Board is available in our Laserfiche repository. This board generally meets the first Wednesday of the month from 6:00 pm to 8:00 pm. Citizen Advisory Board meetings are open to all members of the public. If you have a disability and require assistance, please contact our ADA coordinator, Mike Gray at 406-582-3232 (TDD 406- 582-2301). In order for this Board to receive all relevant public comment in time for this meeting, please submit via the Commission Comment Page or by emailing agenda@bozeman.net no later than 12:00 PM on the day of the meeting. Public comment may be made in person at the meeting as well. 2 Memorandum REPORT TO:Economic Vitality Board FROM:Jesse DiTommaso, Economic Development Specialist Brit Fontenot, Economic Development Director SUBJECT:Approval of August 3, 2022 and the September 29, 2022 Economic Vitality Board Meeting Minutes MEETING DATE:November 2, 2022 AGENDA ITEM TYPE:Minutes RECOMMENDATION:I move to approve the August 3, 2022 and the September 29, 2022 Economic Vitality Board meeting minutes. STRATEGIC PLAN:1.1 Outreach: Continue to strengthen and innovate in how we deliver information to the community and our partners. BACKGROUND:In accordance with Commission Resolution 5323 and the City of Bozeman's Citizen Advisory Board Manual, all boards must have minutes taken and approved. Prepared minutes will be provided for approval by the board at the next regularly scheduled meeting. Staff will make any corrections identified to the minutes before submitting to the City Clerk's Office. UNRESOLVED ISSUES:None. ALTERNATIVES:As recommended by the board. FISCAL EFFECTS:None. Attachments: 080322 EVB Minutes.pdf 092922 EVB Minutes.pdf Report compiled on: October 18, 2022 3 Bozeman Economic Vitality Board Meeting Minutes, August 3, 2022 Page 1 of 3 THE ECONOMIC VITALITY BOARD MEETING OF BOZEMAN, MONTANA MINUTES August 3, 2022 Present: Joseph Morrison, Sara Savage, Suzanne Berget White, Craig Ogilvie, Danielle Rogers, John Carey, Katharine Osterloth, Christopher Coburn Absent: None A) 00:04:17 Call to Order - 6:00 PM B) 00:04:27 Disclosures • There were no disclosures. C) 00:04:43 Changes to the Agenda • There were no changes to the agenda. D) 00:04:44 Public Service Announcements • There were no public service announcements. E) 00:05:23 Approval of Minutes E.1 Approve the July 6, 2022 Economic Vitality Board Meeting Minutes 070622 EVB Minutes.pdf 00:06:05 Motion Motion to approve the minutes as amended with Suzi Berget-White as absent. Sara Savage: Motion Suzanne Berget White: 2nd 00:06:18 Vote on the Motion to approve Motion to approve the minutes as amended with Suzi Berget- White as absent.. The Motion carried 7 - 0 Approve: Joseph Morrison Sara Savage Suzanne Berget White 4 Bozeman Economic Vitality Board Meeting Minutes, August 3, 2022 Page 2 of 3 Craig Ogilvie Danielle Rogers John Carey Katharine Osterloth Disapprove: None F) 00:07:04 Consent Items • There were no consent items. G) 00:07:16 Public Comments • There were no public comments. H) 00:07:57 Special Presentations H.1 00:08:01 Intersection Art Project seeks local 00:07:18 Interim Communications and Engagement Manager for the City, Dani Hess, provided a presentation on the Intersection Art Project. I) 00:15:24 Action Items I.1 00:15:28 Recommendation on the new Affordable Housing Ordinance AHO EV Board Memo 08.03.22 v.2.pdf Ordinance 2105 38.380 Affordable Housing 7-25-2022.pdf AHO Public Notice.pdf Ordinance 2105 38.380 Affordable Housing 7-25-2022.pdf 00:15:58 Economic Development Program Manager, David Fine, provided the presentation for Ordinance 2105, the Affordable Housing Ordinance. 00:28:32 Questions of Staff 00:56:52 Public Comment 00:57:16 Motion Having reviewed and considered the staff memo, draft ordinance, public comment, and all information presented, I hereby recommend approval of Ordinance 2105. Sara Savage: Motion Danielle Rogers: 2nd 00:57:30 Discussion 01:16:04 Vote on the Motion to approve Having reviewed and considered the staff memo, draft ordinance, public comment, and all information presented, I hereby recommend approval of Ordinance 2105.. The Motion carried 6 - 1 Approve: Joseph Morrison 5 Bozeman Economic Vitality Board Meeting Minutes, August 3, 2022 Page 3 of 3 Sara Savage Suzanne Berget White Danielle Rogers John Carey Katharine Osterloth Disapprove: Craig Ogilvie J) 01:16:31 FYI/Discussion • Commissioner Coburn highlighted a short term rental work session on Tuesday, August 9th. • The Board provided a list of topics and trainings they would like to review or have. K) 01:40:24 Adjournment 6 Bozeman City Commission Meeting Minutes, September 29, 2022 Page 1 of 2 THE CITY COMMMISSION MEETING OF BOZEMAN, MONTANA MINUTES September 29, 2022 A) Call Special Meeting to Order - 6:00 PM Present: Joseph Morrison, Craig Ogilvie, John Carey, Christopher Coburn Absent: None Excused: Sara Savage, Suzanne Berget White, Danielle Rogers, Katharine Osterloth The meeting did not take place as there was no quorum. B) Disclosures C) Changes to the Agenda D) 00:07:57 Public Comments 00:09:57 Rene Westlake, Public Comment Rene Westlake commented encouraging the inclusion of the performing arts in the Economic Development Strategy. 00:15:14 Doug Badonock, Public Comment Doug Badanock commented encouraging the inclusion of the performing arts in the Economic Development Strategy. 00:17:31 Steven Shockman, Public Comment Steven Shockman commented encouraging the inclusion of the performing arts in the Economic Development Strategy. 00:19:39 John Luden, Public Comment John Luden commented encouraging the inclusion of the performing arts in the Economic Development Strategy. 7 Bozeman City Commission Meeting Minutes, September 29, 2022 Page 2 of 2 00:22:19 Norman Huynh Norman Huynh commented encouraging the inclusion of the performing arts in the Economic Development Strategy. 00:26:22 Sarah Muligan, Public Comment Sarah Muligan commented encouraging the inclusion of the performing arts in the Economic Development Strategy. 00:28:06 Genevieve Trygstad-Burke, Public Comment Genevieve Trygstad-Burke commented encouraging the inclusion of performing arts in the Economic Development Strategy. E) Action Items E.1 Recommendation of Approval of Resolution 5443, Adoption of the City of Bozeman's 2022 Economic Vitality Strategy, to the Bozeman City Commission. F) 00:29:50 FYI/Discussion 00:29:58 Board Comments G) 00:32:40 Adjournment 8 Memorandum REPORT TO:Economic Vitality Board FROM:Brit Fontenot, Economic Development Director SUBJECT:Recommendation of Approval of Resolution 5443, Adoption of the City of Bozeman's 2022 Economic Vitality Strategy, to the Bozeman City Commission. MEETING DATE:November 2, 2022 AGENDA ITEM TYPE:Resolution RECOMMENDATION:Recommend Approval of Resolution 5443, Adoption of the City of Bozeman's 2022 Economic Vitality Strategy, to the Bozeman City Commission. STRATEGIC PLAN:2.1 Business Growth: Support retention and growth of both the traded and local business sectors while welcoming and encouraging new and existing businesses, in coordination with the Economic Development Plan. BACKGROUND:See attached memo UNRESOLVED ISSUES:See attached memo. ALTERNATIVES:See attached memo. FISCAL EFFECTS:See attached memo. Attachments: EV Board Memo 11-02-22 REVISED 10.26.22.pdf Resolution_5443_Adoption_of_the_2022_Economic_Vitality_Strategy.pdf Bozeman Economic Vitality Strategy 10.17.22 Final Complete.pdf Report compiled on: October 26, 2022 9 Economic Vitality Board Memorandum REPORT TO: Economic Vitality Board FROM: Brit Fontenot, Economic Development Director SUBJECT: Recommendation of Approval of Resolution 5443, Adoption of the City of Bozeman's Economic Vitality Strategy, to the Bozeman City Commission MEETING DATE: November 2, 2022 AGENDA ITEM TYPE: Action Item RECOMMENDATION: Discussion and Recommend Approval of Resolution 5443, Adoption of the City of Bozeman's Economic Vitality Strategy, to the Bozeman City Commission STRATEGIC PLAN: 2.1 Business Growth: Support retention and growth of both the traded and local business sectors while welcoming and encouraging new and existing businesses in coordination with the Economic Development Plan. BACKGROUND: The Economic Development Department has been guided by an economic development strategy since 2009. In 2016, an update was adopted and was intended as a 5 year plan for the City’s economic development priorities and activities. As part of its’ first 2-year workplan, the Economic Vitality Board, created in late 2021, authorized the drafting of an updated economic vitality strategy to guide the City for the next five years in a rapidly changing economic environment. The Economic Vitality Board took a leadership role in advancing the 2022 Strategy by appointing two members of the Board to the Regional Leadership Committee, a broad stakeholder group consisting of education, business, economic development and government leaders. The result of the month’s long collaboration and effort are included in the 2022 Economic Vitality Strategy. Unique to this strategy is the inclusion of housing, or lack thereof, as a significant workforce issue limiting economic opportunities. Additionally, a healthy resilient and sustainable economy requires identification and consideration of barriers to economic opportunity. Consequently, diversity, equity and inclusion is a component of this strategy document. 10 UNRESOLVED ISSUES: None at this time ALTERNATIVES: As determined by the Economic Vitality Board FISCAL EFFECTS: The fiscal effects of Commission adoption of the 2022 Economic Vitality Strategy are undetermined at this time. Adoption of Resolution 5443, the 2022 Strategy, does not obligate the City to invest additional resources into any of the plan recommendations. The 2022 Strategy is built as a guiding document that identifies areas of advancement over the past several years since the original 2009 Plan was adopted and provides direction and recommendations, based on input from Economic Vitality Board members, educators, private business leaders, staff and our consultant, to advance our economic development efforts over the next 5 years. If the Commission determines that economic development efforts should increase, and thus corresponding resources, that discussion will be part of the yearly budget process. REPORT UPDATED ON: October 26, 2022 ATTACHMENTS AND LINKS: 1) 2022 DRAFT Economic Vitality Strategy 2) Economic Vitality Board 2023-2024 Work Plan 3) City of Bozeman Strategic Plan 4) 2016 Economic Development Strategy 5) Link to the 2016 ED strategy packet materials 11 Version April 2020 RESOLUTION 5443 A RESOLUTION OF THE CITY COMMISSION OF THE CITY OF BOZEMAN, MONTANA, ADOPTING THE 2022 ECONOMIC VITALITY STRATEGY. WHEREAS, On August 3, 2009, via Resolution 4195, the Bozeman City Commission (the “Commission”) adopted Bozeman’s first economic development strategy; the 2009 Economic Development Plan; and WHEREAS, on November 14, 2016, via Resolution 4730, the Commission adopted the 2016 Economic Development Strategy Update (the “2016 Strategy”); and WHEREAS, the recommended priorities identified in the 2016 Strategy’s Implementation Matrix that could be addressed have been; and WHEREAS, the federal, state and local economy have undergone tremendous transition since the adoption of the 2016 Strategy; and WHEREAS, the 2016 Strategy was intended to be a five (5) year plan; and WHEREAS, on April 16, 2018, via Resolution 4852, the Commission adopted the City’s Strategic Plan, a tenant of which is to support a diversified and innovative economy leveraging our natural amenities, skilled and creative people, and educational resources to generate economic opportunities. WHEREAS, in 2021the Commission appointed the Economic Vitality Board (the “EVB”) to advise the Commission on the economic development activities in Bozeman and its surrounds; and WHEREAS, the EVB identified the 2022 Economic Vitality Strategy update (the “2022 Strategy”) a 2022 – 2023 workplan priority; and WHEREAS, the EVB led the effort by actively participating in, and coordinating internal and external stakeholders input on the 2022 Strategy update and supports the 2022 Strategy and 12 Version April 2020 the recommendations contained therein; and WHEREAS, the Commission remains committed to facilitating mid to high wage job growth and economic strength and diversification in the City and the region through updated and timely economic development planning, strategy and policy updates; and WHEREAS, the Commission recognizes that a strong, vibrant, resilient and sustainable local economy is also diverse, equitable and inclusive; and WHEREAS, the Commission supports the primary tenants of the 2022 Strategy which include: a) Infrastructure investments as mechanism to drive economic development; and b) Education and workforce development initiatives provide businesses with qualified workers; and c) Retention and growth of existing businesses is the priority while remaining welcoming and encouraging to new businesses into the City of Bozeman. NOW, THEREFORE, BE IT RESOLVED by the City Commission of the City of Bozeman, Montana, to wit: Section 1 The 2022 Economic Vitality Strategy is hereby adopted and shall be as follows: See Exhibit A Section 2 Effective Date The Resolution shall be in full force and effective upon passage. PASSED, ADOPTED, AND APPROVED by the City Commission of the City of Bozeman, Montana, at a regular session thereof held on the _____ day of ________, 20____. 13 Version April 2020 ___________________________________ CYNTHIA L. ANDRUS Mayor ATTEST: ___________________________________ MIKE MAAS City Clerk APPROVED AS TO FORM: ___________________________________ GREG SULLIVAN City Attorney 14 CITY OF BOZEMAN Economic Vitality Strategy (EVS) October 2022 15 PREPARED BY: 16 TABLE OF CONTENTS Introduction ................................................................................................................................ 1 Strategy Purpose .................................................................................................................... 1 What is Economic Vitality? ..................................................................................................... 1 The Gallatin Valley Story ............................................................................................................ 5 Regional Overview ................................................................................................................. 8 Industry Clusters ...................................................................................................................13 National Trends .........................................................................................................................14 Equity ....................................................................................................................................14 Housing Availability ...............................................................................................................17 Climate Change .....................................................................................................................18 Early Learning/Child Care......................................................................................................19 High School Skills Development ............................................................................................21 Small Business Development ................................................................................................21 The Economic Vitality Strategy .................................................................................................24 Vision ....................................................................................................................................24 Values ...................................................................................................................................24 Guiding Principles .................................................................................................................24 Goals and Objectives ............................................................................................................25 Action Matrix..........................................................................................................................28 Evaluation Framework ...........................................................................................................28 Attachment A: Economic Conditions Analysis Attachment B: Action Matrix 17 Bozeman Economic Vitality Strategy | October 2022 1 INTRODUCTION The City of Bozeman is an economic hub for the broader Gallatin Valley and State of Montana. Recognizing that economies and the workforce are not limited by jurisdictional boundaries, the Bozeman Economic Vitality Strategy (EVS) is intended to serve the larger Gallatin Valley area. It will be monitored by City of Bozeman staff to ensure implementation, but it requires engagement from various stakeholders across the Valley. STRATEGY PURPOSE This document is aimed at regional, city and county economic development practitioners, business leaders, elected officials and stakeholders implementing programs that support the growth of businesses and enhance opportunities for individuals to access economic mobility in the Gallatin Valley. This requires alignment and implementation of actions across government agencies and organizations. The Strategy provides deliberate direction to guide actions that will evolve over the next five years to meet dynamic economic and business conditions. The Strategy is constant; the actions and organizations involved in implementation are dynamic. Educate The Bozeman EVS is founded on the vision that the future Gallatin Valley economy will equitably serve residents that live and work in the region. The vision needs broad support and this document should be used to engage elected officials, business leaders, and stakeholders to help amplify the vision and providing support through their actions. Invest The EVS should also be used to leverage greater investment in the region by providing data and rationale used to: 1) obtain grants to fund implementation; 2) encourage private investment; and 3) align federal and state legislative agendas to collaboratively solicit funding to support strategic projects. Collaborate Many organizations are actively trying to create equitable economic growth across the region. It is important to collaborate to maximize collective efforts by: • Coordinating with City of Bozeman staff to let them know about each organization’s work so it can be leveraged across the region. • Engaging other organizations or city departments within a jurisdiction to break down silos and leverage resources to the greatest extent possible and elevate one another’s work. • Supporting programs led by other organizations that implement the Strategy through funding and/or promotion. WHAT IS ECONOMIC VITALITY? Economic vitality is the maintenance of a strong diverse economy with enough growth to provide opportunities for the increasing local population. Economic vitality also encompasses the ability for residents to access jobs and opportunities that contribute to quality of life and 18 Bozeman Economic Vitality Strategy | October 2022 2 financial security. One of the foundational elements for economic vitality is an economic base of traded and local sector businesses that provide various services to the community and job opportunities to create wealth. Traded and Local Sectors Traded sector (also referred to as an export or basic sector) businesses include industries and employers which produce goods and services that are exported outside the production region and therefore bring in new income to the area (e.g., manufactured goods, software development). Bringing new income to the region is critical because it creates a multiplier effect that then supports other local sector jobs. Workers in the traded sector tend to have higher educational attainment and earn higher average wages than local sector workers which increases the overall economic impact. As the job base expands, a community is more attractive to employees because there are more options for career growth. In turn, as employment grows, there is more career mobility for people and competition among employers which can ultimately increase wages. As the traded sectors grow, they create an environment that allows entrepreneurs to develop skills and resources on the job that may encourage them to start a new business and increase employment opportunities within the region. Furthermore, some traded sector companies support a supply chain effect that creates the need for additional companies to supply components of a product that is manufactured or to provide additional services. Cities and regions have concentrations of different types of traded sector industries that differentiate them from other places and can be leveraged for economic development (e.g., Boston has biotech, Houston has energy engineering, and New York has finance). Local sector business consists of industries and firms that are likely to be present in every region. They produce goods and services that are consumed locally in the region where they were made, and therefore largely recirculate existing income in the area (e.g., breweries, physician offices, banks). These businesses are important as they make a community distinct, depending how they are provided by local businesses, and provide amenities to attract young professionals and families that drive the new economy. A sampling of traded and local sector businesses in the Gallatin Valley is indicated in Figure 1 below. In the Gallatin Valley, the difference between traded and local sectors is not as clear. Since tourism is a large portion of the economy, local sectors – especially retail, food and beverage, and hospitality – are bringing in outside income from visitors. However, these local sectors still have lower wages and lower economic impacts than traded sectors. It is important for the Gallatin Valley to work on diversifying the economy so it is not overly dependent on tourism. 19 Bozeman Economic Vitality Strategy | October 2022 3 Figure 1: Example of Gallatin Valley Traded and Local Sector Businesses Source: Bridge Economic Development Traded sector industries have the largest economic impact per job even though they represent fewer jobs than local sectors. Traded sector jobs account for about 34 percent of the economy with average wages of $68,200 per year, as shown in Table 1. Local sector jobs make up 66 percent of the economy with average wages of $42,800. In the U.S. as a whole, traded sectors comprise 36 percent of all jobs which generate 50 percent of the income and 96.5 percent of all patents.1 Traded sector jobs provide a larger proportion of the national income and are responsible for almost all innovation as measured by the quantity of patents associated with the industry. 1 https://clustermapping.us/cluster 20 Bozeman Economic Vitality Strategy | October 2022 4 Table 1: Comparison of Traded and Local Sector Wages, Gallatin County There is an interdependence or multiplier impact between traded and local sector companies. In general, adding one additional skilled job in the traded sector can generate roughly 1.5 to 2.5 jobs in local goods and services. A strong local sector therefore depends on a strong traded sector. And a stronger traded sector-based economy is more resilient to economic shocks like those created by the COVID-19 pandemic and other natural disasters. Local sector businesses typically have a lower barrier to entry as they can require less capital investment and may not require a four-year degree. The local sectors therefore have many opportunities for under-represented and under-resourced individuals to gain access into the market and build wealth. Therefore, local sector businesses are often considered an equity on- ramp opportunity. However, it is important to not entirely focus on local sector businesses as an opportunity for equity. By only using a local cluster focus, a region can ultimately exacerbate income inequality as underserved and under-represented communities are not connected to higher wage employment opportunities among tradable industries. Therefore, it is important to provide equitable opportunities within traded sector industries as well. This Strategy considers both traded and local sectors as part of the overall economy and how they both provide distinct contributions and opportunities for the region. Gallatin County Ann.Jobs Industry NAICS Avg. Wage 2020 2020 Economic Base/Traded Sectors Finance/Insurance 52 $96,600 1,619 Prof. & Tech Services 54 $79,200 4,829 Mining 21 $92,400 188 Information 51 $139,800 698 Mgmt. of Companies 55 $79,700 234 Wholesale Trade 42 $70,100 1,819 Manufacturing 31-33 $55,400 3,599 Ag./Forest/Hunting 11 $40,000 701 Transport./Warehousing 48-49 $44,500 1,302 Admin/Waste Mgmt 56 $40,200 2,260 Subtotal / Average $68,200 17,249 34.1% Local Sectors Construction 23 $58,100 6,413 Retail Trade 44-45 $40,100 8,197 Real Estate 53 $50,400 1,197 Education 61 $34,500 834 Health Care 62 $53,200 5,994 Arts/Rec 71 $27,300 1,463 Hotel/Restaurant 72 $26,600 6,920 Other 81 $40,900 2,323 Subtotal / Average $42,800 33,341 65.9% Total $50,600 50,590 100.0% Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics QCEW; Economic & Planning Systems Z:\Shared\Projects\DEN\223016-Bozeman MT Economic Development Strategy\Data\[213051-City County 2dig NAICS Employment Data_10-01-21.xlsx]T-EVS_Table1 21 Bozeman Economic Vitality Strategy | October 2022 5 THE GALLATIN VALLEY STORY The Gallatin Valley is an area within Gallatin County where most of the County’s population and jobs are located. There is no official or administrative definition of the Gallatin Valley, but it is generally known as the flat, semi-arid, low elevation lands between Bozeman Pass (on the east) and the City of Three Forks (on the west) along the I-90 corridor, illustrated in Figure 2. These are historic Native American lands used in the summer months to hunt, fish, and prepare for the long winter. Today, after settlers displaced the Native American population, it includes the municipalities of Bozeman, Belgrade, Manhattan, and Three Forks plus the unincorporated areas of Four Corners, Gallatin Gateway, and other smaller unincorporated communities. The population of this region is approximately 110,000 including the City of Bozeman (51,000) and Belgrade (10,800). The City of Bozeman is the third-largest city in the State of Montana, the largest City in the Gallatin Valley, and home of Montana State University (MSU). Surrounded by scenic mountains, rugged trails, and fish-filled rivers, Bozeman is an outdoor enthusiast’s dream. Adventure seekers have discovered that Bozeman also offers economic opportunity with a vibrant and diverse industry base ranging from photonics to specialty manufacturing. With the proximity of the Bozeman Yellowstone International Airport, the “Triangle” - comprised of Belgrade, Four Corners, and Bozeman - serves as the economic hub for the Gallatin Valley and beyond. A unifying factor across the Valley is a culture of grit, smarts, and strong work ethic that encourages entrepreneurs to thrive and innovation to emerge. This forward-thinking population prizes sustainable practices and solutions to shift climate change with an understanding that precious natural resources (e.g., water) and the tourism trade depend on a healthy environment. The residents of Gallatin Valley respect hard work and diverse individuals that reside year-round in the community and are committed to sustainable long-term growth. Wealth is defined by a personal lifestyle that affords the ability to live, educate, recreate and commune in Gallatin Valley year-round. While not within the Gallatin Valley proper, there are three important nearby assets and communities: Bridger Bowl Ski Area, Big Sky and Big Sky Mountain Resort, and West Yellowstone. Bridger Bowl is one of the oldest winter sports areas in the west and is known among dedicated skiers for its challenging terrain and low-key local crowd. Big Sky has emerged over the past decade or so as one of the top winter sports destinations in North American. It is known for its massive 5,000+ acre size and some of the most difficult runs in North America. It is also one of the most luxurious and exclusive mountain communities in North America. Homeowners and visitors include the ultra-wealthy, CEOs, and venture capital investors that largely reside in the Yellowstone Club and Spanish Peaks. The growth of Big Sky has brought an influx of wealth and investment to the Gallatin Valley, which is funding startups and bringing outpost office locations of larger firms to the region. The Town of West Yellowstone is the western gateway to Yellowstone National Park. Thousands of visitors stay in and pass-through Bozeman and West Yellowstone each year on their way to and from Yellowstone National Park (YNP). West Yellowstone is a year-round recreation destination in itself with guided snowmobiling and ski touring in the winter, hunting, and fishing and hiking in the warmer months. 22 Bozeman Economic Vitality Strategy | October 2022 6 Figure 2. Gallatin Valley Region Source: EPS 23 Bozeman Economic Vitality Strategy | October 2022 7 In addition to a vibrant natural setting, Gallatin Valley benefits from a well-supported and thriving arts and culture scene. Because it enhances the quality of life, this asset is an important complement to community development, enriching local amenities and attracting young professionals to the area. Furthermore, arts and culture create job opportunities and stimulate local economies through consumer purchases and tourism, which contribute greatly to state economic growth. The Gallatin Valley also has economic linkages to other places in Montana. Along the I-90 corridor, there is bioscience collaboration (and competition) between MSU in Bozeman and the University of Montana in Missoula. Billings Clinic is expanding its health care services in Bozeman and staff and doctors share time between the two regions. Some workers are commuting from other counties due to housing costs and preference. With the growth of remote working, there is an opportunity to shift some of the jobs in Gallatin Valley to these rural communities to their benefit. Bozeman Yellowstone International Airport (BZN) is the busiest airport in the state with 1.9 million passengers in 2021 compared to approximately 700,000 at Billings Logan International Airport. BZN airport increases the reach of the Gallatin Valley with direct flights indicated in Figure 3 to major cities throughout the U.S. The airport is a major economic engine that brings in tourists, but also investment and innovation. Figure 3. Bozeman Yellowstone International Airport direct flights 24 Bozeman Economic Vitality Strategy | October 2022 8 REGIONAL OVERVIEW Population The population of Gallatin County is 119,000 and has grown by a third since 2010 at an annual rate of 2.6 percent per year (Table 2). The City of Bozeman has over 50,000 people now which places it in a new category of eligibility for federal transportation and community development grant funding. Bozeman added over 14,000 people since 2010 at a rapid annual rate of 2.9 percent. The entire Valley is growing fast, as Belgrade grew by over 40 percent at 3.3 percent per year. The unincorporated remainder of the County, including Big Sky, Four Corners, and Gallatin Gateway added over 12,000 people. Table 1. Population by Place, Gallatin County Economy In Gallatin County there were nearly 60,000 wage and salary jobs in 2020 plus another 25,000- 30,000 sole proprietor jobs (self-employed) for a total of about 90,000 jobs. Within the City of Bozeman there were about 30,000 private wage and salary jobs plus 4,200 faculty and staff at MSU. The largest industries in the City of Bozeman and Gallatin County are local and tourism sectors including retail trade, hotels and restaurants, construction, and health care (Figure 4). The traded sectors of professional and technical services and manufacturing are the next largest groups of industries. These data show that the area is today heavily reliant on trade and tourism. Ann. Growth 2010 2021 Total Change % Change Rate Bozeman 37,354 51,405 14,051 37.6%2.9% Belgrade 7,535 10,796 3,261 43.3%3.3% Manhattan 1,525 1,829 304 19.9%1.7% Three Forks 1,871 2,375 504 26.9%2.2% Unincorporated 43,099 55,290 12,191 28.3%2.3% Gallatin County 89,513 119,320 29,807 33.3%2.6% Source: ESRI, Economic & Planning Systems Z:\Shared\Projects\DEN\223016-Bozeman MT Economic Development Strategy\Data\[Population, Gallatin County, MT.xlsx]Sheet2 25 Bozeman Economic Vitality Strategy | October 2022 9 Figure 4. Wage and salary jobs by industry, Bozeman and Gallatin County, 2020 The economy in Gallatin County and Gallatin Valley is changing rapidly, however. First, the County added 7,000 jobs from 2015 through 2020, a growth rate of 2.6 percent per year and a 13.5 percent increase (Table 3). The industries with the most growth are highlighted below. ▪ Professional and technical services added 934 jobs with average wages near $80,000 per year. This sector had the most growth outside of construction. This is a significant change and shows that companies in Greater Bozeman are expanding, and new firms are being formed or attracted. The area is attracting knowledge-based companies and workers. ▪ Countywide, construction was also one of the fastest growing industries with 1,700 jobs added from 2015 through 2020. Growth in construction jobs is being fueled by major resort projects are underway in Big Sky, plus the growth in the Gallatin County. Anecdotally, many construction workers are moving to the area temporarily to fill jobs and may move to other locations as major projects are completed or if the economy slows. ▪ Manufacturing also had significant growth which is rare in small metro areas. Manufacturing is a diverse and important sector in Greater Bozeman. This sector grew by 562 jobs with average wages of about $55,000. ▪ Health care also grew significantly, which is consistent with national trends. People are living longer, more people have health insurance, and the large baby boomer population $40,100 $26,600 $58,100 $53,200 $79,200 $55,400 $40,900 $40,200 $70,100 $96,600 $27,300 $44,500 $50,400 $34,500 $40,000 $139,800 0 1,000 2,000 3,000 4,000 5,000 6,000 7,000 8,000 Retail Trade Hotel/Restaurant Construction Health Care Prof. & Tech Services Manufacturing Other Admin/Waste Mgmt Wholesale Trade Finance/Insurance Arts/Rec Transport./Warehousing Real Estate Education Ag./Forest/Hunting Information Total Jobs Bozeman Gallatin County Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics; MT Dept. of Labor; Economic & Planning Systems Z:\Shared\Projects\DEN\223016-Bozeman MT Economic Development Strategy\Data\[213051-City County 2dig NAICS 26 Bozeman Economic Vitality Strategy | October 2022 10 is aging and increasing health care demand. Health care added 881 jobs, a 17 percent increase. Table 2. Change in wage and salary jobs by industry 2015-2020 and 2020 average wages Economy Comparisons Comparing the Gallatin County and Bozeman economy to other areas provides additional context for the importance of economic diversity. First, a metric called a location quotient (LQ) is used to compare the mix of jobs in traded and local sectors in comparison counties. Next, the economic productivity of each area is shown – areas that have higher concentrations of traded sector jobs have more economic productivity. Ann. Avg. Industry 2015 2020 Change % Change Wage 2020 Economic Base/Traded Sectors Finance/Insurance 1,447 1,619 172 11.9%$96,600 Prof. & Tech Services 3,895 4,829 934 24.0%$79,200 Mining 197 188 -9 -4.6%$92,400 Information 578 698 120 20.8%$139,800 Mgmt. of Companies 252 234 -18 -7.1%$79,700 Wholesale Trade 1,582 1,819 237 15.0%$70,100 Manufacturing 3,037 3,599 562 18.5%$55,400 Ag./Forest/Hunting 554 701 147 26.5%$40,000 Transport./Warehousing 1,284 1,302 18 1.4%$44,500 Admin/Waste Mgmt 1,730 2,260 530 30.6%$40,200 Subtotal / Average 14,556 17,249 2,693 18.5%$68,200 Local Sectors Construction 4,754 6,413 1,659 34.9%$58,100 Retail Trade 7,584 8,197 613 8.1%$40,100 Real Estate 880 1,197 317 36.0%$50,400 Education 657 834 177 26.9%$34,500 Health Care 5,113 5,994 881 17.2%$53,200 Arts/Rec 1,419 1,463 44 3.1%$27,300 Hotel/Restaurant 7,065 6,920 -145 -2.1%$26,600 Other 1,994 2,323 329 16.5%$40,900 Subtotal / Average 29,466 33,341 3,875 13.2%$42,800 Total (disclosable)44,022 50,590 6,568 14.9%$51,500 Total Jobs (without disclosure)52,059 59,071 7,012 13.5% Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics QCEW; Economic & Planning Systems Z:\Shared\Projects\DEN\223016-Bozeman MT Economic Development Strategy\Data\[213051-City County 2dig NAICS Employment Data_10-01-21.xlsx]T-EVS_Table2 Jobs Note: Industry employment figures do not include all jobs due to privacy limitations. Summing employment by industry components yields less jobs than the actual totals which are not limited by privacy disclosure issues. 27 Bozeman Economic Vitality Strategy | October 2022 11 A location quotient (LQ) measures the concentration of an industry in an area as a ratio of the percentage of jobs in the analysis area divided by the percentage in the U.S. A LQ ratio is used to compare the concentrations of industries across different regions and asses local industry strengths or specializations. The LQ is important for determining an inherent economic strength of a community. In developing an economic vitality strategy, it is best to invest time and money where there is a competitive advantage already existing in the community rather than trying to create an industry cluster without an intrinsic base. The LQs for traded and local sectors in Gallatin County are compared to several comparison Counties with their major city noted in Table 3. ▪ Bozeman has lower concentrations in most traded sectors than the comparison communities and higher concentrations in local sectors. ▪ As larger cities/metros, Boulder and Boise have more diverse economies. ▪ Boulder and Boise/Ada County have higher concentrations of jobs in knowledge and financial industries. ▪ Ogden, UT/Weber County has more than twice the manufacturing concentration than Bozeman (aerospace, defense, outdoor products, advanced materials) ▪ Boulder and Fort Collins also have higher concentrations of manufacturing at 1.29 and 1.02. The differences in the mix of jobs and industries in each area is due to numerous historical, geographic, and economic factors. How an area was settled historically (e.g. agriculture, railroad, mining, university) influences the early and legacy industries in that community. The location and proximity to other cities and industries also affects the economic composition. Larger cities and counties, and cities and counties within larger metro areas also tend to have more diverse economies and more racial and ethnic diversity. 28 Bozeman Economic Vitality Strategy | October 2022 12 Table 3. Location quotient comparisons As shown below in Figure 5, the regions with higher concentrations of traded sector jobs are the most productive; they generate the most economic output per job. Gross Regional Product (GRP) is the local or regional equivalent of GDP (Gross Domestic Product). GRP is the value of all goods and services produced in an economy. GRP per job is a measure of the productivity of the labor force and firms in the economy – the value of the output created from each worker. ▪ Boulder, CO has the most productive economy with nearly $150,000 in annual output per worker, followed by Fort Collins, CO at $118,000. ▪ Bozeman and Gallatin County are at the lower end of the spectrum of the comparison communities due to the higher concentration of tourism and local serving jobs. These data reinforce the focus of this strategy on diversifying the economy with a focus on traded sectors to provide the economic engine for the region, and local sectors providing the support for quality of life and on-ramps to business ownership and wealth building. Bozeman/Gallatin Highest Industry Location Quotient Concentration Traded Sectors Agriculture, forestry, fishing and hunting 1.33 Corvallis/Benton 3.21 Mining, quarrying, and oil and gas extraction 0.82 Bozeman/Gallatin 0.82 Information 0.63 Boise/Ada 1.14 Management of companies and enterprises 0.24 Boise/Ada 1.05 Professional and technical services 1.20 Boulder/Boulder 2.47 Wholesale trade 0.76 Boise/Ada 1.22 Manufacturing 0.70 Ogden/Weber 1.61 Transportation and warehousing 0.55 Boise/Ada 0.70 Finance and insurance 0.63 Boise/Ada 1.14 Local Sectors Utilities 0.50 Boise/Ada 1.03 Construction 2.09 Bozeman/Gallatin 2.09 Retail trade 1.31 Bozeman/Gallatin 1.31 Real estate and rental and leasing 1.30 Bozeman/Gallatin 1.30 Administrative and waste services 0.62 Boise/Ada 1.38 Educational services 0.72 Boulder/Boulder 0.79 Health care and social assistance 0.72 Missoula/Missoula 1.22 Arts, entertainment, and recreation 1.99 Bozeman/Gallatin 1.99 Accommodation and food services 1.47 Bozeman/Gallatin 1.47 Other services, except public administration 1.39 Missoula/Missoula 1.57 Source: Economic & Planning Systems Z:\Shared\Projects\DEN\223016-Bozeman MT Economic Development Strategy\Data\[223016-QCEW.xlsx]T-LQ vs Peers 29 Bozeman Economic Vitality Strategy | October 2022 13 Figure 5. Gross regional product per job, Gallatin County and selected comparison areas INDUSTRY CLUSTERS Industry clusters are groups of similar and related traded sector businesses that share common markets, technologies, and worker skill needs, that are often linked by buyer-seller relationships. Industry clusters represent distinct qualities of a community and help define what makes one community different from another. Industry clusters are a way of communicating, marketing, and leveraging the presence of these concentrations of skills, resources, and relationships. The EVS is organized around supporting seven traded sector clusters and three local sector clusters summarized in Table 4 and Table 5. Appendix A provides a more detailed description of these industry clusters. Table 4. Traded sector industry clusters Estimated Estimated Estimated Industry Cluster Stage Jobs Firms Wages Description Traded Sectors Photonics Mature 800 35 $60,000-$100,000+Science and technology of generating, detecting, and controlling light. Quantum Computing Nascent Less than 100 Less than 20 $60,000-$100,000+Uses atomic motion to perform computing operations. Biotechnology Growing 100 to 400 Not available $40,000-$90,000+Medical and drug research and technology. Software/Information Technology (IT)Mature 1,350 240 $60,000-$140,000+Programming and system design. Outdoor Equipment Mature 500-1,000 Not available $40,000-$90,000+Outdoor equipment design, manufacturing, and marketing. Capitalizes on Bozeman brand. Within manufacturing industry of 3,600 jobs. Speciality Manufacturing Mature 1,000+Not available $40,000-$60,000 Specialty products including metal products, musical instruments, and food and beverage. Within manufacturing industry of 3,600 jobs. Climate Technology Nascent Not available Not available $40,000-$90,000+Emerging cluster of technologies that are explicitly focused on addressing climate change. Wide range of industries. Source: Economic & Planning Systems Z:\Shared\Projects\DEN\223016-Bozeman MT Economic Development Strategy\Data\[223016 Industry Cluster Definitions (CH).xlsx]T-FinalClusters_Traded 30 Bozeman Economic Vitality Strategy | October 2022 14 Table 5. Local sector industry clusters NATIONAL TRENDS There are fundamental national issues facing the community that need to be addressed in order to foster economic vitality. EQUITY In the context of economic vitality, equity is defined as an economic system that ensures under- represented and under-served people have the same level of access to the economy and wealth creation as all other residents. Equity is not equality. Equality is sameness or treating everyone the same regardless of identity, life circumstance, or needs. The same resources or services may be available to all, but some people may face barriers in accessing or benefitting from them. Equity recognizes the differences and works to remove the barriers to access opportunity. Photo caption: Equality is when everyone has access to a bicycle. Equity is when everyone is able to benefit from having access to a bicycle because the design of each bicycle meets their unique needs. Estimated Estimated Estimated Industry Cluster Stage Jobs Firms Wages Description Local Sectors Construction Mature 6,400 1,290 $50,000-$60,000 $100,000 in heavy construction Residential and commercial buildings, skilled trades, and heavy/civil engineering construction. Small Business Ownership Growing N/A N/A Varies Small businesses across all sectors. Self employed is 25-30% of all jobs in Gallatin County. Health Care Mature 6,000 500+$40,000-$90,000+Medical services provided through hospitals and small practices. Includes doctors, nurses, and home service providers. Source: Economic & Planning Systems Z:\Shared\Projects\DEN\223016-Bozeman MT Economic Development Strategy\Data\[223016 Industry Cluster Definitions (CH).xlsx]T-FinalClusters_Local 31 Bozeman Economic Vitality Strategy | October 2022 15 Wealth Creation Wealth creation is generally attained through career opportunities with living-wages, business ownership and real estate ownership. Income is only one measurement of wealth. Net worth, or wealth, includes income, homes, stock-market investments, businesses, and other owned assets, minus debt. Available data to compare wealth is generally available on a national level and is therefore considered here in that context. Nationally, the net worth of a typical white household is nearly ten times greater than that of a typical Black household, and eight times greater than a Hispanic household. According to a survey by the Federal Reserve in 2017, the median net worth of African-Americans ($17,600) was only a tenth that of non-Hispanic whites ($171,000).2 Furthermore, nearly 20 percent of Black households have zero or negative net worth compared to 14 percent of households identifying as other or multiple race,3 13 percent of Hispanic households, and only nine percent of white households.4 Figure 6: Family Median Net Worth, Thousands of 2016 Dollars Source: Federal Reserve Board, Survey of Consumer Finances As the following chart shows, higher income levels are correlated with educational attainment. However, ensuring parity in college degree attainment alone will not solve the racial disparity in the wealth gap. 2 Recent Trends in Wealth-Holding by Race and Ethnicity: Evidence from the Survey of Consumer Finances, Federal Reserve, September 2017 3 Other families--a diverse group that includes those identifying as Asian, American Indian, Alaska Native, Native Hawaiian, Pacific Islander, other race, and all respondents reporting more than one racial identification. 4 ibid 17.6 20.7 64.8 171 Black or African-American Hispanic or Latino Other or Multiple Race White non-Hispanic 32 Bozeman Economic Vitality Strategy | October 2022 16 Figure 7: Median Weekly Earnings and Unemployment Rate by Educational Attainment, 2017 Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics, 2017 Real estate equity and the transfer of wealth are important determinants of household wealth creation. However, generations of under-represented Americans have had limited access to real estate assets due to discriminatory policies throughout the 20th century including the Jim Crow era’s “Black Codes” strictly limiting opportunity in many southern states, prior to Federal Housing Administration (FHA) lending restrictions,5 and redlining. In addition, research shows that Black-owned real estate is systemically (and historically) devalued, leading to less wealth creation than the same assets for White households.6 Business ownership is another significant (and perhaps the most important) source of wealth creation. In the U.S., approximately 77 percent of wealth created in 2015 came from owning a private company or professional firm.7 Research shows that business ownership is also associated with higher levels of economic mobility.8 And yet, there are significant racial disparities in business ownership rates and business performance (i.e., revenue and profitability) that lead to even more disparities in wealth creation. In the U.S.: “Nationally, people of color represent about 40 percent of the population, but only 20 percent of the nation’s 5.6 million business owners with employees. The U.S. could have millions more businesses if women and minorities became entrepreneurs at the same rate as white men.” 9 Businesses owned by people of color earn just 48 percent of the revenue of white- owned firms.10 5 Rothstein, Richard. Color of Law. 2017 6 Perry, Andre. Know Your Price: Valuing Black Lives and Property in America's Black Cities. 2020 7 Benson, R. (2015). Wealth Creation through Business Ownership. American Business Advisors. 8 Perspectives on Inequality and Opportunity from the Survey of Consumer Finances, Janet Yellen, October 2014 9 Liu, S. & Parilla, J. “Businesses owned by women and minorities have grown. Will COVID-19 undo that?” Brookings. April 14, 2020. https://www.brookings.edu/research/businesses-owned-by-women-and-minorities-have-grown-will- covid-19-undo-that/ 10 Zeuli, K., Nijhius, A., Eberhardt, P., O’Shea, K., & Verchot, M. (2018). Helping entrepreneurs of color grow their business: Early insights from the Ascend 2020 initiative. Boston: MA, ICIC. 2015 U.S. Census Bureau Annual Survey of Entrepreneurs data for privately held firms with paid employees. $1,743 1,836 1,401 1,173 836 774 712 520 1.50% 1.5 2.2 2.5 3.4 4 4.6 6.5 Doctoral degree Professional degree Master's degree Bachelor's degree Associate degree Some college, no degree High school diploma, no college Less than a high school diploma Unemployment rate Median usual weekly earnings 33 Bozeman Economic Vitality Strategy | October 2022 17 In Bozeman, the most recent Survey of Business Owners and Self-Employed Persons (SBO) from the United States Census Bureau was conducted in 2012, at the time Bozeman was estimated to have 7,473 total firms, 26.6 percent of that were owned by women and 0.03 percent that were minority owned. One piece of the wealth gap is income. Data for our city and region has limited reliability because of relatively low population and even lower numbers of people of color. With this in mind, according to American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2015-2019), the City of Bozeman has an average household median income was $55,569. While Asian households had almost twice the average median income, $106,204, White households were slightly above the average at $57,523 and all other households were below the average. Black or African American households made slightly less at $54,375 and American Indian and Alaska Native households made $50,536. Households that selected some other race or Hispanic or Latino origin had the lowest median income, $43,023 for some other race and $33,833 for Hispanic or Latino households.11 Diversity and Inclusion In working toward equity, a community must recognize and respond to the importance of diversity and inclusion. The City of Bozeman has adapted from the Government Alliance on Race & Equity the following definitions of diversity and inclusion. Diversity is the variation and difference across individuals in a group, organization, or community. A group can be described as diverse when it is made up of individuals of varying characteristics. Some examples are race, ethnicity, language-spoken, nationality, cultural identity, spiritual practice, age, gender identity, gender expression, sexual orientation, ability, and income or socioeconomic status. When striving for diversity, residents honor the richness, value, and benefits of bringing people with different perspectives, identities, and experiences together. Inclusion is what is done with diversity. An individual, group, organization, or community is inclusive when differences and variation are leveraged and celebrated. When residents strive for inclusion, they are aware of how words, actions, and beliefs impact others. Inclusive spaces are those in which people are respected, heard, and feel like they belong, even when they hold different identities, experiences, or perspectives from each other. HOUSING AVAILABILITY The median home price in Bozeman is $812,000 as of May 2022 and ended the year 2021 at $700,000, which is the available data for comparison with other cities (Figure 8). Increasing access to available housing is a major priority for residents and business owners across the Valley. The limited availability of homes is driven by three main factors: 1) not enough overall supply; 2) increases in in-migration related to the pandemic and remote working; and 3) the increase in housing costs for new construction. All of these factors increase home prices making them inaccessible for average wage-earners. 11 Equity Indicators Project, Thomas P. Miller and Associates, July 2021 34 Bozeman Economic Vitality Strategy | October 2022 18 Figure 8. 2021 median home price, Bozeman and selected comparison cities In all interviews with community and business stakeholders, housing costs in Bozeman were identified as the number one concern. The City’s Community Housing Action Plan, adopted in November, 2019 and amended in January, 2020, proactively addresses this significant issue. Additionally, the city has aligned the housing program within the Economic Development Department in response to the State Legislature’s removal of a city’s regulatory authority via inclusionary zoning to increase the number of cost-efficient housing units in a community. The city is currently pursuing an incentive-based approach to achieve additional community housing units. Community housing is critical infrastructure necessary to serve employees, students and residents and maintain a vital economic base. Recommendations in this Economic Vitality Strategy are developed in collaboration with housing program staff and supplement existing work. In order to serve the community and economic base with employees ranging from teachers, doctors and manufacturers, it is important to utilize the existing housing supply for permanent year-round residents. Currently, Bozeman has competing interests for housing between residents, MSU graduate and non-traditional students, and tourists staying in short term rentals. While maximizing the availability of existing housing stock, it is also necessary to decrease the cost of new housing. This can be accomplished by permitting the construction of smaller sizes housing units on smaller property footprints. This approach to a simplified housing unit size requires less construction material, less or more efficient utility infrastructure and encourages a built environment that allows people to walk and bike instead of driving a vehicle when appropriate. All of these outcomes not only reduce the cost of housing, but help mitigate climate change. CLIMATE CHANGE A recent Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) analysis12 shows that the most severe harms from climate change fall disproportionately upon underserved communities who are least able to prepare for, and recover from, heat waves, poor air quality, flooding, and other impacts. A 12 Climate Change and Social Vulnerability in the United States, EPA, September 2021 f 35 Bozeman Economic Vitality Strategy | October 2022 19 community can proactively address these impacts by: 1) mitigating climate change by reducing greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions; and 2) becoming resilient in order to quickly adapt to future impacts. Climate change also threatens the natural and recreational assets that are important to the economy – not just the tourism economy but also the quality of life that is attracting traded sector firms. Changing precipitation patterns (warmer, drier), earlier and faster snowpack melt off, more frequent and larger wildfires are all expected to affect the natural environment and quality of life in the Gallatin Valley. Specifically, a less reliable snowpack and a drier climate will affect the winter sports industry and river recreation businesses. Warmer summers will increase river water and air temperatures, the latter requiring additional air conditioning use which in turn demands more energy use and production, creating additional impact if more energy isn’t source from renewables. Mitigation The Bozeman Climate Plan, 2020, identifies how the city can take actions to reduce per-capita GHG emissions. The Plan states that 57 percent of Bozeman’s 2018 emissions came from residential and commercial building energy use, which is the highest source of emissions. Improving building efficiency and increasing renewable energy supply are paramount to achieving the near-term emissions reduction goal. Innovative companies understand the real implications of climate change and are increasingly seeking ways to enhance sustainable practices. Utilizing non-carbon generating energy sources is a strategic advantage for companies seeking to meet environmental, social and governance (ESG) criteria used by socially conscious investors to screen potential investments. Collaboration between Gallatin Valley stakeholders and the local utility provider, NorthWestern Energy, to recognize this competitive advantage for ESG financing, or in Montana, Commercial Property Assessed Capital Enhancements (C-PACE), could help shift power generation investments. Resilience The Bozeman Climate Plan (The Plan) calls out a need for improved systems regarding water use and agriculture production. Innovation within the food systems development process presents many opportunities for emission reductions through improved agricultural practices, lower-carbon food products, production and transportation efficiency, and waste reduction. The Plan also encourages the development of a robust local food supply to reduce food insecurity and improve food system resiliency. EARLY LEARNING/CHILD CARE Child care is critical infrastructure for working parents, but it also enables children to be in a setting that promotes their healthy development and school readiness (while their parents work). In this way, child care not only has a direct impact on the economy today, but also impacts the economy of tomorrow. Rigorous evidence from studies of random assignment to high-quality preschool suggests that early childhood policy interventions have wide-ranging long-term impacts.13 Nobel Prize winning University of Chicago Economics Professor James Heckman’s 13 Diane Whitmore Schanzenbach Ryan Nunn Lauren Bauer Megan Mumford Audrey Breitwieser, Seven Facts on Noncognitive Skills from Education to the Labor Market, October 2016 36 Bozeman Economic Vitality Strategy | October 2022 20 work outlines the great gains to be had by investing in the early and equal development of human potential. He finds that investing in comprehensive birth-to-five early childhood education is a powerful and cost-effective way to mitigate negative consequences on child development and increase adult opportunity. “The gains are significant because quality programs pay for themselves many times over. The cost of inaction is a tragic loss of human and economic potential that we cannot afford.”14 Unfortunately, while wages are stagnating as indicated in Figure 9, the cost of organized child care is increasing and presents a substantial financial hurdle for many working parents with children, especially those working for low wages. Figure 9: US Median Household Income 1967-2016 The cost of care in the Gallatin Valley remains a barrier for many parents seeking to enter or stay in the labor force. The average annual cost of child care in Montana for an infant is $9,096 in a child care center and $7,440 in a family child care home.15 Subsidized child care can encourage low-skilled parents to maintain their connection to the labor force or to upgrade their skills through education, thereby contributing to economic growth and productivity over the longer term. Since 2010, the number of family child care homes in Montana has declined from 2,323 to 1,633 in 2016 – a decline of 29.7 percent. For working families, the decline in home-based care reduces the availability of the least expensive care option for families.16 In addition to the growing demand for child care and an increasing scarcity of affordable facilities, is a need for more workers. According to the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, there are approximately 330 child care workers in Southwest Montana, which includes Gallatin Valley. With a ratio of 2.41 workers/1,000 people, the talent pool is similar to the national average (LQ: 14 García, Jorge Luis, James J. Heckman, Duncan Ermini Leaf, and María José Prados. “The Life-cycle Benefits of an Influential Early Childhood Program.” 2016 15 Montana Fact Sheet 1312019.pdf (ced.org) 16 Ibid 37 Bozeman Economic Vitality Strategy | October 2022 21 1.0).17 Recruiting qualified workers for this sector is also more difficult due to low wages; the average annual salary is $38,890 – the average national median wage is $49,150.18 Increasing the supply of child care is critical for the economy to maximize the full potential of the available workforce. More importantly, providing early learning is an important investment in communities that help ensure they can realize their human and economic potential. HIGH SCHOOL SKILLS DEVELOPMENT Career technical education (CTE) and science, technology, engineering, and math (STEM) education are essential for all students, regardless of their aspirations. These studies not only impart important technical skills and knowledge to succeed in a technology-based economy, they also enhance student agency, creativity, critical thinking, problem solving, teamwork, adaptability, and habits of mind and dispositions that make for future success. Most importantly, CTE and STEM education greatly affect learners’ engagement, achievement, and persistence in school. The Bozeman School District is actively supporting students through the Career and Technical Education (CTE) Pathways program that gives BSD7 students opportunities to explore--and even begin--careers while they are still students in the Bozeman School District. The existing CTE Pathways website is intended to: 1) increase student, family, staff, and community awareness of the CTE pathways that begin in the schools and can lead to a variety of post high school degrees, certifications, and job opportunities in our community; and 2) showcase the work-based learning options, certifications, and degrees that are in concert with the established pathways. SMALL BUSINESS DEVELOPMENT In developing tactical actions to support small business growth, it is important to recognize that small businesses are not uniform and those in different size categories face different challenges in accessing financing and technical support. Not all small businesses are positioned to scale. As identified by TEConomy Partners, LLC, while most entrepreneurs start by forming small businesses, not all small businesses are entrepreneurial. Small business owners develop companies to generate wealth and provide employment and income for themselves and others. Entrepreneurs are interested in creating innovative products or services that lead to further investment and growth. Understanding the different motivations and needed support services for these two types of businesses is important in developing the strategy and actions. In Montana, 21,334 firms within the state have less than five employees as shown in Figure 10. This amount is 64 percent of the overall firms in the state, which is higher than the U.S. amount of 62 percent shown in Table 7. 17 U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics https://www.bls.gov/oes/current/oes211021.htm 18 Ibid 38 Bozeman Economic Vitality Strategy | October 2022 22 Figure 10: Firm Size Montana, 2019 Source: Bridge Economic Development, US Census SUSB Historical Data Table 7: Proportion of Firm Size Montana and U.S., 2019 Size of Firm Montana United States <5 employees 64% 62% 5-9 employees 16% 17% 10-19 employees 9% 11% 20-99 employees 7% 9% 100-499 employees 2% 2% 500+ employees 3% 0.34% Source: Bridge Economic Development, US Census SUSB Historical Data The majority of entrepreneurs within the photonics industry emerged from MSU. The original university research and development (R&D) was applied to commercial uses and small businesses were formed. This R&D element that is dependent on graduate students and professors from across the world is vital for growing the industries emerging within Gallatin Valley. Many of the original small businesses have grown into large companies and some have been acquired by global firms. This evolution of R&D to commercialization of new technologies to manufacturing production is a complicated and lengthy process that requires a regional ecosystem of support. Gallatin Valley is fortunate to host an asset such as MSU that is supporting the development of various industry startups as identified below in Figure 11. 21,334 5,282 3,130 2,329 539 942 0 5,000 10,000 15,000 20,000 25,000 <5 employees 5-9 employees 10-19 employees 20-99 employees 100-499 employees 500+ employees 39 Bozeman Economic Vitality Strategy | October 2022 23 Figure 11: MSU Industry Startups through 2021 Source: MSU Technology Transfer Office (TTO) 40 Bozeman Economic Vitality Strategy | October 2022 24 THE ECONOMIC VITALITY STRATEGY The City of Bozeman and regional stakeholders, including Economic Vitality Board members, developed the following Strategy to respond to national trends and leverage unique local assets to foster economic vitality across Gallatin Valley. VISION Outcome of implementing the Strategy: Gallatin Valley is a hub of opportunity, job creation, and exports for Montana where people of all backgrounds, incomes, and identities can live and work. VALUES Guide desired economic development outcomes. We as a city value: Equitable Economic Growth that improves economic mobility, builds wealth and provides equal opportunities for under-represented individuals A Sustainable Economy with varied industries and business sizes including diverse ownership Resilient Infrastructure to endure economic shocks and climate change, which includes areas such as adequate workforce housing, water supply, renewable energy, and multi-modal transportation Engaged Higher Education that supports an entrepreneurial ecosystem and talent pipeline to careers in the Gallatin Valley throughout students’ education Innovation that captures opportunities in emerging technologies and industries including those aligned with national interests (e.g., defense, energy, climate) Fostering a Small Business Hub through a supportive network that generates opportunity for wealth building of under-resourced individuals and retains businesses through succession planning GUIDING PRINCIPLES General guidelines that shape the Strategy actions and implementation: Gallatin Valley Residents that live and work in the community are the focus of the Strategy 41 Bozeman Economic Vitality Strategy | October 2022 25 Engagement with the State of Montana to help rural areas leverage economic growth in Gallatin Valley Regional Partners are Actively Engaged to effectively implement objectives Clear and Transparent Roles and Lead Organizations are identified to efficiently implement the Strategy Grounded Aspiration to recognize and capture opportunities that are available and realistic for the Gallatin Valley region GOALS AND OBJECTIVES Based on the key findings, values and guiding principles, the City of Bozeman and stakeholders identified the following goals and objectives to guide economic vitality actions implemented by regional stakeholders, which are outlined in a separate Action Matrix document, over the next three to five years. 1) Provide Opportunity for Gallatin Valley Residents Wealth creation provides the opportunity for all local residents to sustainably live in the Gallatin Valley. It is important for four reasons: 1) wealth creation is a safety net that keeps households from being derailed by temporary setbacks and the loss of income; 2) it allows people to take career risks knowing that they have a buffer when success is not guaranteed or immediately achieved; 3) family wealth affords residents to access housing in neighborhoods with good schools, thereby enhancing the upward mobility of their own children; 4) wealth creation affords people opportunities to be entrepreneurs and inventors; and 5) creates inter-generational wealth. Finally, the income from wealth is taxed at much lower rates than income from work, which means that wealth begets more wealth.19 1) Enhance the small business development ecosystem Small business development is an alternative opportunity for people in Gallatin Valley if a traditional career path is not available. They are necessary to commercialize innovation and potentially grow into larger traded sector firms. Focused programs to help support under-represented residents build wealth are essential to foster equity. As a small business hub, Gallatin Valley can provide training for individuals to start businesses in outlying rural communities. Gallatin Valley can leverage the community culture of grit and hard work to innovate new companies and opportunities. 2) Provide comprehensive and coordinated skills development starting with child care through middle school and higher-ed Improving the skills of individuals not only improves the employment base, but also develops future civic and business leaders needed to guide the region. Providing early learning child care is an important community investment, helping to develop the 19 Examining the Black-white wealth gap, Brookings, February 27, 2020 42 Bozeman Economic Vitality Strategy | October 2022 26 necessary skills that allow a community to realize its human and economic potential.20 This is especially true for underrepresented children. Engaging students in middle school to prepare the future workforce is necessary. Higher-education leaders in can build off this engagement and provide necessary skills development through trades training, one- year certifications, and 2- and 4-year college programs. 3) Improve access to career opportunities for local and surrounding rural residents Gallatin Valley is fortunate to have several diverse traded sector industries that are growing and provide career ladder opportunities with living-wage salaries. With remote work infrastructure and training in rural communities, they can access “rural onshoring” opportunities within Gallatin Valley. There is a demand for construction and specialty manufacturing occupations that offer alternative job opportunities without a four-year college degree. Building a clear path and educating youth about these opportunities is important to keep them living and working in Gallatin Valley. 2) Support a Diverse Economy Economic vitality for individuals requires a resilient economy that can withstand economic shocks as witnessed during the pandemic. A resilient economy is diverse in business size as well as industry types. Various businesses provide diverse services and products and enable innovation of new products. Larger traded sector companies offer individuals careers with stability and benefits and an employment base to support local sector companies. Meanwhile, local sector companies can serve as a gateway for underrepresented people to build a business and wealth. 1) Focus on traded sector industries that are emerging and can increase exports To maximize limited resources, stakeholders should focus efforts on emerging traded industries to foster growth of a diverse industry base. MSU research and development (R&D) is actively supported by the Technology Transfer Office (TTO) to develop entrepreneurs offering innovative solutions. Many of the innovations emerging from MSU specifically align with federal interests associated with energy, climate change and defense, which are more likely to receive grants and funding. 2) Enhance development of the talent pipeline The top priority of businesses within any industry cluster is access to good talent. The education and development of students at MSU and Gallatin College are critical for the economy. It is also important for the institutions to introduce students to local career opportunities so that they are more inclined to stay and access economic opportunities in Gallatin Valley and contribute to the growth of the local economy. 20 The anatomy of inequality: Florian Hoffman discusses how income disparities have grown in the US and Europe over the last 40 years, American Economic Association, November 25, 2020 43 Bozeman Economic Vitality Strategy | October 2022 27 3) Build a More Resilient Region Resilience and economic growth are both vital for healthy economies in uncertain times. If a local economy is resilient, the recovery period will be much shorter than an economy with little or no resilience. If a local economy is not resilient, it may never return to its former economic growth path. Places that recovered from the 2008-2009 Great Recession included regions with high educational attainment, a diverse and adaptable workforce, attainable housing prices and rents, ongoing capital investment indicating the availability of significant public resources, and those that are not dependent on the cyclical nature of a single industry. The recent pandemic and climate change impacts reveal that disasters disproportionately impact our most vulnerable populations. Regions will need to address those left behind and hit the hardest before they can jump forward. 1) Increase amount and access to housing for all The most significant concern for every business owner is the lack of housing supply and affordability. The Gallatin Valley economy will become less resilient and struggle to grow without a housing supply that serves all incomes. 2) Develop a sustainable city Government does not create jobs; it creates a great environment to attract and retain businesses that create jobs. Companies are seeking to invest in sustainable and resilient communities that provide a good return on investment. The City of Bozeman should continue to build innovative infrastructure to develop sustainably and provide certainty to investors. The city can foster a culture of resilience and efficiency to help bounce back from environmental impacts (e.g., wildfires, limited water supply). 3) Foster a culture focused on climate change resilience Over the past seven years, total funding for climate technology (tech) companies, rate of startup creation, and the average size of funding has continued to rise. Total venture funding increased to US$87.5bn invested over second half of 2020 and first half of 2021, a more than 210 percent increase.21 Young talent is increasingly seeking jobs that focus on addressing climate change. Gallatin Valley can position itself as an innovator in climate tech in collaboration with high-tech and natural resource production (e.g., agriculture, ranching) to foster collaboration across the state. 21 State of Climate Tech 2021: Scaling breakthroughs for net zero, PWC 44 Bozeman Economic Vitality Strategy | October 2022 28 ACTION MATRIX The Action Matrix (Attachment B) delineates actions to implement the Strategy goals and objectives. Multiple stakeholders and organizations contribute to the actions as one organization alone cannot implement the strategy. Regional ownership is established by identifying Lead Organizations that champion and guide implementation. The Matrix is a flexible tool that allows for the introduction of new actions over the years if they align with the strategy objectives and are represented by a Lead Organization. EVALUATION FRAMEWORK Metrics serve three purposes: 1) measure progress towards outcomes, 2) determine if the actions are meeting the plan’s defined objectives (impact), and 3) allow for transparent communication on progress and impact to the broader community. Outcomes: Within the Action Matrix, each objective has an associated outcome to determine if the desired impact is achieved. The outcomes are measurable and where applicable, define metrics for under-represented individuals to assess if equitable outcomes are achieved. Benchmarks: At a broader community level, key benchmarks can be tracked and reported annually to communicate both progress and impact. It will take several years to improve the statistics but tracking progress will show that the region is maintaining a vital focus on the long- term goals. Annual reporting of the benchmarks will help maintain stakeholder engagement throughout the implementation process. Benchmarks should be compared annually with peer regions to provide a stronger context for the region. 45 ATTACHMENT A 46 Economic & Planning Systems, Inc.The Economics of Land Use ECONOMIC CONDITIONS ASSESSMENT City of Bozeman Economic Development Strategic Plan March 2022Economic & Planning Systems, Inc. Prepared by: 47 Economic & Planning Systems | Bridge Economic Development Bozeman Economic Assessment |1 TABLE OF CONTENTS 1.Summary of Findings ……………………………………………………………………2 2.Community Profile ………………………………………………………………………. 8 3.Economy …………………………………………………………………………………………11 4.Industry Clusters ………………………………………………………………………… 20 5.Economic Equity …………………………………………………………………………22 Appendix …………………………………………………………………………………………… 29 48 Economic & Planning Systems | Bridge Economic Development Bozeman Economic Assessment |2 1. SUMMARY OF FINDINGS Introduction and Purpose This economic assessment describes the economy and demographics of Bozeman and Gallatin County. The information is intended to inform participants in the Economic Development Strategic Plan process. The analysis also compares Bozeman and Gallatin County to several comparison communities that Bozeman sometimes competes with for economic development. Regional Economy The economy of Bozeman, Gallatin County and the Gallatin Valley (Greater Bozeman) are closely related. About half of the jobs in the County are in Bozeman, and a large majority of the jobs are in the Gallatin Valley comprised of Bozeman, Gallatin Gateway, Four Corners, Belgrade, and Manhattan. While this plan is being prepared by the City of Bozeman, it is anticipated to result in regional partnerships to carry it forward. The success of each community in the region contributes to the overall economic vitality because of their proximity, single labor force, and economic relationships. 49 Economic & Planning Systems | Bridge Economic Development Bozeman Economic Assessment |3 1. SUMMARY OF FINDINGS Economy and Trends Growth –Bozeman is growing rapidly with 3.8% annual population growth (+6,400 people 2015-2019) and 2.5% annual job growth (+6,900 jobs 2015-2019). The COVID-19 pandemic has increased the appeal of high-amenity places for remote and knowledge workers and firms which is contributing to these trends. Economic base –Bozeman’s economy is most heavily concentrated in tourism and retail type jobs (tourism and local sectors) that have lower wages than traded sector jobs. Economic evolution –Bozeman and Gallatin County are experiencing strong growth in knowledge-based industries (professional and technical services) and in manufacturing. These trends can be leveraged to further diversify the economy and raise average wages. Wages –Tight labor supply conditions and a rising cost of living have resulted in 5.4% annual wage growth across all industries. Knowledge based industries had wage growth in the 7 to 8% range annually which suggests that the area is attracting high value talent and that the composition of firms is changing. Labor force –The labor supply is extremely tight with 1.1% unemployment (4.0 to 5.0% is considered healthy). The labor shortage may moderate as people reenter the labor force as the pandemic stabilizes. Access to housing (high costs, limited supply) is also a contributing factor. 50 Economic & Planning Systems | Bridge Economic Development Bozeman Economic Assessment |4 1. SUMMARY OF FINDINGS Industry Clusters Industry clusters are groups of similar and related businesses that share common markets, technologies, worker skill needs, and which are often linked by buyer-seller relationships. Industry clusters represent distinct qualities of a community and help define what makes one community different from another. The Economic Development Strategy is likely to recommend a focus on traded sector industry clusters due to their higher economic impact than local sectors. The table shows the industry sectors according to the National Industrial Classification System (NAICS) that align with the specific industry clusters. Industry Sector (NAICS)Industry Cluster Private Wage and Salary Jobs (Gallatin County) Traded Sectors Manufacturing •Photonics•Outdoor equipment •Biotechnology •Niche manufacturing 3,600 Professional and technical services •Photonics •Quantum computing•Technology / IT•Biotechnology 4,800 Total 8,400 Local Sectors Health Care •Health care 6,000 Construction •Residential and nonresidential construction and trades•Heavy civil construction 6,400 Arts, entertainment, and recreation •Outdoor industry (ski areas, guide/tour services 1,700 Retail, accommodations and food services •Retail, restaurants, hotels 17,000 Total 31,100 51 Economic & Planning Systems | Bridge Economic Development Bozeman Economic Assessment |5 1. SUMMARY OF FINDINGS Factor Implications Strengths/Opportunities Rapid population and job growth •Market supports investment. •Need to keep up with housing demand. Bozeman brand and quality of life •Attracts companies and workers that share that identity. •May be exacerbating housing costs and inequalities. Growth in more diverse sectors (professional services, manufacturing)•Bozeman becoming established as a location for knowledge based and high value manufacturing industries. •Need to ensure current residents have pathways into these careers. MSU is classified as an R1 Doctoral University (very high research activity), the top research activity classification •Technology transfer and entrepreneurship opportunities from MSU faculty, staff, and graduates. Weaknesses/Threats Large portion of jobs in tourism, retail, and food and beverage industries •Lower wages, less economic productivity, mismatch between wages and housing costs. Rapid increase in housing and real estate costs •Will constrain labor force availability. •May constrain business expansion or relocation (cost of space). Education and opportunity gap between white and non-white population •Invest in career paths into higher paying jobs. 52 Economic & Planning Systems | Bridge Economic Development Bozeman Economic Assessment |6 1. SUMMARY OF FINDINGS Comparison Communities The consultant team and City staff developed a list of comparison areas to benchmark Bozeman and Gallatin County against. First, the comparison communities have a major university. Second, they are communities that Bozeman competes with for new company site selection. Missoula, MT –in Missoula County, Montana. Missoula has a population of 76,713 and is the home of the University of Montana, which has an enrollment of 10,015 students. Missoula County’s largest employment industries include Health Care, Retail Trade, and Accommodations and Food Services. Fort Collins, CO –Located in Larimer County, Colorado. Fort Collins has a population of 173,035 and is the home of Colorado State University, which has an enrollment of 32,646 students. Larimer County’s largest employment industries include Retail Trade, Health Care, and Accommodations and Food Services. Boulder, CO –Located in Boulder County, Colorado. Boulder has a population of 105,479 and is the home of the University of Colorado Boulder, which has an enrollment of 34,975 students. Boulder County’s largest employment industries include Professional and Technical Services, Health Care, and Manufacturing. Bend, OR –Located in Deschutes County, Oregon. Bend has a population of 97,283 and is the home of Oregon State University–Cascades, which has an enrollment of 1,374 students. Deschutes County’s largest employment industries include Health Care, Retail Trade, and Accommodations and Food Services. Ogden, UT –Located in Weber County, Utah. Ogden has a population of 89,694 and is the home of Weber State University, which has an enrollment of 29,596 students. Weber County’s largest employment industries include Manufacturing, Health Care, and Retail Trade. Boise, ID –Located in Ada County, Idaho. Boise has a population of 240,333 and is the home of Boise State University, which has an enrollment of 24,103 students. Ada County’s largest employment industries include Health Care, Retail Trade, and Administration and Waste Services. 53 Economic & Planning Systems | Bridge Economic Development Bozeman Economic Assessment |7 1. SUMMARY OF FINDINGS How do we compare? Measure* Indicates City only metric; other metrics are County Bozeman/ Gallatin County Missoula/ Missoula County Fort Collins/ Larimer County Boulder/ Boulder County Bend/ Deschutes County Ogden/ Weber County Boise/ Ada County Population* (2021)51,405 76,713 173,035 105,479 97,283 89,694 240,333 Population Annual Growth Rate (5 years)* (2010-2021) 2.9%1.2%1.6%0.7%2.2%0.7%1.3% Jobs 59,022 58,735 158,006 179,056 81,429 107,658 250,270 Annual Job Growth Rate (2015-2020)2.5%0.5%1.4%0.7%2.4%1.7%2.9% Largest 3 industries (2020)Retail Trade Accomm.Construction Health Care Retail Trade Accomm. Retail Trade Health CareAccomm. Prof. & Tech. Svcs. Health Care Manufacturing Health Care Retail Trade Accomm. Manufacturing Health Care Retail Trade Health CareRetail Trade Admin.& Waste Svcs. Average Annual Wage (2020)$51,400 $47,469 $58,425 $78,383 $52,936 $46,698 $56,192 Gross Regional Product (Output) per Job (2020)$95,912 $84,341 $117,875 $148,666 $112,162 $98,984 $103,445 % Bachelor’s Degree or Higher* (2019)59%48%55%76%44%21%42% Median Home Price* (Dec. 2021)$700,000 $517,497 $534,978 $940,000 $683,000 $360,000 $554,933 % White-Non Hispanic/ All Other Races* (2019)92% / 8%91% / 9%88% / 12%87% / 13%93% / 7%84% / 16%89% / 11% 54 Economic & Planning Systems | Bridge Economic Development Bozeman Economic Assessment |8 2. COMMUNITY PROFILE Population and Growth Rates Why we measure Population growth comes from job growth, in- migration, and natural increase (births and deaths). It is a broad indicator of economic vitality, the appeal of a place, and community change and evolution. Population growth also drives demand for housing. Key Findings Bozeman had the fastest population growth rate among the comparison communities, at 2.9% per year. The City added 14,051 people from 2010-2021. Bend, OR was the second fastest growing at 2.2% per year. Fort Collins, Boise, and Missoula are growing at a more moderate pace of 1.2 to 1.6% per year. Bozeman surpassed 50,000 population which is a threshold that makes the City eligible for new federal funding sources. The official population estimates from the US Census Redistricting process is 53,293. Description 2010 2021 Total Ann. #Ann. % Population Bozeman 37,354 51,405 14,051 1,277 2.9% Bend 76,652 97,283 20,631 1,876 2.2% Fort Collins 144,693 173,035 28,342 2,577 1.6% Boise 208,726 240,333 31,607 2,873 1.3% Missoula 67,533 76,713 9,180 835 1.2% Ogden 82,905 89,694 6,789 617 0.7% Boulder 97,968 105,479 7,511 683 0.7% Households Bozeman 15,777 22,051 6,274 570 3.1% Bend 31,795 40,021 8,226 748 2.1% Fort Collins 58,113 69,655 11,542 1,049 1.7% Boise 86,978 102,110 15,132 1,376 1.5% Missoula 29,406 33,965 4,559 414 1.3% Ogden 29,667 32,338 2,671 243 0.8% Boulder 41,522 44,389 2,867 261 0.6% Source: ESRI; Economic & Planning Systems 2010-2021 55 Economic & Planning Systems | Bridge Economic Development Bozeman Economic Assessment |9 2. COMMUNITY PROFILE Total Jobs and Growth Rates Why we measure Job growth is an indicator of the strength of an economy. Jobs are created from the growth of existing businesses, and new business formation and entrepreneurship. The best employment data is only available at the county level. Most of the economic analysis that follows is for the counties in which the comparison communities are located. Key Findings Jobs in Gallatin County grew at a 2.5% annual rate, the second-highest of the comparison areas. The County added nearly 7,000 jobs between 2015 and 2020. Population in Gallatin County is growing faster than jobs. Possible explanations include: –In-migration is not tied to a local job (e.g., remote workers, retirees) –Jobs of new residents are recorded elsewhere Ada County (Boise) had the fastest job growth at 2.9% per year. Deschutes County (Bend) was slightly behind Bozeman at 2.4% per year. Description County 2015 2020 Total Ann. #Ann. % Total, All Industries Boise Ada 216,678 250,270 33,592 6,718 2.9% Bozeman Gallatin 52,059 59,022 6,963 1,393 2.5% Bend Deschutes 72,423 81,429 9,006 1,801 2.4% Ogden Weber 98,729 107,658 8,929 1,786 1.7% Fort Collins Larimer 147,455 158,006 10,551 2,110 1.4% Boulder Boulder 172,735 179,056 6,321 1,264 0.7% Missoula Missoula 57,337 58,735 1,398 280 0.5% Source: QCEW; Economic & Planning Systems 2015-2020 56 Economic & Planning Systems | Bridge Economic Development Bozeman Economic Assessment |10 2. COMMUNITY PROFILE Universities Universities are centers of research and innovation. They spin off entrepreneurs, technology, and ideas that support jobs and innovation in the local economy. Universities are also major employers on their own. The student population also influences the housing and retail markets in their host communities. Research Classification There are 146 institutions classified as “R1: Doctoral Universities –Very High Research Activity” as of 2021. This status indicates a high level of research activity per capita. Of the peer communities, only Montana State University, University of Colorado Boulder, Colorado State University, and the University of Montana share this status. Description Boulder Ogden Bozeman Fort Collins Missoula Boise Bend Major Colleges/Universities University of Colorado Weber State University Montana State University Colorado State University University of Montana Boise State University Oregon State University Research Classification R1-Very High Research Activity ---R1-Very High Research Activity R1-Very High Research Activity R1-Very High Research Activity R2-High Research Activity --- Enrollment (Fall 2020)34,975 29,596 16,249 32,646 10,015 24,103 1,374 % of Total Population 33.2%33.0%31.6%18.9%13.1%10.0%1.4% Source: Economic & Planning Systems 57 Economic & Planning Systems | Bridge Economic Development Bozeman Economic Assessment |11 3. ECONOMY Jobs by Industry, 2020 Why we measure The types of jobs in an economy influence demographic factors such as household income and education levels. Available job types affect economic mobility and career opportunities as well. The economic mix also affects the built environment and real estate markets –the types of buildings and housing that are in demand. Key Findings The largest industries in Bozeman and Gallatin County are: –Retail trade –Hotels and restaurants –Construction –Health care –Professional and technical services –Manufacturing Greater Bozeman is a gateway to Yellowstone National Park and other outdoor recreation assets that attract national and international visitors. Tourism and retail sectors are therefore a large part of the economy. Note: these figures are private wage and salary jobs and do not include state and federal government or MSU jobs. State and local government employs approximately 10,700 people in Gallatin County including about 4,200 faculty and staff at MSU. 58 Economic & Planning Systems | Bridge Economic Development Bozeman Economic Assessment |12 3. ECONOMY Definitions: Traded and Local Sectors Traded Sector Traded sectors export goods and services and bring new money into the economy. This injection of new money helps support local traded sector businesses. Traded sector jobs also tend to have higher wages and larger multiplier effects (spinoff or indirect impacts) than local sectors. Manufacturing and knowledge- based industries are among the traded sectors in the Gallatin Valley. Local Sectors Local sectors are generally goods and services needed by local residents. Local sectors include retail stores, restaurants, health care, personal care services, and repair and maintenance services. There are entrepreneurship and business ownership opportunities in many local sectors with lower barriers to entry compared to traded sectors, making them a good “on ramp” for opportunity. Local sectors tend to have lower wages in comparison to traded sectors. Role of Tourism Since tourism is an important part of the economy, some local sectors are also exports because they serve visitors and second homeowners. These include hotels, restaurants and retail, property management, construction, and outdoor recreation. 59 Economic & Planning Systems | Bridge Economic Development Bozeman Economic Assessment |13 3. ECONOMY Change in Jobs 2015-2020 Why we measure The change in jobs by industry is a forward-looking indicator of where the economy is trending. These data can inform strategies on which industries to support for growth or to prevent or manage decline. Key Findings Construction is booming as Greater Bozeman grows and major resort projects are underway in Big Sky. Professional and technical services had the most growth outside of construction. This is a significant change and shows that companies in Greater Bozeman are expanding, and new firms are being formed or attracted. The area is attracting knowledge-based companies and workers. Manufacturing also had significant growth which is rare in small metro areas. Manufacturing is a diverse and important sector in Greater Bozeman. Health care also grew significantly, which is consistent with national trends. People are living longer, more people have health insurance, and the large baby boomer population is aging and increasing health care demand. 60 Economic & Planning Systems | Bridge Economic Development Bozeman Economic Assessment |14 3. ECONOMY Location Quotients Why we measure A location quotient (LQ) measures the concentration of an industry in an area compared to the U.S. It is a ratio calculated as the percentage of jobs in the analysis area divided by the percentage in the U.S. From this we can compare the concentrations of industries across different areas and asses local industry strengths or specializations. How to interpret: “Construction jobs in Gallatin County are 2.09 times more concentrated than the U.S. average.” Key Findings Bozeman has lower concentrations in most traded sectors than the comparison communities and higher concentrations in local sectors. As larger cities/metros, Boulder and Boise have more diverse economies. Boulder and Boise/Ada County have higher concentrations of jobs in knowledge and financial industries. Ogden, UT/Weber County has more than twice the manufacturing concentration than Bozeman (aerospace, defense, outdoor products, advanced materials) Boulder and Fort Collins also have higher concentrations of manufacturing at 1.29 and 1.02. Bozeman/Gallatin Highest Industry Location Quotient Concentration Traded Sectors Agriculture, forestry, fishing and hunting 1.33 Corvallis/Benton 3.21 Mining, quarrying, and oil and gas extraction 0.82 Bozeman/Gallatin 0.82 Information 0.63 Boise/Ada 1.14 Management of companies and enterprises 0.24 Boise/Ada 1.05 Professional and technical services 1.20 Boulder/Boulder 2.47 Wholesale trade 0.76 Boise/Ada 1.22 Manufacturing 0.70 Ogden/Weber 1.61 Transportation and warehousing 0.55 Boise/Ada 0.70 Finance and insurance 0.63 Boise/Ada 1.14 Local Sectors Utilities 0.50 Boise/Ada 1.03 Construction 2.09 Bozeman/Gallatin 2.09 Retail trade 1.31 Bozeman/Gallatin 1.31 Real estate and rental and leasing 1.30 Bozeman/Gallatin 1.30 Administrative and waste services 0.62 Boise/Ada 1.38 Educational services 0.72 Boulder/Boulder 0.79 Health care and social assistance 0.72 Missoula/Missoula 1.22 Arts, entertainment, and recreation 1.99 Bozeman/Gallatin 1.99 Accommodation and food services 1.47 Bozeman/Gallatin 1.47 Other services, except public administration 1.39 Missoula/Missoula 1.57 Source: Economic & Planning Systems Z:\Shared\Projects\DEN\223016-Bozeman MT Economic Development Strategy\Data\[223016-QCEW.xlsx]T-LQ vs Peers 61 Economic & Planning Systems | Bridge Economic Development Bozeman Economic Assessment |15 3. ECONOMY Wages by Industry Why we measure The wage earned by a worker translates directly to their income, ability to support family members, pay for housing, and invest in education and/or retirement. Wages in an industry are also an indicator of the value creation and worker skills in that industry. Higher paying jobs typically require more education and training, which can be a barrier to low-income populations and people of color. Key Findings There are more jobs with lower wages than there are with higher wages, which is a typical pattern. Tourism and local sectors have lower wages than traded or economic base sectors. The average wage in retail is $40,100 ($19.27/hr) and $26,600 ($12.78) in hotel and restaurant jobs (not including tips). In comparison, the average annual wage for professional and technical services is $79,200 ($38.08/hr). 62 Economic & Planning Systems | Bridge Economic Development Bozeman Economic Assessment |16 3. ECONOMY Change in Wages by Industry Why we measure At the industry level wages change due to a variety of factors such as competition for workers and talent (labor supply) and changes in the mix of companies and products within an industry. Key Findings Greater Bozeman has experienced strong wage growth likely due to a tight labor supply and rising cost of a living. Wages grew at an average of 5.4% per year. Some of the highest wage growth was in information, finance/insurance, and professional and technical services. This suggests that: –There is competition for talent –Bozeman is attracting higher value service firms and employees –The economy is evolving and producing higher value services and products Local and tourism sectors also had strong wage growth indicating a tight supply of labor and more leverage for workers to command higher wages. Industry 2015 2020 % Change Growth Rate % of Jobs Economic Base/Traded Sectors Ag./Forest/Hunting $33,800 $46,300 37.0%6.5%1.5%Mining $74,900 $86,500 15.5%2.9%0.3% Utilities D D D D 0.0% Manufacturing $41,500 $53,500 28.9%5.2%7.1%Wholesale Trade $56,100 $68,100 21.4%4.0%3.4%Transport./Warehousing $33,500 $45,200 34.9%6.2%2.5% Information $56,500 $82,400 45.8%7.8%1.3% Finance/Insurance $63,400 $89,800 41.6%7.2%3.1%Prof. & Tech Services $66,700 $87,500 31.2%5.6%9.2%Mgmt. of Companies $60,100 $74,700 24.3%4.4%0.4% Admin/Waste Mgmt $32,400 $39,000 20.4%3.8%4.4% Subtotal 33.3% Local Sectors Construction $46,900 $59,900 27.7%5.0%12.4%Retail Trade $29,300 $38,000 29.7%5.3%16.2% Real Estate $34,800 $50,900 46.3%7.9%2.4% Education $25,900 $36,000 39.0%6.8%1.7%Health Care $44,900 $56,100 24.9%4.6%11.8%Arts/Rec $25,800 $28,700 11.2%2.2%3.0% Hotel/Restaurant $18,300 $24,300 32.8%5.8%14.8% Other $30,100 $39,400 30.9%5.5%4.5%Subtotal 66.7% Overall Averages $39,600 $51,400 29.8%5.4%100.0% Note: "D" indicates not disclosed for privacy requirements. Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics QCEW; Economic & Planning Systems Change in WagesWages 63 Economic & Planning Systems | Bridge Economic Development Bozeman Economic Assessment |17 3. ECONOMY Unemployment Rate Why we measure The unemployment rate measures the supply and demand relationship between employers and workers. When unemployment is high, there are not enough jobs for people in the labor force and visa versa. It is another good indicator of the health of an economy. However low unemployment is an indicator of labor shortages and can lead to inflation and constrain business growth. Key Findings Unemployment rates are at historic lows nationally due to a drop in labor force participation related to the Pandemic. Bozeman has the lowest unemployment rate of the comparison communities at 1.1%, which is not sustainable. Economists generally view a “healthy” unemployment rate as 4.0 to 5.0%. The unemployment rate is expected to rise if more people reenter the labor force as the pandemic stabilizes, and if wages increase to create enough incentive. 64 Economic & Planning Systems | Bridge Economic Development Bozeman Economic Assessment |18 3. ECONOMY Gross Regional Product (GRP) per Job Why we measure Gross Regional Product (GRP) is the local or regional equivalent of GDP (Gross Domestic Product). GRP is the value of all goods and services produced in an economy. GRP per job is a measure of the productivity of the labor force and firms in the economy –the value of the output created from each worker. Key Findings Boulder, CO has the most productive economy with nearly $150,000 in annual output per worker, followed by Fort Collins, CO at $118,000. Bozeman and Gallatin County are at the lower end of the spectrum of the comparison communities due to the higher concentration of tourism and local serving jobs. 65 Economic & Planning Systems | Bridge Economic Development Bozeman Economic Assessment |19 3. ECONOMY Technology Transfer Awards Why we measure The Small Business Innovation Research (SBIR) and Small Business Technology Transfer (STTR) programs are highly competitive federal research funds designed to stimulate R&D and technological innovation for small businesses. STTR/SBIR programs and funding are an indicator of innovation among small businesses in communities. Key Findings Boulder, CO was awarded the most SBIR and STTR funding, with $242 million, or $4,009 per employee since 2015. Bozeman received the second-most funding per employee of the peer communities. Bozeman has a large concentration of R&D and tech-centric businesses that are catalyzed by MSU’s Tech Transfer Office and MilTech, which help commercialize and provide a gateway for industry partners to access MSU technology. 66 Economic & Planning Systems | Bridge Economic Development Bozeman Economic Assessment |20 4. INDUSTRY CLUSTERS Definition Industry clusters are groups of similar and related businesses that share common markets, technologies, worker skill needs, and that are often linked by buyer-seller relationships. Industry clusters represent distinct qualities of a community and help define what makes one community different from another. As they convey distinct qualities, it is important to be specific in the definition of a cluster. For example, rather than promoting “high-tech,” a community should focus on “software or photonics” to convey the type of product being manufactured and its unique workforce and supply chain needs. The Economic Development Strategy is likely to recommend a focus on traded sector industries in terms of the City’s role and investment of resources. Traded sectors industries have higher wages and greater economic impact than local sectors. The table shows the industry sectors according to the North American Industry Classification System (NAICS) that align with the specific industry clusters. Industry Sector (NAICS)Industry Cluster Private Wage and Salary Jobs (Gallatin County) Traded Sectors Manufacturing •Photonics•Outdoor equipment and clothing •Biotechnology•Niche manufacturing 3,600 Professional and technical services •Photonics •Quantum computing•Technology / IT•Biotechnology 4,800 Total 8,400 Local Sectors Health Care •Health care 6,000 Construction •Residential and nonresidential construction and trades•Heavy civil construction 6,400 Arts, entertainment, and recreation •Outdoor industry (ski areas, guide/tour services 1,700 Retail, accommodations and food services •Retail, restaurants, hotels 17,000 Total 31,100 67 Economic & Planning Systems | Bridge Economic Development Bozeman Economic Assessment |21 4. INDUSTRY CLUSTERS Traded Sector Industry Clusters Photonics –The science and technology of generating, detecting, and controlling light. It has numerous everyday consumer and industrial applications. Photonics companies were created from MSU grads and related R&D programs. There are at least 35 companies and 800 jobs in Photonics. Biotechnology –Biotechnology includes medical and drug research and manufacturing. The cluster is oriented around MSU R&D and numerous startup companies in the Gallatin Valley. The area’s strength is in the R&D, trial, and identifying commercial use stages of biotech. Quantum computing –Quantum computing uses atomic motion to perform computing operations. It is a major national security and technology priority. MSU has received $20M in federal grants to expand quantum research. There are relationships with the local photonics cluster in quantum research as well. Technology / IT –The Gallatin Valley has a thriving and growing segment of technology (programming and information technology) companies stemming from spinoffs from RightNow Technologies, Oracle, and Bozeman’s quality of life that attracts startup entrepreneurs and venture capital. Outdoor equipment –Bozeman is known throughout the U.S. as an outdoor recreation destination. It also attracts Outdoor companies that capitalize on the Bozeman brand and identity. Companies such as Simms Fishing, Oboz Shoes, Mystery Ranch (formerly Dana Design), Spark R&D and numerous smaller companies are in the Gallatin Valley. Manufacturing and niche products –Manufacturing is a diverse sector in the Gallatin Valley. Products made here include electronic components, metal products, musical instruments, food and beverages, and wood products and building materials. 68 Economic & Planning Systems | Bridge Economic Development Bozeman Economic Assessment |22 5. ECONOMIC EQUITY Self Sufficiency Wage Why we measure The federal poverty definition only accounts for a basic food budget and does not include other costs such as childcare and housing. The MIT Living Wage calculator estimates the wage needed for a household to afford food, childcare, health insurance, housing, transportation, and basic necessities (clothing, hygiene items). As stated in its definitions, the “living wage is the minimum income standard that, if met, draws a very fine line between the financial independence of the working poor and the need to seek out public assistance or suffer consistent and severe housing and food insecurity.” The MIT Living Wage calculator estimates the living wage in Gallatin County at $21.68 for a family of four with two working adults and two children. The chart shows the percentage of jobs in each county that are above the self sufficiency wage. Key Findings Due to the high cost of housing and large concentration of tourism and local sector jobs, Bozeman and Gallatin County are at the bottom of the comparison communities with the lowest percentage of jobs above the self sufficiency threshold. 69 Economic & Planning Systems | Bridge Economic Development Bozeman Economic Assessment |23 5. ECONOMIC EQUITY Race and Ethnicity Why we measure Looking at the racial composition of a place helps us evaluated the presence of disparities in economic opportunity by race. There are persistent gaps between income, wealth, and education between non-Hispanic whites and people of color and white Hispanic and Latinx people. Key Findings The white non-Hispanic population comprises 92% of the population of Bozeman, which is similar to most of the comparison communities. Larger cities within larger metro areas such as Ogden and Boulder have slightly more diverse populations. 70 Economic & Planning Systems | Bridge Economic Development Bozeman Economic Assessment |24 5. ECONOMIC EQUITY Business Owner Demographics Why we measure Looking at the racial composition of business owners helps to further evaluate the presence of disparities in economic opportunity and wealth building by race. Key Findings From the data, there do not appear to be significant differences between the racial and ethnic composition of business owners and the overall population in Bozeman or in the comparison communities. A caveat is that there is a margin of error in these data, and people of color may be underrepresented in Census data. 71 Economic & Planning Systems | Bridge Economic Development Bozeman Economic Assessment |25 5. ECONOMIC EQUITY Educational Attainment Why we measure Comparing the level of education achieved to the overall population is another indicator of disparities in economic opportunity and wealth building. Key Findings Boulder is the most highly educated community. Bozeman and Fort Collins have similar levels of education with about 60% of the population having a Bachelor’s degree or higher. Ogden, Utah has the lowest levels of education. There are differences in educational attainment by race and ethnicity in each community. Boulder, Bozeman, and Fort Collins have the highest educational disparities. In Boulder, white non-Hispanics are about 1.44 times more likely to have a college degree or higher and 1.36 times more likely in Bozeman. The disparity in educational attainment is partly explained by the presence of large universities, particularly in Boulder, Bozeman, and Fort Collins. The predominately white faculty in each case increases the number of white advanced degree holders in the community. DI: Disparity Index (%White Non-Hispanic/% All Other) 72 Economic & Planning Systems | Bridge Economic Development Bozeman Economic Assessment |26 5. ECONOMIC EQUITY Housing Costs and Access Why we measure Housing costs are a large factor in quality of life, access to home ownership, wealth building, and labor force attraction and retention. High housing costs and low supply can constrain economic growth when the labor force cannot find adequate housing. A person or household is “cost burdened” when they are paying more than 30% of their income towards rent or mortgage payments. Key Findings In Bozeman, 54% or renters are cost burdened making it the third most unaffordable city for renters of the comparison communities. Boulder and Fort Collins are even less affordable for renters while Boise and Ogden are more affordable with a lower percentage of cost burdened renters and owners. Bozeman has the second highest median home price at about $700,000, second only to Boulder at $940,000. Home prices in Bozeman have increased at alarming rates due to strong job and in-migration of wealth, and a housing supply that has not kept up. 73 Economic & Planning Systems | Bridge Economic Development Bozeman Economic Assessment |27 5. ECONOMIC EQUITY Relating Wages to Home Prices Why we measure Wages are the primary source of household income for working people. In a balanced housing market, home prices are related to wages and local household incomes. Bozeman however has a complex housing market influenced by the influx of remote workers, second homeowners, early retirees, and a smaller pool of builders than larger metro area markets. The supply has not been able to keep up with demand as exhibited by the rapidly rising home prices. These influences have detached home prices from local wages. Key Findings Towards the end of 2021, the median home price in the city was about $700,000, which required an annual income of approximately $162,000 to afford and is 220% of area median income (AMI). The table on the next page shows average wages for each major industry. For a household with one earner, the average wage is equivalent to the household income. The table also shows the household income if there are 1.5 (one full one half time) or 2.0 workers in the household earning the same wage. The green shaded cells show the incomes and industries that pay enough to afford the median home price. Only in the highest paying industries with two earners is the median home price affordable. 74 Economic & Planning Systems | Bridge Economic Development Bozeman Economic Assessment |28 5. ECONOMIC EQUITY Relating Wages to Home Prices Income needed to afford $700,000: $162,000 (220% of AMI Description Ann. Income % AMI Ann. Income % AMI Ann. Income % AMI Area Median Income $62,250 $88,900 $88,900 1-person household 4-person household 4-person household Traded Sectors Ag./Forest/Hunting $46,300 74.4%$69,450 78.1%$92,600 104.2% Mining $86,500 139.0%$129,750 146.0%$173,000 194.6% Utilities D N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Manufacturing $53,500 85.9%$80,250 90.3%$107,000 120.4% Wholesale Trade $68,100 109.4%$102,150 114.9%$136,200 153.2% Transport./Warehousing $45,200 72.6%$67,800 76.3%$90,400 101.7% Information $82,400 132.4%$123,600 139.0%$164,800 185.4% Finance/Insurance $89,800 144.3%$134,700 151.5%$179,600 202.0% Prof. & Tech Services $87,500 140.6%$131,250 147.6%$175,000 196.9% Mgmt. of Companies $74,700 120.0%$112,050 126.0%$149,400 168.1% Admin/Waste Mgmt $39,000 62.7%$58,500 65.8%$78,000 87.7% Local Sectors Construction $59,900 96.2%$89,850 101.1%$119,800 134.8% Retail Trade $38,000 61.0%$57,000 64.1%$76,000 85.5% Real Estate $50,900 81.8%$76,350 85.9%$101,800 114.5% Education $36,000 57.8%$54,000 60.7%$72,000 81.0% Health Care $56,100 90.1%$84,150 94.7%$112,200 126.2% Arts/Rec $28,700 46.1%$43,050 48.4%$57,400 64.6% Hotel/Restaurant $24,300 39.0%$36,450 41.0%$48,600 54.7% Other $39,400 63.3%$59,100 66.5%$78,800 88.6% Public Admin D N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Unclassified D N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Source: Economic & Planning Systems 1-Earner 1-Person Household 1.5-Earner 4-Person Household 2-Earner 4-Person Household 75 APPENDIX 76 Economic & Planning Systems | Bridge Economic Development Bozeman Economic Assessment |30 APPENDIX: BIOTECHNOLOGY COMPANIES 77 Economic & Planning Systems | Bridge Economic Development Bozeman Economic Assessment |31 APPENDIX: PHOTONICS COMPANIES 78 Economic & Planning Systems | Bridge Economic Development Bozeman Economic Assessment |32 APPENDIX: SOFTWARE COMPANIES 79 Economic & Planning Systems | Bridge Economic Development Bozeman Economic Assessment |33 APPENDIX: DETAILED LOCATION QUOTIENTS Bozeman Boulder Boise Corvallis Bend Fort Collins Missoula Ogden Highest Location Industry Gallatin Boulder Ada Benton Deschutes Larimer Missoula Weber Concentration Quotient Traded Sectors Agriculture, forestry, fishing and hunting 1.33 0.38 0.33 3.21 1.12 0.67 1.00 0.43 Corvallis/Benton 3.21 Mining, quarrying, and oil and gas extraction 0.82 0.25 0.17 0.14 0.21 0.79 0.15 0.10 Bozeman/Gallatin 0.82 Information 0.63 0.53 1.14 0.44 0.59 0.49 0.80 1.09 Boise/Ada 1.14 Management of companies and enterprises 0.24 0.54 1.05 0.00 0.73 0.39 0.26 0.24 Boise/Ada 1.05 Professional and technical services 1.20 2.47 1.01 0.92 0.83 1.04 0.91 0.67 Boulder/Boulder 2.47 Wholesale trade 0.76 0.90 1.22 0.00 0.66 0.81 0.85 0.90 Boise/Ada 1.22 Manufacturing 0.70 1.29 0.78 0.91 0.75 1.02 0.47 1.61 Ogden/Weber 1.61 Transportation and warehousing 0.55 0.23 0.70 0.31 0.56 0.57 0.00 0.55 Boise/Ada 0.70 Finance and insurance 0.63 0.53 1.14 0.44 0.59 0.49 0.80 1.09 Boise/Ada 1.14 Local Sectors Utilities 0.50 0.33 1.03 0.00 1.02 0.45 0.00 0.49 Boise/Ada 1.03 Construction 2.09 0.58 1.39 0.66 1.66 1.35 1.19 1.34 Bozeman/Gallatin 2.09 Retail trade 1.31 0.87 1.05 0.93 1.31 1.10 1.28 1.08 Bozeman/Gallatin 1.31 Real estate and rental and leasing 1.30 0.94 0.95 0.76 1.04 1.24 1.00 0.57 Bozeman/Gallatin 1.30 Administrative and waste services 0.62 0.56 1.38 0.00 0.90 0.81 0.78 1.18 Boise/Ada 1.38 Educational services 0.72 0.79 0.53 0.61 0.62 0.53 0.47 0.66 Boulder/Boulder 0.79 Health care and social assistance 0.72 0.86 1.05 1.21 1.18 0.73 1.22 0.88 Missoula/Missoula 1.22 Arts, entertainment, and recreation 1.99 1.16 1.46 0.78 1.80 1.13 1.66 1.08 Bozeman/Gallatin 1.99 Accommodation and food services 1.47 0.94 1.02 1.05 1.42 1.21 1.28 0.85 Bozeman/Gallatin 1.47 Other services, except public administration 1.39 0.95 0.96 1.32 1.27 1.04 1.57 0.79 Missoula/Missoula 1.57 Source: Economic & Planning Systems 80 Economic & Planning Systems | Bridge Economic Development Bozeman Economic Assessment |34 APPENDIX: INDUSTRY DETAIL MANUFACTURING 3 Digit NAICS Industry Name Sector Total (Disclosable)% Total LQ vs. U.S.Avg. Ann. Wage Includes Photonics?Description Total Private Wage & Salary Jobs 50,672Total Manufacturing Sector 3,598 7.1%0.70 339 Miscellaneous Manufacturing 532 1.0%2.16 $55,574 Medical equip, sporting goods, musical instr. 334 Computer and Electronic Product Manufacturing 402 0.8%0.90 $88,788 Y Computer, electronic, instrumentation, measuring/controlling, photonics 332 Fabricated Metal Product Manufacturing 391 0.8%0.67 $48,961 Forging, stamping, bending, forming, and machining 312 Beverage and Tobacco Product Manufacturing 367 0.7%3.16 $30,203 Breweries, distilleries, etc. 327 Nonmetallic Mineral Product Manufacturing 290 0.6%1.72 $63,779 Stone, tile, cement products 326 Plastics and Rubber Products Manufacturing 257 0.5%0.87 $43,929 Plastic containers, hardware, plumbing 311 Food Manufacturing 248 0.5%0.37 $36,480 Bakeries, coffee, tea, dairy products 336 Transportation Equipment Manufacturing 150 0.3%0.22 $58,928 Boats, trailers, vehicle parts 337 Furniture and Related Product Manufacturing 144 0.3%0.94 $44,262 Furniture, cabinetry 335 Electrical Equipment, Appliance, and Component Manufacturing 114 0.2%0.71 $59,485 Y Lighting, electrical, communications, appliances 323 Printing and Related Support Activities 99 0.2%0.62 $38,849 Y Printing, data imaging 314 Textile Product Mills 93 0.2%2.18 $32,668 Textile manufacturing 333 Machinery Manufacturing 88 0.2%0.20 $73,874 Y Optical instruments and lenses, photographic equipment, commercial laundry and dry-cleaning machinery, office machinery, automotive maintenance equipment (except mechanics' hand tools), and commercial-type cooking equipment 321 Wood Product Manufacturing 81 0.2%0.48 $49,465 Wood bldg. materials, manufactured structures 315 Apparel Manufacturing 5 0.0%0.13 $32,572 Apparel 316 Leather and Allied Product Manufacturing 4 0.0%0.39 $18,653 Leather products Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics; Economic & Planning Systems 81 Economic & Planning Systems | Bridge Economic Development Bozeman Economic Assessment |35 APPENDIX: INDUSTRY DETAIL PROFESSIONAL & TECHNICAL SERVICES 4 Digit NAICS Industry Name Sector Total (Disclosable) % Total LQ vs. U.S.Avg. Ann. Wage Includes Photonics? Description Total Private Wage & Salary Jobs 50,672 Total Prof. & Tech. Svcs. Sector 4,828 9.5%1.20 5415 Computer Systems Design and Related Services 1,346 2.7%1.44 $141,037 Programming, IT 5413 Architectural, Engineering, and Related Services 1,094 2.2%1.72 $71,547 5416 Management, Scientific, and Technical Consulting Services 618 1.2%0.95 $71,652 Environmental, management, administrative, other scientific consulting 5412 Accounting, Tax Preparation, Bookkeeping, and Payroll Services 449 0.9%1.04 $53,752 5419 Other Professional, Scientific, and Technical Services 424 0.8%1.35 $40,502 Marketing, photography, veterinary, other 5417 Scientific Research and Development Services 337 0.7%1.04 $94,689 Y R&D in life and social sciences. 5411 Legal Services 327 0.6%0.68 $68,183 5418 Advertising, Public Relations, and Related Services 133 0.3%0.71 $60,349 5414 Specialized Design Services 100 0.2%1.78 $60,754 Y Specialized design except architectural, engineering, and computer systems design Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics; Economic & Planning Systems 82 Economic & Planning Systems | Bridge Economic Development Bozeman Economic Assessment |36 APPENDIX: INDUSTRY DETAIL CONSTRUCTION 3 Digit NAICS Industry Name Sector Total (Disclosable) % Total LQ vs. U.S.Avg. Ann. Wage Description Total Private Wage & Salary Jobs 50,672Total Construction Sector 6,401 12.6%2.09 237 Heavy and Civil Engineering Construction 659 1.3%1.50 $101,284 Roads, infrastructure 236 Construction of Buildings 1,837 3.6%2.72 $59,216 Residential and nonresidential buildings 238 Specialty Trade Contractors 3,906 7.7%2.01 $53,269 Concrete, site preparation, plumbing, painting, and electrical Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics; Economic & Planning Systems 83 Economic & Planning Systems | Bridge Economic Development Bozeman Economic Assessment |37 APPENDIX: INDUSTRY DETAIL TOURISM, RETAIL, AND OUTDOOR RECREATION 3 Digit NAICS Industry Name Sector Total (Disclosable)% Total LQ vs. U.S.Avg. Annual Wage Description Total Private Wage & Salary Jobs 50,672 Retail 3,598 7.1%1.31 Retail stores Recreation 1,819 3.6%1.99 Recreation businesses including ski areas Accommodations & Food Services 8,190 16.2%1.47 Hotels and restaurants Cluster Total 13,607 26.9% Retail 445 Food and beverage stores 1,541 3.0%1.18 $31,786 444 Building material and garden supply stores 1,193 2.4%2.08 $45,429 452 General merchandise stores 1,107 2.2%0.89 $32,580 441 Motor vehicle and parts dealers 1,036 2.0%1.29 $60,870 453 Miscellaneous store retailers 784 1.5%2.52 $31,388 451 Sports, hobby, music instrument, book stores 674 1.3%3.37 $23,189 447 Gasoline stations 541 1.1%1.39 $25,669 442 Furniture and home furnishings stores 392 0.8%2.26 $49,206 448 Clothing and clothing accessories stores 341 0.7%0.83 $25,758 446 Health and personal care stores 250 0.5%0.61 $34,298 454 Nonstore retailers 221 0.4%0.89 $60,018 443 Electronics and appliance stores 110 0.2%0.59 $43,276 Recreation, Hotels, Restaurants 722 Food services and drinking places 5,054 10.0%1.23 $20,992 721 Accommodation 1,857 3.7%3.13 $33,408 713 Amusements, gambling, and recreation 1,216 2.4%2.27 $26,058 Includes ski areas 711 Performing arts and spectator sports 124 0.2%0.88 $36,767 712 Museums, historical sites, zoos, and parks 116 0.2%---$45,924 712 Museums, historical sites, zoos, and parks 116 0.2%---$45,924 Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics; Economic & Planning Systems 84 ATTACHMENT B 85 1 - 2 yr 3 - 4 yr 5 yr Priority Outcome Metric (how to measure)Lead Org Partners x More small business owners access programs Number of new businesses accessing services City of Bozeman Prospera, NRMEDD, Chamber, DBP x Small businesses are more likely to succeed and grow Resource guide is created and maintained annually. City of Bozeman Prospera, NRMEDD, Chamber, DBP x More small businesses are started or grown Capital and technical services are provided to under-represented businesses at no or low cost City of Bozeman Prospera, NRMEDD, MOFI x Remove barriers to starting a new business Roundtable is created and provides recommendations City of Bozeman Small businesses EVS ACTION MATRIX Progress Check-in A. Convene providers to map the various programs available for different business sizes and types to 1) better communicate available resources and 2) determine gaps in service provision. C. Convene service providers to determine if there is an opportunity to start a microenterprise service for under- represented businesses. Build off culture and concept of Women Business Center that provides a welcoming safe space for a specific group. D. Develop a business services roundtable comprised of underrepresented business owners and employees, to advise the City of Bozeman on its business friendliness for small businesses especially owned by under- represented individuals. Staff time B. Create a resource guide outlining available programs and contact information. Notes and/or Potential Resources Tie to proposed business, retention and expansion (BRE) program identified in Action 2.1.G Seed funding can come from Community Development Block Grant (CDBG). MESO of Oregon should be considered as a best case example. https://www.mesopdx.org/ Action GOAL 1: PROVIDE OPPORTUNITY FOR GALLATIN VALLEY RESIDENTS Objective 1.1: Enhance the small business development ecosystem Staff time Green text indicates actions developed in collaboration with education partners. 1 of 7 86 1 - 2 yr 3 - 4 yr 5 yr Priority Outcome Metric (how to measure)Lead Org*Partners** x More affordable child care opportunities are available Statute(s) amended City of Bozeman MLCT/MACO x More affordable child care opportunities are available An increase in day care providers City of Bozeman MLCT/MACO x Build awareness of future career opportunities to access living wage jobs High-school graduation and dropout rate, including under- represented students Belgrade and Bozeman School District Gallatin College and MSU x Enhance early skills development to prepare for higher-education opportunities New programs identified and implemented Gallatin College MSU, Belgrade and Bozeman School District Superintendents x Increase job opportunities, particularly for under- represented individuals, within these industries Report number of jobs within the industries and percentage of under-represented hires Gallatin College and MSU Belgrade and Bozeman School District CTE Program Director D. Evaluate gaps and needs with partnerships between Gallatin Valley’s high schools and higher education leaders and industry to identify and develop opportunities for intentional engagement of students. E. Communicate to 9-12 students opportunities with existing Gallatin College programs pertaining to manufacturing, health care, and cyber-security Staff time Organizations are already meeting and anticipate draft direction in October Notes and/or Potential Resources Objective 1.2: Provide comprehensive and coordinated skills development starting with child care through middle school and higher-ed Action A. Explore opportunities to amend Montana statute(s) to allow HOAs to permit in-home child care. C. Engage middle school students (6-8 grades), teachers and administrators in STEM career opportunity conversations. Specifically consider rural communities. Specifically focus on programs for jobs in high demand with good wages and fewer years of education requirements. B. Elevate the issue of child care as critical infrastructure to support workforce development and promote equitable early education opportunities for under- represented communities. Staff time Green text indicates actions developed in collaboration with education partners. 2 of 7 87 1 - 2 yr 3 - 4 yr 5 yr Priority Outcome Metric (how to measure)Lead Org*Partners** x Increase participation of rural residents Number of completed certifications City of Bozeman MSU Extension Center x Increase job opportunities and improve energy efficiency of building stock. Number of skilled HVAC construction workers in Gallatin Valley Gallatin College City of Bozeman x Increase opportunities to start small businesses and build wealth Number of people attending classes City of Bozeman Local EDOs and language training providers 1 - 2 yr 3 - 4 yr 5 yr Priority Outcome Metric (how to measure)Lead Org*Partners** x Continued university R&D in quantum computing Enhanced research funding MSU and MSU IC City of Bozeman and local EDOs x Supply chain study to define the types of companies needed to support this new industry within Gallatin Valley Study is complete and shared with economic development community. MSU VP of Research and Graduate City of Bozeman and local EDOs x Private business can share equipment for testing and collaborate to foster innovation. Incubator is established.City of Bozeman NRMEDD, MSU IC, MSU TTO Staff time Notes and/or Potential Resources B. Create and support specific workforce development programs in building sciences (construction trades) specializing in green technology. Specifically, consider programs in heating, ventilation, and air conditioning (HVAC) systems, to provide the workers needed to improve the efficiency of existing and future building stock. Action National Science Foundation (NSF) grant Objective 1.3: Improve access to career opportunities for local and surrounding rural residents A. Promote Montana State University's new Extension Center Master Remote Work Professional Certification that provides training for rural residents. GOAL 2: SUPPORT A DIVERSE ECONOMY Objective 2.1: Focus on traded sector industries that are emerging and can increase exports Action Notes and/or Potential Resources A. Support quantum computing university research and development through continued investments in MonArk labs, Spectrum Labs, and the upcoming NSF Type I application for a Regional Innovation Engine. Increasing the amount of this skilled workforce directly supports necessary actions to address climate change. C. Develop virtual small business development programs for rural residents and those that speak English as a second language These programs are currently available through MESO and could be developed locally with new microenterprise program. World Language Initiative may provide services as well. B. Support the analysis and development of the quantum computing supply chain and the unique strengths in Gallatin Valley This would be part of the Type 1 application, but fund through Economic Development Administration (EDA) or Inflation Reduction Act (IRA) if not awarded. C. Create an incubator with specialized equipment for new private small research companies within the quantum and photonics industries EDA and NSF grant Green text indicates actions developed in collaboration with education partners. 3 of 7 88 x New biotechnology companies are started or attracted Biotech lab space is created.City of Bozeman Biotech Association, MSUs TTO, and Local EDOs x Increase diversity of industry sectors Students enrolling in programs. MSU Film Department Local EDOs, City of Bozeman, Montana Film Office, local members of the film industry, supportive state legislators x Understand barriers and opportunities specific to manufacturing to help them stay and grow. Program is defined with identified number of businesses that will be visited. City of Bozeman NRMEDD, Prospera 1 - 2 yr 3 - 4 yr 5 yr Priority Outcome Metric (how to measure)Lead Org*Partners** x Training facility provides the necessary workforce Training facility is built Gallatin College City of Bozeman and Local EDOs x x x Educate community on photonics industry Number of students that attend event.Gallatin College Private photonics firms, City of Bozeman, MSU x School districts can provide current information on career opportunities and help develop necessary skills needed by businesses Changes in information provided to students influenced by private business engagement Private industry associations City of Bozeman, Local EDOs, Education partners x Higher-ed students discover local job opportunities while in school and are more likely to stay in Gallatin Valley Number of new internships and programs created at private businesses. Private industry associations City of Bozeman, Local EDOs, Education partners D. Facilitate the creation of opportunities for students to engage with local businesses, such as internships, apprenticeships, work-based learning and job shadowing Explore this type of engagement through BRE outreach A. Support development of a purpose built campus for the technical and trades facility at Gallatin College D. Explore the development of biotechnology lab space to support emerging businesses Explore collaborating with new Industry project at MSU IC. Economic Development Administration (EDA) could provide grant for lab space tenant improvements. C. Aid and support local school districts by offering suggestions for developing a working relationship among businesses, labor organizations, and educators Staff time. BRE of existing companies (instead of recruiting new companies) is the most effective way to grow employment opportunities sustainably. B. Host a photonics/optics event at the County Fairgrounds during the Fall to expose community to career opportunities. Objective 2.2: Enhance development of the talent pipeline Consider private company sponsorships E. Support the expansion of film degree programs at MSU to leverage emerging Digital Film industry Existing MSU program Notes and/or Potential Resources Staff time. State budget allocation Explore this type of engagement through BRE outreach Action F. Develop a formal business, retention and expansion (BRE) program in collaboration with partners focused on industries associated with manufacturing: Photonics, Outdoor Equipment, Specialty Manufacturing, and potentially Climate Tech Green text indicates actions developed in collaboration with education partners. 4 of 7 89 1 - 2 yr 3 - 4 yr 5 yr Priority Outcome Metric (how to measure)Lead Org*Partners** X City recovers administrative and enforcement costs. Neighborhood impacts are managed. Number of STRs licensed STRs. Resident satisfaction with STR programs. City of Bozeman Housing, Code Enforcement, and Legal Departments X Study/documentation of characteristics of STR inventory. Quantification of number of STRs potentially available as full-time residences. City of Bozeman Realtors, property managers, lodging groups x Housing supply is increased or maintained. Number of STRs, rental rates, rental vacancy rates.City of Bozeman Housing, Code Enforcement, and Legal Departments x Increase supply of housing for GV workers Housing units developed by private sector businesses City of Bozeman Private sector partners x Increase supply of housing for GV workers Housing units developed by private sector businesses City of Bozeman & various private sector partners Private sector partners x Increase opportunities to access home ownership Number of residents that have received assistance City of Bozeman HRDC and MOFI x Increase access to available housing Evaluation of zoning code City of Bozeman MSU Office of Student Engagement x Increase supply of housing for MSU non-traditional and graduate students Number of housing units City of Bozeman MSU Office of Student Engagement, private developers GOAL 3: BUILD A MORE RESILIENT REGION Objective 3.1: Increase amount and access to housing for all Notes and/or Potential Resources Staff time Action A. Ensure that short term rentals (STRs) are licensed and complying with City regulations. G. Explore the city zoning restriction on maximimum occupancy within a residence. Staff time and consultant engagement Staff time, private equity C. Explore the feasibility of additional regulatory tools to mitigate the impact of STRs and part-time homes on the housing supply. Specifically examining regulatory fees on STRs and a housing vacancy tax. H. Explore creation of a public-private partnership and sub-area plan for redevelopment of the West Side Houses for non-traditional students. B. Evaluate the potential impacts of STRs on housing availability for the full time resident workforce. Staff time and consultant engagement F. Promote housing down payment assistance program MOFI Staff time E. Explore building more housing through a co- operative agreement amongst private businesses. First Security Bank Housing Fund, potential Prospera Impact Fund D. Explore a land acquisition policy recognizing funding is barrier. First Security Bank Housing Fund, potential Prospera Impact Fund Green text indicates actions developed in collaboration with education partners. 5 of 7 90 1 - 2 yr 3 - 4 yr 5 yr Priority Outcome Metric (how to measure)Lead Org*Partners** x Reduce water consumption to extend the use of a limited supply of water Increased use of the city's water conservation programs City of Bozeman City residents and businesses x Improves building energy efficiency Number of loans and projects implemented City of Bozeman City residents and businesses x Recognizes good practices to encourage investment by others Number and type of projects submitted for awards City of Bozeman City residents and businesses x Provide more housing at a lower price with reduced costs for infrastructure expansion Number of housing units City of Bozeman Bozeman City Commission x Provide residents diverse travel options alternative to a car when appropriate Number of projects constructed City of Bozeman Streamline, MDT, DBA, TCC E. Support City of Bozeman's investment in multi-modal transportation options, including strategies to charge for parking in appropriate locations in the City. Objective 3.2: Develop a sustainable city Staff time Staff time Notes and/or Potential ResourcesAction Staff time D. Support proposed changes to Bozeman Zoning code to allow for smaller housing units on smaller lots B. Actively promote the existing commercial property- assessed clean energy (CPACE) financing structure that allows building owners to borrow money for energy efficiency projects. Staff time C. Explore the development of an award that recognizes investments in buildings and sites to encourage sustainable development practices. Staff time A. Increase support and awareness for the existing City of Bozeman water efficiency program Green text indicates actions developed in collaboration with education partners. 6 of 7 91 1 - 2 yr 3 - 4 yr 5 yr Priority Outcome Metric (how to measure)Lead Org*Partners** x Develop awareness of climate tech companies and begin to support their growth List of companies and defined needs is created. Businesses meet to share interests and collaboration. City of Bozeman Local EDOs, MSU TTO, Energy Research Institute (ERI), Snow Lab, Optics/Sensing, Precision Agriculture x Develop new agriculture practices that reduce water consumption and conserve soil integrity Application for an Innovation Hub is submitted MSU Department of Agriculture City of Bozeman and Local EDOs x Actively support local emerging companies and convey to community that climate change is being addressed Number of new climate tech companies promoted City of Bozeman MSU TTO, MSU IC and Local EDOs x Develop new technologies to help community adapt to impacts of climate change Number of new climate tech companies created City of Bozeman MSU TTO, MSU IC and Local EDOs x Facilitate private investment into domestic low carbon, climate resilient (LCR) infrastructure and other green sectors Establish the Bank City of Bozeman Local EDOs x Reduce greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions by reducing use of fossil fuel Northwestern Energy fuel source City of Bozeman and Northwestern Energy Local EDOs C. Explore the development of a program that supports and promotes new startup companies (e.g. awards and small grant award) in the defined Climate Technology cluster. CDBG, Venture Capital, Foundations Staff time A. Develop a Climate Technology industry group to identify existing companies, barriers to growth, and workforce needs. This information will define the Climate Technology industry unique to Gallatin Valley. Climate Technology is a broad field that includes data analytics, construction materials, carbon sequestering, agriculture production methods, etc. One "lane" should be defined for GV to make progress. F. Work with Northwestern Energy to foster development of non-fossil fuel energy production B. Advocate for an MSU Agriculture Department initiative to create innovation hub for Western US that aligns research with agriculture producers and advances precision agriculture Action Objective 3.3: Foster a culture focused on climate change resilience E. Explore the creation of a regional non-profit Green Bank for funding new climate resilient infrastructure. https://greenbanknetwork.org/what-is-a-green-bank-2/ IRA may capitalize a national Green Bank that could fund the regional bank through grants or loans. Staff time and IRA EDA, Department of Agriculture, IRA D. Explore the development of private incubator that supports the defined Climate Technology cluster. Notes and/or Potential Resources Green text indicates actions developed in collaboration with education partners. 7 of 7 92 Memorandum REPORT TO:Economic Vitality Board FROM:Munfrada SUBJECT:Community Housing Program Update MEETING DATE:November 2, 2022 AGENDA ITEM TYPE:Policy Discussion RECOMMENDATION:None. STRATEGIC PLAN:4.5 Housing and Transportation Choices: Vigorously encourage, through a wide variety of actions, the development of sustainable and lasting housing options for underserved individuals and families and improve mobility options that accommodate all travel modes. BACKGROUND:Staff will provide a brief update on community housing projects. UNRESOLVED ISSUES:None. ALTERNATIVES:None. FISCAL EFFECTS:None. Report compiled on: October 27, 2022 93