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HomeMy WebLinkAbout11-27-17 City Commission Packet Materials - SP1. Bozeman Greenhouse Gas Emissions Report - SUPPLEMENTAL MATERIALS 11/27/2017 BOZ E MAN MT City Sustainabll ley 2017 Bozeman Community Greenhouse Gas Emissions Report 1 Background 2006 2007-2008 2012 2017 Mayors 2009-2011 Bozeman Mayor Climate Municipal MT 3OZEMAN THE Climate Community Climate Supports Protection fiction Climate Partners Paris Agreement Plan Action Plan Working Climate signed Group Accord MOST LIVABLE PLACE 11/27/2017 Climate Change Impacts in Montana • 2017 reports on climate change 0 4t" National Climate Assessment o Montana Climate Assessment o City of Bozeman Drought Management Plan • What it likely means for Montana o Average temperature increasing by 3-7°F by mid century, with greatest increases in August. o Extreme heat days above 90T increasing by 5-35 additional days by mid century o Reduced snowpack, earlier snowmelt o Decrease in summer precipitation; increased variability in precipitation and potential for more severe droughts *... � •�,�fit. � y> BOZ E MANMT _ r i lk& City Sustainability 3 1 IT J ' Jd The a 2011 Community - reduction goal: Reduce1) • to • metrictons • per capitaby 2020 2) Reduce emissions to 10 percent below • • i levels by 2025 • 472,000 metric tons • _ _ f 11/27/2017 Methodology 0 DE o u n d a ry o City of Bozeman 2016 City Limits ° invent=y yeers o 20081 2012, 2016 ° Protocol O O o Global Protocol for Community Scale Emissions (GPC) Data CoKecVonRon .... .... ° Scope son IF11 ■ ■ • Ernossoons Factors - -- n F!O MT City Sustainability 5 11/27/2017 Summary of Results Change qL ge 2 84,�2008 2012,-iim' L2016 Since , , : , Total GHG Emissions _ 523.1826 552,117 522,405 -0.3% -5.4% Per Capita Emissions 14.7 14.7 11.5 -22% -21% • " OZEMANMT City Sustainability 6 :;. .2% B^'�P► -j--' water & wastewater _ 7 /o 0 t aviation 5 /� WHERE Do landfilled waste BOZEMAN--�' 35% 23% vehicle transportation residential buildings GREEN' �.r GAS 30 commercial buildings COME FROM? . - _ , 11/27/2017 HOW HAS POPULATION AND ECONOMIC GROWTH AFFECTED BOZEMAN'S EMISSIONS? Since 2012, Bozeman has seen growth in population, commercial activity, and tourism. Despite these demographic trends, greenhouse gas emissions have decreased overall. 26% 30 20% transportation emissions 20 population 8% 10 -7% -9% waste emissions home energy commercial eneii 0inl, use per person use per job0 22%-10 -5 �O jobs Jion overall emissions se -9% n -20 — -16p�p waste emissions per person residential emissions -25% BOZEMAN M T commercial emissions City S u st a i n a b i l i ty 2016 Community Greenhouse Gas Emissions 8 11/27/2017 2016 Bozeman Other0.3%* Community GHG PP--P- Landfill Emissions by Source . . Methane Total community emissions = 5221405 MT Natural Gas CO2e 0% LL�L Gasoline 'A *Includes propane, wastewater BOZ E MANMT processing, and wood stoves City Sustainability 9 11/27/2017 Bozeman Community GHG Emissions Sources by Year 6 5 a) N O U N 4 c U a--+ °' 3 Electricity C 0 2 Gasoline 1Natural Gas Diesel Aviation Fuel Landfill Methane 2008 2012 2016 10 11/27/2017 Key Factors Mitigating Emissions Northwestern Energy's transition to low-carbon := electricity — wind hydro - -- 2012 international Energy - Conservation Coder . ® LED Technology ti .. / tl �r �r bOZ E MANMT City Sustainability 11 11/27/2017 Commercial GHG Emissions Percent Change 2012 to 2016 30% — - -- 20% 10% -0.1% Natural Gas -10% Electricity Use 20/ Use Energy use per job -30% Emissions Emissions per -40% unit of energy BOZ E M A NMT City Sustainability 12 11/27/2017 Primary Sector Increasing Emissions 2016 Bozeman Transportation Transit GHG Emissions 0.3% by Type -- Aviation Fue Light-duty Vehicles HeavWy Frieght 30Z E MANMT City Sustainability 13 11/27/2017 Transportation GHG Emissions Percent Change 2012 to 2016 0 0 30% Emissions 25% Vehicle miles 20% traveled Energy use 10% - per person Emissions per unit of energy -5 BOZ E MANMT City Sustainability 14 11/27/2017 2016 "Business As Usual" Projected GHG Emissions 1,000k ----- ---- - - ---- ---------- -- --- - - ---- 2025 Emissions Total 789,823 MT CO2e 750k _ c 0 5001< E v N -- U 2 5 0 k _ Ok 2016 2021 BOZ E MANMT City Sustainability 15 11/27/2017 Conclusions & Next Steps Transito , i n 'o low-carbon electricity has slowed growth of emissions • Progress on our per a-p'a,goal of 10 MT CO2e by 2020 • Projected to exceed our ' 25 goal of 472,000 MT CO2e Transportation, buildings, and the electricity portfolio are priority areas Prepare for the 2019 Climate Action and Adaptation Plan Update BOZ E MANMT City Sustainability Onsite Energy 16 11/27/2017 Natalie Meyer Sustainability Program Manager nmever@bozeman.net 17